All Middle East articles – Page 2
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2026
Topic of the month - EM debt: reading the shock and finding opportunities
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PodcastInflation-linked bonds can navigate the shocks
The Middle East conflict has triggered a surge in energy and other prices, creating a second inflation shock in four years. Elida Rhenals, a Senior Portfolio Manager in the rates and inflation team at AXA IM Core, part of BNP Paribas Asset Management, tells Chris Iggo, Chief Investment Officer for AXA IM Core, how the short duration inflation-linked bond strategy run by her team can be effective in offering protection and a real return – not just a nominal one – in a slowing growth, rising inflation environment.
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White papersReal estate fundamentals remain intact amid geopolitical noise
Geopolitical risk has intensified, but markets are signaling volatility rather than systemic stress, which matters for commercial real estate. So far, the impact has flowed through commodity prices, not a repricing of long-term rates or broader financial conditions, helping preserve valuation support for income-oriented assets.
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White papers2026 Mid-Year European Outlook: European Real Estate Recovery Can Withstand Pressure From Middle East Conflict
The conflict in the Middle East retains centre stage. Regardless of its short-term pressures, the long term prime European real estate recovery is forecasted to withstand its effects and stay on track with solid current income yields and projected rental growth offering resilience over our 5-year horizon.
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White papersGCC Banks: A Five-Layer Defense for the Current Environment
A combination of strong fundamentals and sovereign support should help key financial institutions weather the storm.
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White papersMiddle Eastern Conflict and Implications for Asian Energy Policy
Asia, including developed markets such as Japan and Korea, is hit hardest by the Middle East energy supply shock as Hormuz flows have largely ceased. ~90 per cent of exports were Asia-bound, and Platts Dubai/Oman now trades at a 10–20 per cent premium to Brent/WTI.
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White papersLooking beyond conflict: Viewing volatility as opportunity
Investors are climbing a high wall of worries in 2026. With wars in the Middle East and Ukraine, messy trade disputes in the world’s major economic regions, growing fears over the impact of artificial intelligence, and deep political divisions in the United States and elsewhere, it can be difficult to remove emotions from practical investment decisions.
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White papersQ1 2026 Short Duration Commentary
Geopolitical and macro risks dominated headlines and the market landscape as the first quarter ended, driven by the Israeli and U.S attacks on Iran and their aftermath, including Iran’s response and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately 20% of the…
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White papersFixed Income Outlook 2Q 2026: Steering Through the Turn
Markets experienced a sharp change in direction during the first quarter, but despite reasons for caution, we see paths to opportunity as well.
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White papersEquity Outlook 2Q 2026: Global Growth Holds Firm As Geopolitical Risk Simmers
Persistent macro tailwinds and broadening earnings growth keep us constructive on risk assets through the fog of war.
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White papersBack to those other bricks
With Middle East peace in sight, the S&P 500 should resume its path to 7,500.
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White papersAsia and the energy shock
Asia is exposed to the Middle East conflict and the resulting rise in oil and gas prices. Most countries in the region are net energy importers (Malaysia is a notable exception). Even if the pass‑through to headline inflation remains limited, sustaining cost‑of‑living support to shield household purchasing power will be expensive for governments.
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White papersPotential implications of the Middle East conflict for bonds
The Middle East conflict, while first and foremost a human tragedy, also represents an energy supply shock with potentially significant implications for global growth. In a new paper, Head of Global Sovereign, Inflation and Rates, Cedric Scholtes presents a framework for analysing the war’s fixed income investment implications.
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White papersReal Estate: Iran war update
The conflict in the Middle East is another reminder of the volatility of geopolitics and the fragility of global supply chains – as well as being a human catastrophe. We assess the likely impacts of the war on European real estate and consider the specific impacts on real estate sectors.
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White papersShifting war realities affect markets
Oil price and equity movements over the past weeks suggest how quickly markets can shift from an overly pessimistic to an overly optimistic scenario and vice versa. This reinforces our view that investors should maintain long-term convictions and avoid areas of high concentration risks.
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White papersOil prices threaten the tax tailwind
Last year’s One Big Beautiful Bill is set to deliver a powerful fiscal tailwind. Yet this stimulus is at risk of being undermined by higher oil prices resulting from the Middle East conflict, as higher energy prices effectively act as a tax increase on households. If crude prices settle around $90 per barrel, they could fully erode the benefits from the OBBBA.
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White papersEquity Outlook: Middle East War, Energy Shock Test Fragile Markets
Markets are pricing in a wider range of scenarios as geopolitics and AI reshape the landscape.
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White papersTrump the “paper tiger”. The move from Iran’s implicit leverage to explicit control in the Strait of Hormuz
Markets may be calmer following the ceasefire, but has the underlying risk really gone away?
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook: Second Quarter 2026
US foreign policy became the key variable for financial markets in the first quarter. As the Middle-East conflict expands, oil price shocks could become stagflationary, but it’s too early to know the magnitude. Our base case is that the global economy will remain resilient to this shock—as it has to many others this cycle.
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White papersConflict affecting sentiment
The Eurozone March PMI survey fell during the previous month, indicating businesses are getting worried about the Middle East conflict.
