Outlooks – Page 106
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White papersYou’re Gonna Need a Bigger Stimulus
Worse-than-expected U.S. retail sales suggest a large drop in consumer spending, the IMF projects global growth will fall 3% in 2020, and people around the world are beginning to receive their stimulus checks—and it’s already not enough.
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White papersA Traders’ View on How Fixed Income Markets are Operating
Dr. Christopher Smart hosts a conversation with Barings’ senior traders, Steve DiVittorio and Rishi Kapur on the mechanics of how fixed income markets are functioning in the current crisis, how that compares to past periods of extreme volatility, and what opportunities may result.
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White papersStewardship during and after the pandemic
Stakeholders and a social licence to operate are fundamental to long-term value creation
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White papersCoronavirus – Weekly update – 15/04/2020
As of 14 April, worldwide COVID-19 cases were closing in on 2 million, while deaths now exceed 121 000. In terms of the broad trends at the regional level, we highlight a few key takeaways:
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White papersEuropean Private Equity Insights
Joana Rocha Scaff, Head of Europe Private Equity, delves into how European private equity firms are dealing with the crisis, best practices for investor communications and the importance of understanding the long and short term impact of the crisis.
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White papersThe First (And Worst!) Quarter Is Over. 9 Steps To Take Now
Practical investment wisdom in these turbulent times from Multi-Asset Solutions.
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White papersHouse View, Q2 2020: Everything has changed
The intelligence that guides our investment decisions. No-one can predict the future perfectly. But our House View represents the best collective judgement of Aviva Investors on the current and future investment environment.
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White papersCoronavirus: the views from our private assets experts
As investors assess the implications of coronavirus in stock and bond markets, we ask if private assets have lived up to expectations of more resilient valuations.
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White papersWhat will recession mean for the energy transition?
As the coronavirus pandemic continues to immobilise the global economy, recessionary conditions are looming large. But what will recession mean for the energy transition?
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White papersA View of the Private Equity Environment
Anthony Tutrone, Global Head of Alternatives, looks at private equity valuations through crises and the investment environment looking ahead.
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White papersVolatility Update: Swings in Sentiment Keep Volatility Levels Elevated
Derek Devens, Neuberger Berman Option Group Portfolio Manager, talks about continuing volatility, the factors that could steer it one way or another and the potential implications for Options investors.
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White papersHow will dividend stocks respond to COVID-19?
The volatility fueled by the coronavirus outbreak is reminiscent of prior periods of market stress in which investors worried that dividend-paying companies would decrease or suspend their payments.
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White papersCoronavirus and market implications: what’s next?
As the coronavirus continues to spread around the world, so too does economic uncertainty and global financial market volatility. Watch the latest views from Brian Nick, Chief Investment Strategist, about how to navigate this environment and what to expect.
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White papersSDG Engagement Equity Strategy update: April 2020
The Hermes SDG Engagement Equity Fund aims to balance positive impact through engagement while enhancing long-term shareholder returns.
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White papersEuropean Fixed Income Market Update
In this video, Investment Grade European Fixed Income Head, Patrick Barbe provides an update on current conditions across bond markets, explaining what he believes marks an important turning point in the current situation.
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White papersPlaying The Possible Sequence Of Market Normalization Gradually And Selectively
As the Covid-19 virus spreads, investors can assess the potential sequence of market opportunities that will emerge from the crisis. The perceived features of the cycle of the coronavirus and the effectiveness measures taken locally to contain it are starting to drive allocations. A new market theme of Covid-19 de-synchronisation is emerging, a typical example being the long Asia.
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White papersWill COVID-19 lead to sustainable change?
The COVID-19 pandemic has led the world into the largest social distancing experiment in history. A USD 2 trillion US government stimulus programme and US Treasury yields below 1% are all the result of the crisis. In addition, oil prices have fallen to below USD 20 a barrel as demand destruction has exacerbated the effects of a collapse in OPEC’s pricing policy. Will the world go back to ‘status quo’ when we exit this dislocation? Probably not. We believe the learnings from the ‘go-remote’ experiment are here to stay. The implications for the future of energy, real estate, work, education, health care delivery and so forth are vast.
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White papersA Lot Of Bad News Already Priced In US Assets: A Gradual Approach To Exploit Market Dislocations
The US economy has entered a recession, induced by the social distancing and quarantining measures introduced to tackle the pandemic crisis. To monitor how deep the recession will be, we use both traditional macroeconomic data (eg, weekly retail sales, jobless claims) and big data (e.g., dining out, travel and box office sales, travel numbers and google searches for ‘recession’ and unemployment statistics). Both sets of variables suggest an unprecedented collapse in domestic demand.
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