Latest Manager Research – Page 245
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - April 2021
United States: thanks to fiscal aid and still extremely accommodative monetary policy, the US economy will likely recover much of the ground lost during 2020, returning to prepandemic levels around mid-year, while the labour market will take longer to recover fully.
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White papersEconomic Outlook: can things ‘only get better’?
Looking at the rest of 2021 through a macro lens feels a bit like 2009: one would hope that ‘it can only improve on the year before’. Which, surely it must. Stimulus extensions, accelerating vaccine roll-out (notably in the UK), base-effect, and expectations of more are all raising confidence, supporting risk-assets and promising macro improvement.
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White papersSpring has Sprung from Seeds of Spending
In the U.S., fiscal stimulus and vaccine rollout are already leading to improvements in the service sector.
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White papersQ2 2021 Fixed Income Views: Too Much of A Good Thing?
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Views explores the drivers of the reflation narrative, the potential risks that should not be ignored, and the implication for fixed income investors.
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White papersGlobal Investment Outlook: Inflation, Rotation and Opportunities
In this global investment outlook, our investment professionals across asset classes share how they’re thinking about portfolios amid continued market uncertainty.
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White papersWhy EM bond investors can no longer ignore ESG
The most successful investors will help steer governments towards the path that boosts their credit ratings, gives them most access to the market and improves the fortunes and potential of citizens.
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White papersHow ESG considerations can impact emerging market investments
Governments everywhere are racing to lock in historically low borrowing costs by issuing ever longer dated debt – in recent years Mexico and Argentina even managed to sell century bonds. That presents several new challenges for fixed income investors. Particularly those who own emerging market bonds.
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – Europe, Edition 1 - 2021: Caution required
The European economy ends 2020 fairly battered and bruised as the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic hit hard, both in terms of infections and the wider economy.
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White papersHow might climate change impact economic growth for emerging markets?
For all the sovereign issuance of green bonds so far, a great deal more funding will need to be raised to limit climate change. Globally it will cost between USD1 trillion and USD2 trillion a year in additional spending to limit global warming, some 1 per cent to 1.5 per cent of worldwide GDP, according to the Energy Transitions Commission.7 And a significant part of those costs will need to be borne by emerging economies, not least because they are likely to suffer most.
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White papersWhat Markets are Missing Beneath Brazil’s Messy Headlines
While a lot of things have gone wrong for Brazil, it is fair to say that the gap between market prices and economic fundamentals has gone too far.
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White papersESG: Three Challenges High Yield Managers are Tackling Today
From influencing company behavior to seeking better data disclosure, high yield managers are pushing the envelope when it comes to ESG.
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White papersAllocation Views - April 2021
It is always necessary to search for the flaws in a well-argued investment thesis. Indeed, it is important to continually challenge your assumptions. However, sometimes it is right to just go with the flow, at least for a while. This is perhaps one of those times. The themes that drove markets in the first quarter of 2021 look set to continue into the current period.
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White papersSpeculative grade default cycle: an earlier peak and an expected benign trend
Extraordinary policy intervention has made this HY default cycle unusually short-lived, helping to limit quite significantly the rise in defaults among mid- and high-rated speculative grade companies. A turn into a more benign falling trend over the next quarters looks likely, in light of improved macro perspectives, expected progress in vaccinations and encouraging signals from financial drivers.
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White papersThese 3 laws drive innovation and investment opportunity
You’ve probably heard of Moore’s Law, the observation that semiconductors would get meaningfully faster and cheaper over time, improving computing power. But what about Flatley’s Law and Wright’s Law?
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White papersAmid a US economic boom, how high can rates go?
The possibility of an economic boom this year has stoked worries about higher inflation and prompted a sharp selloff in US Treasuries.
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White papers“The Best of All Possible Worlds!”
Clearer evidence is emerging that in most major economies the joint monetary, fiscal, and health policy response to the pandemic is proving faster, bigger, and better-targeted than we expected.
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White papersAllocating to real and alternative assets: a framework for institution…
Institutional investors have significantly increased their allocation to real and alternative assets, such as private equity, real estate, infrastructure and private debt, over the past decade, with the objective of enhancing the return or the expected yield of their portfolio, as well as improving its diversification.
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White papersMind the rebalancing gap
The 12 months ending 31 March 2021 saw the largest positive divergence in returns between global equities and bonds in nearly 50 years.
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White papersBiden’s infrastructure plan – A golden egg from the Easter bunny?
Valuations of clean energy stocks, as represented by the iShares Clean Energy index, (an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that we view as a proxy for the clean energy equity sector), are now up by around 16% from the lows in early March.
