Outlooks – Page 23
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White papersMeta shifts the narrative on dividends in the world of Big Tech
Meta’s dividend initiation this year appears to have changed the payout paradigm for Big Tech companies. Soon after, Alphabet and Salesforce followed suit, announcing dividends for the first time.
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White papersEconomic Monthly: Flying Blind
The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) has reduced the pace of quantitative tightening (QT), the European Central Bank (ECB), and potentially even the Bank of England (BoE), could begin cuts as soon as next month, and the dot plot shows the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cutting rates later this year.
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White papersCorporate Hybrids Take the World Stage
Why a predominantly European asset class is now growing in the U.S., creating new opportunities for seasoned investors.
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White papersThe Changing Asian Landscape – Part 2: Can India Keep Up the Pace?
Perspectives on the India success story and where it can go from here.
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White papersHealthcare Stocks: Testing the Vital Signs of Managed Care Providers
Questions are being asked about the US managed care industry, but some businesses are equipped to rise to the challenge.
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White papersStock-Bond Correlation: Theory & Empirical Results
Stock-bond correlation is an important component of portfolio allocation. It is widely used by institutional investors to determine strategic asset allocation, and is carefully monitored by multi-asset fund managers to implement tactical asset allocation. Over the past 20 years, the correlation between stock and bond returns in the US has been negative, while it was largely positive prior to the dot-com crisis.
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White papersThe Coming Wave of Homebuyers
How higher rates for longer could be positive for U.S. consumption.
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White papersMacroeconomic and financial market forecasts - May 2024
Monthly Cross Asset - Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts
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White papersModeling Direct and Indirect Climate-related Physical Risks
This paper addresses the methodological challenges in quantifying physical risks associated with climate change, proposing a novel top-down stochastic approach focused on modeling financial losses from extreme events. Unlike existing studies limited to specific events, our approach utilizes predefined climate sensitivity parameters, enabling a broader application across various extreme events using the example of tropical cyclones.
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White papersParadigm shift: market snapshot
Stronger-than-forecast US economic reads and hawkish comments from the US Federal Reserve have brought rate-cut hopes crashing to earth.
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White papersOpportunities at the longer end of the commercial paper curve?
Federated Hermes’ Short Term Investments Committee of portfolio managers meets on a monthly basis to provide insights, strategise, and discuss investment opportunities across the short end of the yield curve.
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White papersSDG Engagement Equity Q1 2024 case study
Our Q1 case study looks at Chicago-headquartered bank Wintrust Financial and its efforts to support the credit needs of low- and moderate-income neighbourhoods in the Chicago area; in so doing helping to reduce the number of ‘unbanked’ households in the US.
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White papersU.S. Election: Age, Cash and Conflict
A political observer gives Joe Biden the edge, but thinks plenty could happen before November.
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White papersGeopolitical risk will grow: here is how we track it
In order to better understand geopolitical trends, Amundi has developed the Geopolitical Sentiment Tracker (GST). The tool aims to inform the investment process: it includes a variety of datapoints allowing investors and researchers to better understand and be alerted to rising risks. It also allows our teams to identify opportunities.
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White papersInfrastructure redefined - From railways to renewables
Infrastructure, as a sector, has evolved drastically in response to major drivers like the climate crisis and demographic change. Here, we explore the most influential structural trends shaping future-forward opportunities across the asset class.
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White papersWhy discipline matters in rapidly changing markets
Dynamically evolving bond markets not only offer a wide range of ways to add value, but constant learning opportunities too, according to Richard Woolnough, Fund Manager in M&G’s Public Fixed Income team.
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White papersFixed Income Outlook – Not as planned
Another higher-than-expected US inflation number means the US Federal Reserve should be in no rush to cut rates before price pressures subside. With the risk of inflation continuing to surprise to the upside in the near term, we now expect benchmark 10-year yields to potentially retrace to 4.75%, at which point we would likely again go overweight duration.
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White papersForget the politics: Why election uncertainty won’t, and shouldn’t, put investors off the US
Everything about the United States is big – its market, its economy and the companies housed there. It is also continuing to confound investors’ expectations. Many anticipated it would slip into recession in 2023, but this never came to pass. Instead, according to the US Treasury, it delivered above average economic growth over the 12 months because of “growing economic output, labour market resilience, and slowing inflation”.
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White papersAsset Allocation Committee Outlook 2Q 2024
“The economic outlook may have improved, but large parts of the credit and equity markets are already priced for a soft landing.”
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White papersMapping global elections and what this means for investors
It’s a defining 12 months for the world we live in today and wake up to tomorrow as billions of people across more than 50 countries head to the polls in 2024, although not all national elections will be free and fair. Romil Patel looks at some of the key votes from the world’s oldest to its largest democracies, as well as emerging markets – and what this means for investors.
