Latest White Papers – Page 82
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White papers2024 US elections: macro, geopolitical, and investment perspectives
As the US elections approach, markets are increasingly focusing on the candidates’ platforms and their implications for the economy and markets. Taxation, foreign trade, immigration and fiscal policy are at the forefront of the candidates’ agendas. Harris advocates for higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy to fund social initiatives and green policies, while Trump promotes tax cuts, deregulation and an increase in oil production.
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White papersEuropean high yield: default rate coming down
Our par-weighted default rate forecast for European High Yield (EHY) is 3.8% for the forward 12-month period and 7.2% for the forward 24-month period. Excluding hybrid issuers, the default rate increases to 4.5% over 12 months and 8.5% over 24 months. This compares to a LTM (last 12 months) default rate for Europe, to April 2024, of 4.1%1, and a recent peak through the Covid-19 pandemic of 6.9%.
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White papersInfrastructure debt: A sector for all cycles
Investor demand for infrastructure debt is growing amid higher-for-longer interest rates and supported by global mega-trends related to AI and decarbonisation.
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White papersEmerging Markets charts and views: Gearing up ahead of US elections and policy easing
The Global macroeconomic outlook is supportive for EM prospects, with global growth remaining resilient and inflation generally on a declining trend. EM appear more resilient.
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White papersIce cream for dogs: Why energy demand just cannot stop growing
Granular energy transition models all contain a tension between better energy efficiency due to technological progress, and the emergence of new energy use-cases. We look at examples of this dynamic in practice, and consider how it may impact energy demand in the coming decades.
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White papersTransition to a low carbon economy powers growth
Awareness and expectations surrounding sustainability and the need to transition to a low carbon economic model are maturing globally, driving demand and creating new investment opportunities.
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White papersNo Autumn chills for Global Investment Grade Corporate fundamentals
Investment grade (IG) indices remain close to recent tights. Similarly, corporate fundamentals are in an extremely strong position. Our credit work looks to identify where there is a mismatch between the fundamental expectations and valuations of issuers, on a name-by-name basis. We also aggregate the single name expectations each quarter to give a view of the market as a whole.
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White papersMultinational companies can thrive in tough times
A common question investors ask is about the impact of de-globalisation. The risks are clear: rising US-China tensions, conflict in Europe and the Middle East, increasing trade barriers, broken supply chains, a slowing global economy and bouts of volatility in equity markets.
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White papersGlobal Outlook 2025
In 2025, we believe the core question to dominate economic discussions is where the unobservable natural rate (r*, the neutral rate of interest that supports full employment and constant inflation) lies and when central banks should stop cutting.
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White papersThe road ahead for equities
What direction could equity markets take from here? Will they continue on a narrow path - led by large-cap tech stocks - or is there potential for a wider range of opportunities?
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q4 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team
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White papersEuropean utilities: prepared for the spending storm
Despite huge growth in demand, costs squeezes and supply constraints around raw materials and capacity are limiting expected returns in renewables development
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White papersThe timeless nature of income investing
Capital gains took a precedence during the post-Global Financial Crisis era of ultra-low interest rates and quantitative easing measures implemented by central banks. Now we find ourselves in a very different environment, we believe income investing could be making a comeback. Alex Rolandi speaks with the investment teams to find out why this is important, and how investors can address the income challenge without sacrificing growth.
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White papersGlobal elections: Can investors capitalise on market dislocation opportunities?
Investors track three key variables when it comes to elections to cut through the 24/7 news cycle/ M&G Investments’ breaks down what they are – and why they matter.
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White papersChinese equities: The investment story of the next decade
A more thoughtful and far-reaching set of stimulus measures by the Chinese authorities has nullified some of the negative perception among global investors when it comes to China. David Perrett, Co-Head of Asia Pacific Equities, suggests that the continued caution could be creating some compelling long-term opportunities for stockpickers. He explains why he thinks Chinese equities have the potential to become one of the investment stories of the next decade.
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White papersIn conversation with Emmanuel Deblanc
A (former) chess player, Emmanuel Deblanc joined M&G Investments as the CIO for Private Markets in 2024. He sits down with Romil Patel to discuss the early days of his career and the journey to the top, why he thinks private markets are at a turning point – and the art of dealmaking in a more competitive world than ever before.
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White papersVikas Pershad: What investing in India over 20 years has taught me
India is a broad and deep opportunity set that’s transforming rapidly – and it also has a demographic dividend, with around 40% of its population under the age of 25. Many can be absorbed into companies rapidly – and employment is an essential component to boost economic growth.
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White papersDemystifying the world of structured credit
As an asset class, Structured Credit has been around for decades. However, despite not being new, many investors remain slightly mystified by it and the role(s) it could play in their portfolios, being labelled as overly complex or an investment area reserved largely for highly experienced investors. Despite the perception, structured credit in fact is very straightforward with a focus on loan and credit products that help provide an integral source of funding for the real economy.
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White papersFuture cities: How the AI revolution could reshape the urban landscape
Beyond the hype, artificial intelligence is set to have wide-reaching implications across industries, transforming the way we live, work and play. Here, Alex Rolandi explores the impact the technology could have on the urban landscape, what this might mean for real estate investors, and why there will be winners and losers amongst the cities of tomorrow’s world.
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White papersUncovering the rich tapestry of emerging markets
Understanding global emerging markets are not all the same, and never have been, is key to success within the space. Investors allocating assets within global emerging markets need to appreciate their different characteristics. The large dispersion of returns across the emerging markets universe prove economics, politics, demographics and corporate maturity all matter. This is why a truly unconstrained approach to stock selection is vital.
