Latest White Papers – Page 303
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White papersAsset classes views: Detecting Tipping Points
The report highlights the causal relationships between macro-economic factors and long term trends in asset prices, incorporating the latest discussions and analysis and drawing on insights from Amundi’s industry experts. We confirm our central scenario of subdued growth and inflation on a global scale, albeit leading to even lower returns due to complications from late-cycle investing. Recovery is likely as rates and profits normalise while central bank authorities stock up on the ammunitions needed to face further cyclical downturns.
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White papersAnother Breakthrough Year for China Bonds
The market made it into global indices but also broke records for defaults in 2019 and is facing uncertainty from the coronavirus: we take stock for 2020.
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White papersTop Risk Map - February 2020
At the start of the 2020s, markets continued to be dominated by geopolitical issues, with short-lived Iran tensions at the forefront initially, followed by the news regarding a phase one trade deal between the US and China. Now, growth expectations are becoming the main driver of the market. That’s why the recent volatility due to the news about the spreading of the corona virus in China is higher than in the case of US-Iran tensions, as the epidemic could harm China (and global growth) if not contained soon (not our base case at the moment).
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White papersInvestment Phazer Update: downward trend is confirmed
While in the short term we do expect some temporary relief coming from positive economic surprises and supportive news on the trade front (should coronavirus impact be limited), on a medium-term horizon our economic scenario confirms the fragility of the profit cycle.
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White papersA pioneer of responsible investing
Since our first CEO openly challenged a major UK company to improve its governance, to our current leader Saker Nusseibeh being awarded a CBE for services to responsible business, the international business of Federated Hermes has been at the forefront of responsible investing.
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White papersOpportunity exists for US, UK and Canadian pension funds who are prepared to de-risk
We recently witnessed the end of a very important moment, when US, UK and Canadian pension funds were simultaneously at the best funded status they had experienced in ten years. At the same time, all three markets had new entrants in pension insurance and reinsurance with ample insurer capacity, vibrant price competition and attractive buy-in and buy-out pricing. Additionally, seven years of lower than expected longevity improvements meant the lowest liability pricing from insurers and reinsurers in over ten years.
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White papersFocal Point The Corona virus: What to expect?
The outbreak of the Corona virus (2019-nCoV) is spread-ing fears around the globe and rattling financial markets. Since it likely sprang over to humans in the city of Wuhan in central China in early December 2019, new infections have grown exponentially. By the time of writing, China re-ports 7,711 people infected and a death toll of 170.
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White papersThe Cruelest Month May Come Early This Year
The forecasts told us 2020 should be smooth and any turbulence wouldn’t come until later, if it came at all. Yet, we’re one month in and already risk is beginning to loom across three continents’ horizons.
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White papersSentiment Shift Fuels Lower-Rated Rally
Uncovering relative value across high yield in 2020 may require looking in less obvious places.
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White papersFocus On Fundamentals: Virus Volatility Provides Entry Points For EM Equities
The coronavirus has been the strongest driver behind the recent volatility in financial markets, providing the trigger for a break in the rally in risk assets, which had been running uninterrupted since October.We should be aware that the trough for markets could be well in advance of the peak of the epidemic, as markets tend to overreact at the beginning of a crisis and then stabilise and rebound, despite the continuation of the negative news flow.
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White papersEM Local Debt’s Time to Shine?
Emerging markets (EM) local currency denominated debt may be poised to outperform.
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White papersSetting the standard for sustainable agriculture
Businesses, governments, and people from all walks of life are increasingly recognizing sustainable and responsible business practices as crucial to confronting some of the world’s most pressing economic, social, and environmental challenges.
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White papersMulti-Asset Class Income Fund Introduction
In this short video, Joe Mc Donnell, Head of Portfolio Solutions & Portfolio Manager for Multi Asset Income looks at some of the themes driving demand for income as well as supply challenges in meeting this need. Joe outlines Neuberger Berman’s approach to generating a consistent income through diversified multi asset class portfolios.
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White papersRisk-on, Risk-off & Repeat
Sentiment continues to swing back and forth in the collateralized loan obligation (CLO) market, but bifurcation remains the constant.
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White papersRates, Rallies & Risks
Investment grade credit markets posted a banner year in 2019; can the good times continue to roll?
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White papersEurope needs new approach to escape economic malaise
With monetary policy seemingly reaching the limits of its effectiveness, another approach is required for the continent to avoid ‘Japanification’. We believe a focus on productive sustainable investment could not only stimulate growth, but also bring about social and environmental benefits
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White papersAmplified: the future of finance is female
In this episode of Amplified, Aoifinn Devitt, Head of Investment of Hermes Fund Managers Ireland Limited, is joined by Steve Chiavarone, a portfolio manager and equity strategist at Federated Global Investment Management and Louise Dudley, Portfolio Manager, Global Equities at Hermes Investment Management, to discuss research carried out by Chiavarone in his paper ‘Respect – The Ascendancy of Millennials and How the Future of Finance is more female’.
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White papersFocal Point US outlook: a soft landing supported by the Fed
We expect the US economy to cool this year. Growth will likely ease from 2.2% to 1.6% because of the full effect of tariffs becoming effective during the first half of the year. The lagged impact of the 2019 rate cuts and that of the additional reduction we expect for Q2 will engineer a soft landing of the economy, despite still substantial headwinds. The Fed will take big steps to adapt its monetary policy strategy to a low-inflation, low-interest rates world. The broad view of this strategy should be clearer by summer, but the dovish bias it will most likely produce will be welcomed by markets.
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White papersRisks Rebalanced - Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 1Q 2020
On Tuesday, January 14, Erik Knutzen, CIO of Multi-Asset Class, Gorky Urquieta, Co-Head of Emerging Markets Debt, and Conrad Saldanha, Senior Portfolio Manager, Emerging Markets Equity, discussed the AAC’s latest views on navigating the current market environment.
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White papersStable Growth, Policy in Transition - Fixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2020
With a stable economy likely to provide a positive environment for credit this year, shifts in monetary policy could contribute to more frequent volatility in fixed income markets, while political developments will be an ongoing risk.
