Outlooks – Page 109
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White papersPerspectives on Liquidity
Anne Brennan, Chief Risk Officer and Ken DeRegt, COO for Fixed Income, share their insights on managing liquidity in today’s markets, with a look at how this compares to 2008.
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White papersAre We Fighting The Last War?
Government economic response to the global crisis will have to be larger and more creative than ever.
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White papersMarket weekly – this policy response can turn the tide
After a week of unprecedented central bank interventions in financial markets, Richard Barwell, global head of macroeconomic research, and Denis Panel, chief investment officer for multi-asset and quantitative solutions (MAQS), discuss the state of markets at the opening in Europe on Monday 23 March 2020.
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White papersGlobal High Yield Market Update – March 2020
In this video update from Senior Portfolio Manager, Vivek Bommi, we review conditions across global non-investment grade bond markets and offer our outlook for the asset class.
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White papersUsing Data Science to Bring Order to the Disruption
Michael Recce, Chief Data Scientist, discusses the data sets his team is analyzing to help us look at trends that may give some insight on the path for a return to normalcy in both public health and the economy.
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White papersAsset allocation update: credit upgraded amid fluid and uncertain backdrop
The ultimate public health costs and economic impact of Covid-19 are at this time unknown. Public health responses have weighed the human cost of intensive care units being overwhelmed and the number of preventable deaths exploding against the jump higher in unemployment, collapse in investment and demand destruction attached to social distancing. Governments have, understandably, chosen life over wealth.
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White papersFixed income: a focus on fundamentals favours the brave
Markets have been roiled by extreme volatility over the last fortnight. There will clearly be winners and losers in the months ahead, which we believe should create opportunities for investors with a medium-term outlook to find securities that have become dislocated from their intrinsic value – particularly within the banking, energy and mining sectors.
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White papersStress Testing Companies for an Impending Recession
The new coronavirus crisis is different than any other seen in our lifetimes. But equity investors who develop a clear set of characteristics that will define resilient companies in the evolving environment can position portfolios to get through the pandemic and benefit from an eventual recovery.
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White papersCoronavirus & Market Volatility
As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to evolve, we are committed to providing you with the latest perspectives from our economists and investment teams around the world.
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White papersHow can companies mitigate the worst impacts of the coronavirus?
The coronavirus pandemic is forcing governments around the globe to enact emergency legislation to contain the spread of COVID-19, with cities in lockdown, shops, theatres and restaurants closed, and office workers logging on at home.
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White papersUK equities: yield and dividend outlook
Against a backdrop of the pandemic-induced demand shock across multiple sectors and swathes of the workforce consequently facing lay-offs and pay cuts, we are supportive of management teams who act decisively in the interests of all their stakeholders, and also give their businesses the best chance to participate in the recovery when normal service resumes.
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White papersOutlook 2020: Securitised credit
Signs of consumer stress mean securitised credit investors should be especially alert to quality and liquidity in the coming year.
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White papersIn Search Of The Bottom In The Covid-19 Crisis
In this unprecedented time of high uncertainty from a sanitary and economic perspective, the different drivers at play are moving in different directions. These forces make the exercise of GDP forecasting quite tricky and not particularly helpful for the time being.
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White papersShock and Awe
Does this week’s multitrillion-dollar shot in the arm vaccinate the economy against the worst impact of COVID-19?
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White papersCoronavirus: a pragmatic response to market panic
Fixed-income investors loathe uncertainty. But for them and societies worldwide, this is currently the defining characteristic of markets and daily life. How can they respond pragmatically to the pandemic?
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White papersOne Quarter Or Two?
Markets will stabilize when investors start to focus on the same question.
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White papersOne month for the history books
Global equities (MSCI World) have lost 30% since the 19th of February, as the Chinese sanitary crisis morphed into a Global Covid Crisis (GCC). This is the fastest sell-off ever. The drawdown has cut $24 trillion from the global equity market capitalisation – more than the annual US GDP! Investors are scared and praying that the contagion of the coronavirus will slow. But for now the pandemic crisis is still worsening: in the 7 days to 19 March, the total numbers of cases, now 235k, has increased at an average 9% per day.
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White papersGold at the End of the Government’s Rainbow
Initial claims show the first impact on the U.S. labor market and are likely to increase, the second U.S. stimulus package is in the books and a third is on the way while the ECB announces a Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program.
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White papersGIAM Macro & Market Research - Market Commentary
Yesterday evening the ECB surprisingly launched its new QE program “to counter the serious risks to the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the outlook for the euro area posed by the outbreak and escalating diffusion of the coronavirus, COVID-19.” At the March 12 policy meeting President Lagarde made clear that the response to the crisis should be “fiscal first and foremost”. However, the dramatic developments since then – with specifically sovereign euro area bond spreads rising strongly – induced further ECB action.
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White papersCovid-19 update - Current credit market perspectives
The rapidly expanding footprint of the new Covid- 19 coronavirus, has shaken investor confidence, with significant falls in global equity markets as investors focus on the likely recessionary impact on global growth, as well as the direct sectoral impacts in key areas such as tourism, retail, autos and at company level on supply chain exposures to China. This has also fed into global credit markets.
