Outlooks – Page 104
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White papersCoronavirus: a pragmatic response to market panic
Fixed-income investors loathe uncertainty. But for them and societies worldwide, this is currently the defining characteristic of markets and daily life. How can they respond pragmatically to the pandemic?
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White papersOne Quarter Or Two?
Markets will stabilize when investors start to focus on the same question.
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White papersOne month for the history books
Global equities (MSCI World) have lost 30% since the 19th of February, as the Chinese sanitary crisis morphed into a Global Covid Crisis (GCC). This is the fastest sell-off ever. The drawdown has cut $24 trillion from the global equity market capitalisation – more than the annual US GDP! Investors are scared and praying that the contagion of the coronavirus will slow. But for now the pandemic crisis is still worsening: in the 7 days to 19 March, the total numbers of cases, now 235k, has increased at an average 9% per day.
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White papersGold at the End of the Government’s Rainbow
Initial claims show the first impact on the U.S. labor market and are likely to increase, the second U.S. stimulus package is in the books and a third is on the way while the ECB announces a Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program.
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White papersGIAM Macro & Market Research - Market Commentary
Yesterday evening the ECB surprisingly launched its new QE program “to counter the serious risks to the monetary policy transmission mechanism and the outlook for the euro area posed by the outbreak and escalating diffusion of the coronavirus, COVID-19.” At the March 12 policy meeting President Lagarde made clear that the response to the crisis should be “fiscal first and foremost”. However, the dramatic developments since then – with specifically sovereign euro area bond spreads rising strongly – induced further ECB action.
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White papersCovid-19 update - Current credit market perspectives
The rapidly expanding footprint of the new Covid- 19 coronavirus, has shaken investor confidence, with significant falls in global equity markets as investors focus on the likely recessionary impact on global growth, as well as the direct sectoral impacts in key areas such as tourism, retail, autos and at company level on supply chain exposures to China. This has also fed into global credit markets.
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White papersQuarterly Economic Outlook: Keeping the Punch Bowl Filled
In his latest Economic Outlook, Senior Economic Adviser to the International business of Federated Hermes, Neil Williams, looks at the arguments for keeping the punch bowl of central-bank liquidity filled, and warns that we may only be half way through our current era of cheap money.
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White papersSharpe Thinking: managing coronavirus volatility
What’s moving the investment landscape? In these turbulent markets, we bring you views from our portfolio managers, analysts and economists, delivered by our Investment Office – an independent team ensuring that our strategies perform in the best interest of clients.
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White papersThe credit-market breakup: it’s not V, it’s U
What should fixed-income investors read into the recent moves in markets and how should they respond in the near, medium and longer term? In an atmosphere of uncertainty, we consider how a bias towards higher-quality credit and a flexible approach to protecting against the downside can help investors weather any further turbulence.
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White papersAsia ex-Japan Strategy Update March 2020
In this webinar Jonathan Pines, Lead Manager, gives an update on the Hermes Asia ex-Japan Strategy.
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White papersUpdate on Global Non-Investment Grade Credit Markets
We unpack the short-term and long-term, transitory and permanent impacts of recent news on the high yield and loan markets.d markets.
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White papersCorporate Hybrid Bonds Introduction
In this short video, Senior Portfolio Manager, Julian Marks offers an overview of corporate hybrid bond markets and outlines the philosophy and approach adopted across Neuberger Berman’s portfolios. He provides examples of the kinds of issuers the team typically consider and reviews current market conditions.
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White papersCOVID-19 contagion, the latest updates
The Coronavirus crisis continues to unravel, with investors worrying about the economic impact, on top of the human cost. In the week to 8 March the number of cases increased by 723 in China and more than 18,000 in the rest of the world (RoW). While still rising, the number of cases in China is flattening out.
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White papersPrepare for the Long Haul
Why the major uncertainties twisting markets out of shape today are likely to persist for months.
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White papersHow Will the Coronavirus Impact World Economies?
The coronavirus is dominating the news and sparking panic in markets. We believe the options for policymakers are clear—but will they implement them?
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White papersMarket Perspectives - Viral uncertainties March 2020
The Covid-19 virus is turning from a regional health crisis to a global issue; uncertainties about the global economic impact have been rising sharply. After weeks of resilience, equity markets have sold off in late February, catching up with the safe-haven rally in core bonds seen earlier.
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White papersUS Equity Valuations Rebooted by Coronavirus
After recent sharp declines, US stock valuations look more attractive, especially compared with bonds. While the current volatility is unsettling, heightened uncertainty over earnings because of the coronavirus crisis could create opportunities for long-term investors who distinguish between winners and losers from the shock.
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White papersFed May Cut Rates Further to Counter Coronavirus Headwinds
This week’s Fed rate cut helped steady financial markets reeling from the expected impact of the coronavirus on the US economy, and we think more cuts are coming—in March and beyond. The economy should rebound in the second half of the year, though at a lower full-year pace.
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White papersCoronavirus Emergency: Fed Cuts Rates, But Markets Expect More
In the first intra-meeting ease since the 2008 crisis, the Fed delivered a 50 basis-point rate cut. Market volatility and liquidity concerns have likely been the trigger for the emergency cut. The market reaction has been a sell-off in equities, while the 10-year Treasury yield touched new lows, as the Fed move is perceived as not being enough to offset recent deterioration in financial conditions due to the market reaction to the coronavirus outbreak. Markets still expect more.
