Outlooks – Page 13
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Consider This: 2024 elections
Political risk is global in 2024: Franklin Templeton Institute’s Kim Catechis highlights key elections to watch across the world in the coming year.
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2024 Emerging market fixed income outlook: Back with a vengeance
Upon entering a New Year, we find ourselves in a somewhat similar market situation as the end of last year, still hoping for better times for global fixed income assets amid legacy pressures from tight global liquidity, high policy rates, and a strong USD.
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Capital market assumptions: 2024
Our 2024 expectations for annualised returns over the next 20 years (what we call our capital market assumptions) are a mixed bag. Strong gains across markets over the past year have tempered our expected returns for equities relative to our 2023 outlook. On the other hand, higher starting yields translate into improved expectations versus last year across many fixed income asset classes.
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Multi-Asset Outlook 2024: Embracing the “Less Exceptional”
After pandemic-era extremes, growth and inflation should approach historical averages in 2024. Here’s how multi-asset investors can respond.
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The Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 1
The first of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
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The Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 2
The second of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
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Net-zero equities: resilience in an uncharted transition
The year 2023 in some ways brought a return to normality: slowing inflation, stabilising interest rates and, to some extent, more stable energy prices than in 2022. These positive developments fueled the strong performance of equity markets.
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Red Sea disruptions: small impact so far, but a risk to watch
”The impact of Red Sea traffic suspensions is more regional than global, but duration will be the key factor to watch. At this stage, it is no game-changer for our outlook.”
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Infrastructure debt – Financing a sustainable future
Private capital can be vital in meeting net zero emissions goals. This includes infrastructure debt which can be an attractive way for investors to achieve their long-term return and income objectives and at the same time help finance the assets needed urgently to support the transition to a low-carbon economy.
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Will Artificial Intelligence increase economic growth?
Recent advances in the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI) could lead to potentially disruptive changes across a wide range of industries and impact economic activity through multiple channels. AI is widely seen as significantly different from previous technological innovations. But will it significantly increase aggregate economic growth through its impact on labour markets and increases in productivity?
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Voluntary Carbon Markets: Is the nuance lost in the noise?
The integrity of some of the world’s Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM) schemes is a hot-button issue. However, we believe it’s important to understand some of the differences in standards around the world – as well as the progress being made towards tightening them.
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Tokenisation: The next frontier for investing?
We investigate recent technological advances in the bond markets and examine what impact tokenisation and digital currencies might have on investing in the future.
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Brave New World: 2024 European Insurance Outlook
Insurers likely face a very different investment regime today than they have in the past, with higher and more volatile interest rates as well as structurally higher inflation. We think this will intensify the focus on strategic asset allocation. We offer three themes for insurance investors as 2024 gets under way.
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See, Like, Click, Buy
As retailers extend festive shopping seasons and leverage social media platforms to boost sales, the social commerce industry is expected to soar.
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Battery storage in the energy transition
Institutional Investing in Infrastructure (i3): article extract
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Global Macro Outlook - First Quarter 2024
After two years of aggressive tightening, global central banks pivoted in December. We expect some growth in the coming quarters, albeit subdued compared to history. With inflation easing, most global economies are off to a good start for the year. Yet, things can, and do, change quickly.
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Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - January 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 10 January 2024
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Healthcare investing - 2024 outlook brighter on compelling valuations and easing headwinds
2023 was a tough year for healthcare investing, resulting in the sector lagging the broader indices by the widest margin since 1999. We believe the outlook for 2024 is much more favourable as the sector’s valuation is highly compelling, while many of the headwinds are abating.
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2024
Topic of the Month - Europe: time for fiscal consolidation
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What does waning risk appetite mean?
The first week of January is usually a positive one for markets, and this is mainly due to various reallocation flows. However, the first week of 2024 followed two months of high returns on equities and bonds. A moment’s pause is probably in order to take stock of recent valuations. Is the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) pivot and the long-predicted soft landing already fully priced in? In this weekly edition of Simply put we ask whether declining risk appetites point to a weaker outlook.