All Middle East articles
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White papersCIO Weekly: U.S.-Iran Deal—Key Questions for Markets
The U.S.-Iran deal and possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz have brought some relief to markets and policymakers, but it’s not a resolution and important questions remain.
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White papersOil: Too Calm, Too Soon?
Oil prices have eased from recent highs, but does that mean the market is back to normal? In this Fixed on Bonds blog, Premier Miton’s Kishan Paun looks at why underlying supply constraints, inventory rebuilding, and ongoing disruption across the energy complex may still matter for investors. This is a marketing communication.
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White papersPrivate equity: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
Private equity returns had a strong quarter, with steady fundamental performance during a turbulent 1H26 that contained several surprises. Artificial intelligence (AI) fears weighed on software valuations in private equity (PE) portfolios, as funds scrambled to assess the threat of AI to business models. Public software valuations continue to face pressure in AI‑exposed segments, although the market is becoming more perceptive to business model differences. This repricing in public markets increases the risk of delayed spillover effects on private software valuations.
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White papersInfrastructure: The Red Thread – Alternatives, mid-year edition 2026
Renewables – leading the charge
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White papersMay CPI report: War impact remains contained, allowing the Fed to stay on hold
Today’s inflation report reflects ongoing price pressures tied to the Middle East conflict, though the impact remains relatively contained. Headline inflation, primarily driven by energy, rose 0.5% in May, as expected, lifting the annual rate to 4.2%, the highest in over three years. However, inflation concerns were eased by goods deflation and a lower-than-expected Core CPI reading of 0.2%. Even so, the fluid situation in the Middle East suggests the risk of higher energy prices for longer, along with second-round inflation impacts, persists.
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White papersAviation Leasing: Looking Beyond the Fuel Price Shock
Stress for airlines may be opportunity for lessors.
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White papersInflation Squeezes Consumers and Producers Alike
Inflation isn’t just a headline, it’s spreading through the supply chain. Energy costs are lifting producer and import prices, increasing the risk of persistent inflation. Even if energy pressures ease, underlying inflationary momentum is likely to remain.
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White papersRethinking diversification in a tightly linked global market
Despite the S&P 500’s resilience amid the Middle East conflict, its concentration remains a concern, underscoring the importance of diversification. However, achieving diversification has become more challenging as global markets remain interconnected through AI supply chains, reducing regional differentiation. At the same time, regions most exposed to the Middle East conflict have lost their appeal as effective diversifiers. Against this backdrop, investors must reassess their approach, with a focus on differentiated and independent growth drivers to build more resilient portfolios.
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White papersEconomic Update June 2026
Global markets are navigating an increasingly uneasy mix of geopolitical risk and shifting macro fundamentals. The escalation in the Middle East has reintroduced a stagflationary impulse via higher energy prices, yet risk appetite has remained resilient. Equities have pushed to new highs even as long‑end bond yields have climbed to multi‑decade levels, reflecting inflation, fiscal and policy uncertainty.
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White papersIlliquidity premia in private debt: Q1 2026
In our Q1 2026 deep dive, our research team crunched the data to explore how evolving macro conditions are reflected in private debt returns
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White papersDuration offers an opportunity as odds grow for Iran off-ramp
Inflation pressure, potential monetary tightening and the Iran conflict have pushed bond yields higher.
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White papersScale matters: navigating EM oil credit in volatile markets
Spiking high oil prices create regional winners and losers.
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White papersA deal with Iran will not push the Fed to cut policy rates
A U.S.–Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz appears to be moving closer. If implemented, it would restore energy flows and begin to unwind the largest supply disruption in history. Current reports suggest that reopening the Strait would trigger a 60-day negotiation phase focused on Iran’s nuclear program, so the path forward is not yet free of implementation risk.
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White papersFive Timely Opportunities in Today’s High-Yield Market
As market conditions shift, opportunities stand out.
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White papersWhat Does Higher Inflation Mean for the US Economy and Fed?
With inflation rising, consumers are feeling the pinch and the Fed is weighing its options.
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White papersEM equities have room to run on earnings, tech and fiscal support
EM equities have climbed to new highs despite the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. The main vulnerability lies in energy: further disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, a key oil and gas transit route, would lift energy prices and worsen inflation.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2026
Topic of the month - EM debt: reading the shock and finding opportunities
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PodcastInflation-linked bonds can navigate the shocks
The Middle East conflict has triggered a surge in energy and other prices, creating a second inflation shock in four years. Elida Rhenals, a Senior Portfolio Manager in the rates and inflation team at AXA IM Core, part of BNP Paribas Asset Management, tells Chris Iggo, Chief Investment Officer for AXA IM Core, how the short duration inflation-linked bond strategy run by her team can be effective in offering protection and a real return – not just a nominal one – in a slowing growth, rising inflation environment.
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White papersReal estate fundamentals remain intact amid geopolitical noise
Geopolitical risk has intensified, but markets are signaling volatility rather than systemic stress, which matters for commercial real estate. So far, the impact has flowed through commodity prices, not a repricing of long-term rates or broader financial conditions, helping preserve valuation support for income-oriented assets.
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White papersGCC Banks: A Five-Layer Defense for the Current Environment
A combination of strong fundamentals and sovereign support should help key financial institutions weather the storm.
