Latest White Papers – Page 309
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White papersStay agile amid diverging scenarios
After enjoying stellar performance this year, investors will increasingly question whether the global economy will proceed towards a trade war-engineered recession moving into 2020, thereby ending the longest ever bull market. Or, if growth stabilizes at a low level, and potentially rebounds, the cycle could extend even further.
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White papersNovember Macro Dashboard
Global leading indicators edged higher in October; but remain in contraction territory. And while global central banks continue to maintain an accommodative monetary policy stance as downside risks to growth persist.
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White papersCLOs: Triple C's and Market Unease
Taryn Leonard and Melissa Ricco, Co-Heads of Barings’ Structured Credit Investment Team, discuss the recent loan market weakness, and how technical pressures are creating value opportunities in the CLO market.
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White papersInequality: the tension between growth and social justice in emerging markets
From Europe to North America and across Asia, income inequality is rising – with emerging markets generating the world’s most extreme levels.
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White papersHeadwinds in Global Growth Outlook, but a Smooth Landing Expected
Global growth outlooks are the weakest since the recession and the U.S.-China trade deal may be delayed through the new year. Meanwhile the FOMC is likely to remain on hold in December.
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White papers
2020 Investment Outlook - Be Agile To Cope With Diverging Scenarios
After enjoying stellar performance this year, moving into 2020, investors will increasingly ask whether the global economy will proceed towards a trade war-engineered recession or whether growth will stabilise at a low level and potentially rebound, meaning the cycle could extend even further. In our view, the retreat in global trade is causing a major change in the structure of growth, but does not point to a full-blown recession, especially at a time when cumulative loose policies are gearing up and a partial deal between the US and China is in sight. Monetary and fiscal policy combination, a prominent theme going forward, may extend the current cycle further. While the noise on trade-related issues will be high, a material escalation is unlikely given the upcoming US elections in 2020. However, the path for investors will not be linear. In the short term, market expectations for policy actions have gone too far and need to be adjusted.
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White papersSpotlight on bank regulatory capital - Mechanics of bank portfolio risk transfer transactions
Bank regulators permit banks to meet more stringent post-crisis capital ratios by undertaking ‘risk-sharing’ transactions Banks can manage their regulatory capital on an ongoing basis through whole loan asset sales, full capital structure securitisation or synthetic securitisation The mechanics of these transactions may differ, but all three approaches focus ...
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White papersTwo cultures, one aim: quantitative and fundamental collaboration
How genuine collaboration between quantitative and fundamental analysts can enhance stock selection and portfolio construction.
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White papersLooking into 2020 with Hermes
2020 will be another uncertain year. Brexit will rumble on, bringing further volatility and polarising the UK political dialogue; China and US relations will remain tense and concern markets, despite a possible partial trade deal being secured before the end of 2019; and the US presidential race will likely unsettle world markets.
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White papersDespite All The Focus on Trade, Inflation Remains Low
U.S. trade trouble continues with a “Phase One Deal” less than imminent, the IEA asserts how U.S. shale-oil production will reshape global energy markets and don’t hold your breath on a December Fed rate cut.
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White papersAre Negative Rates Really That Negative?
So far, they seem to work in practice, just not in theory. Negative yields seem to have helped extend the cycle, but they carry risks if they linger for too long.
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White papersECB QE2 Starts On A Strong Foot With A Tilt To The Private Sector
ECB QE2 started off on a strong foot, according to data released on Monday regarding the very first week of purchases. The overall increase in holdings of the four QE programmes was quite high for just one week relative to the announced monthly path of EUR 20 bn, as it totalled around half of this amount , at EUR 9 bn. Most of the increase in holdings was driven by the public sector (roughly EUR 4.5bn) and corporate bond programme, at almost EUR 2.8 bn. The CSPP portfolio expanded from EUR177.1bn at the end of October to EUR181.1bn on 8 November. With the data reflecting settled securities, this number should cover just four trading days of purchases.
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White papersCase for GDI – A Diversified Approach to Risk-Adjusted Income
Seeking to maximize income per-unit of risk with a dynamic, multi-asset multi-manager solution. The theme of late-cycle volatility, spurred by geopolitical tensions and slowing global growth, has been well documented. Low global interest rates continue to present challenges to meet income needs and control risk.
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White papers360 Webinar: Hermes Flexible Credit
Throughout this webinar series, the Hermes Fixed Income team will discuss key performance drivers of our portfolios, and provide their assessments of risks and opportunities across the credit spectrum.
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White papersAre ESG comparisons fair?
Investors need to look past tick-box credentials to consider the real ESG impact of their infrastructure projects, says Ian Berry, head of infrastructure equity at Aviva Investors.
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White papersSeeking Big Opportunities in Small Companies
As Europe finds itself in a climate of lackluster growth and political volatility, with an equity market that has been on an unprecedented 10-year bull run, investors are searching for pockets of value. A long-term allocation to small-cap equities is one potential solution.
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White papersInitial Margin Landscape
Neil Murphy, business manager of triResolve, discusses what the regulatory initial margin landscape changes mean to the market and how in-scope firms for phase 5 and 6 may decide to take an alternative approach to IM compliance.
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White papersAdding Equity Index Futures to your Portfolio
No matter your investment vehicle, as a standardized, liquid contract, Equity Index futures may make a strong addition to your portfolio. Dive into the latest research to learn more about key features of Equity Index futures.
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White papersEM Debt: Warding Off Headwinds with Active Management
In this Q&A, Barings’ Head of Global Sovereign Debt and Currencies, Ricardo Adroguè, addresses the many risks facing the global economy—specifically China, Argentina and the Middle East—and explains why a skilled active manager is critical to performance.
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White papersABS: Uncovering Opportunities Beyond the (IG) Index
Amid an ongoing search for yield and with a number of potential risks on the horizon, there may be benefits to exploring opportunities outside of traditional corporate and government bonds—such as certain parts of the asset-backed securities (ABS) universe.
