Latest Manager Research – Page 329
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White papersImpact Report, Q4 2020
It is estimated that damage to our ecosystems and the associated loss of biodiversity could cost the global economy $10tn by 2050. For many, the coronavirus has acted as a wake-up call: we cannot continue our current relationship with nature. Now more than ever, investors must take action to consider the impact of their investments.
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White papersClimate Alignment Principles: How to invest in line with a +1.5 ̊C goal
As efforts to deliver on the Paris Agreement galvanise, investors are beginning to switch from simple commitments to tangible actions. We are increasingly asked by clients: “How can we invest in line with the 1.5°C goal?”
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White papersThe Day After #13 - How Will Central Banks Impact The Equity Markets In The Post-Covid World?
Interest rates are at an all-time low, and even if inflation eventually picks up, it could take some time. Central banks, the first pillar of the investment cycle, are adjusting and are resolutely accompanying governments in this final battle against deflationary threats, at the risk of losing some of their independence.
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White papersEuropean Green Deal: A game changer?
The European Green Deal (EGD) is the EU Commission’s new growth strategy. It tries to turn the climate and environmental challenges, that the Commission sees as “this generation’s defining task”, into an opportunity to modernise the economy. It thereby embeds a large investment program that some compare to the US New Deal (1933) or the Marshall plan (1947).
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White papersECB QE Monitor - December 2020
The main pillars of the new package are the PEPP and TLTRO. The new package strongly focused on extending the duration more than the intensity of the monetary accommodation.
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White papersSustainability-Linked Bonds: Nascent Opportunities For ESG Investing
Since the creation of green bonds, many new labels have emerged, including social bonds, sustainability bonds, and recently transition bonds, not to mention water, blue or adaptation bonds. Despite the standardisation efforts led by the International Capital Markets Association (ICMA), creativity in self-labelling has increased the number of labels. Whereas the type of activities financed by these various bond labels differ, they are all anchored to the same initial concept and to a pledge by issuers that the proceeds will be dedicated to a predetermined list of eligible projects. These are ‘use-of-proceeds’ bonds.
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White papersCurrency outlook: The trend is not your friend
Investors betting on ‘trends’ have been disappointed over the last four years. After rallying by 30% between mid-July 2014 and December 2016, the US dollar has been range-bound. It weakened in 2017, but it rebounded strongly in 2018, consolidated in 2019 and after an initial rally in 2020, it is finishing the year on the weaker side.
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White papersEuropean Equities: The Peak Of Pessimism Is Behind Us
There are reasons for optimism in 2021. Forget a U-shaped recovery; the letter we look for in 2021 is V, which stands for vaccine. Our baseline scenario is that vaccines roll out across Europe in early 2021, allowing business and consumer activity to start to return to normal. But even if there are delays and further lockdowns, the economic impact of Covid-19 should ease markedly in 2021.
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White papersEconomic Outlook: 2021 and beyond - a slow and winding road to economic recovery
In his latest economic outlook report , Senior Economic Adviser to the International business of Federated Hermes, Neil Williams, summarises his expectations for the global economy in 2021 and beyond. Major economies have slowly started to recoup their GDP after an extraordinary year.
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White papersVaccine News Gives Markets Another Shot
Central banks continue to err on the side of caution to support the economy, financial markets are rotating back into risk amid vaccine progress, negotiations for Brexit are rapidly approaching year-end deadlines, while U.S. fiscal talks become more optimistic.
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White papersThree Reasons Loans May Be Poised for Strong Performance
It’s not as simple as ‘when rates rise buy loans; when rates fall buy bonds.’ Indeed, a combination of several factors has set the stage for loans to potentially deliver attractive total returns going forward.
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White papersMulti-sector fixed income – The outlook for US and eurozone debt in 2021
Yields of sovereign developed market debt have fallen to record lows in 2020. Daniel Morris, chief market strategist, and Olivier De Larouzière (OL), head of multi-strategy fixed income, discuss the outlook for bonds in 2021.
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White papersCan coronavirus vaccines be distributed equitably?
As effective Covid-19 vaccines are rolled out, equitable global access is emerging as a concern. In the seventh article in our pandemic series, Sarah Swartz looks at Covid-19 vaccine distribution and how we engage with companies on this issue.
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White papersEmerging Markets Corporates: High Yield Default Outlook 2021
After a moderate spike in defaults, we anticipate an improving financial environment for the next year.
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – Europe, Edition 4 - 2020
Subdued fundamentals persist as the second wave breaks around Europe.
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White papersIndustrial: Ugly Duckling, or Swan?
While we can argue that very few industrial buildings would be considered to have the beauty and stature of a swan, we discuss why we believe that the industrial sector has found a permanent and ever-more welcomed home in real estate investment portfolios.
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White papersResponsible Investing Expands Further With Green Convertible Bonds
While investors have been aware of the merits of investing responsibly for a long time, the Covid-19 crisis is likely to increase the focus on ESG principles, which should play a critical role in the emergence from the crisis. In this context, green bond financing has recently spilled over to convertible bonds, with 2020 seeing a record level of new issuance for the asset class.
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White papersA Secret Plan for America’s New China Policy
It’s based on the reviled and maligned Trans-Pacific Partnership, so don’t tell anyone.
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White papersUS healthcare in a post-pandemic world
The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed systemic weaknesses and technological strengths and could speed the kind of progress and change needed for better quality, more accessible and more affordable care. Already, in both the healthcare and IT sectors, leaders and first movers have emerged providing solutions for the medical and social issues the crisis has brought to the fore.
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White papersECB enters era of informal yield curve and spread control
The ECB is expanding its pro-growth and pro-inflation asset purchases and allowing the buying programme to run for longer. The objective is to safeguard favourable financial conditions as the eurozone grapples with the economic fallout of the COVID crisis. In effect, the ECB is encouraging investors to search for yield, particularly in those markets for risk assets where the ECB is active.
