Latest Manager Research – Page 214
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The Inflation Generation
Temporary price spikes over the past 20 or 30 years have all passed without sparking a general rise in inflation, but here are four reasons why we think this time is different.
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Fixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2021
A potential default in China and shifting policy in Europe have been key developments in an environment of volatility and higher yields that is likely to persist into the fourth quarter.
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The Future of Office: From Uncertainty to Opportunity
There are three key drivers that will shape office demand in the recovery ahead—and ultimately determine which assets and markets will be the winners and which will be the losers.
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How to Invest in the Upside Down Cycle
Policymakers’ “whatever it takes” motto is designed to mitigate risks of an early recession. They will support a reacceleration of activity if an incomplete recovery makes the economy too frail to survive a downturn.
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What it means to be a sustainable investor
The natural world is in crisis: We are losing biodiversity – the very fabric of life – at an alarming rate. Investors would do a poor job if they did not seek to preserve the fabric that is at the heart of building the future that people want and need.
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Allocation Views: Burning US$5 bills
Our Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team retain the view of heightened levels of inflation and persistent market worries in relation to the peaking of growth in many of the major economies.
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From outside-in to inside-out: Transforming finance for impact
To meet the goals of the Paris Agreement, finance must embrace a holistic approach to managing its impact on the environment. Eric Usher, head of UNEP FI, talks to AIQ about this shift in focus and the importance of public and private sector collaboration.
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Disclosures, trade-offs and green premia: The future of sustainability in real assets
The path to a sustainable future for private markets is full of opportunity but also complexity, as Laurence Monnier and Ed Dixon explain.
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Strategic Asset Allocation for a Default Pension Plan
This literature review discusses how to design a default life-cycle asset allocation for a defined contribution (DC) pension scheme. This default option may be the same for all participants, or it could be customised to plan members’ profiles.
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Talking Points: ESG-driven investment strategies in infrastructure
ESG has moved from being a nice-to-have, to being an important part of infrastructure investing and can be used to drive action and outcomes.
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Congress Sets New Deadline, So Do Markets
A general sense of risk-off dominated early in the week as markets faced a “wall of worry.” Lingering concerns over China regulations, stalemates over raising the U.S. debt ceiling, and the stunning spike and volatility surrounding energy prices all weighed on market sentiment.
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Innovation Builds Deep Water Technology Waves
The next decade will see an urgent and widespread boom in investments in innovation across all economic sectors, according to Stephen Dover and Kim Catechis of the Franklin Templeton Investment Institute.
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Fixed Income Views: Persistent, the New Transitory
As the global macro environment continues an improving trend, its beneficial impact may be unevenly distributed. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Views explores the implications for fixed income investors.
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Actions and words: An interview with Dale Vince
The prominent climate change campaigner and founder of green energy supplier Ecotricity discusses biogas, the energy crisis and the need for a shake-up in government policy to achieve net zero in a wide-ranging interview with AIQ. Words by Miles Costello.
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Market Scenarios and Risks - October 2021
We are maintaining the narrative and the probabilities of the scenarios. The central scenario assumes that the policy mix and improving fundamentals will support the recovery and the markets. Beyond 18 months, we expect US growth to revert to potential amidst a higher inflation regime, while stagflationary pressures rise, in particular across Europe.
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Upcoming 2022 Outlook: From European autonomy to strategic sovereignty
The pandemic has highlighted Europe’s dependency on several critical goods, including pharmaceutical products and medical equipment. The European Union found itself temporarily unable to ensure the security of the population because it has outsourced the production of these critical goods.
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Fixed Income markets: what will be key?
Eurozone and US sovereign bond markets have partially reversed the decline recorded over the summer. The decline in yields was driven by global growth concerns and abundant liquidity. How can fixed-income investors position themselves today?
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The Eurozone Gordian knot: how to reform the fiscal framework without abandoning fiscal discipline?
Reforming the European fiscal framework would improve the resilience of the Eurozone…provided that fiscal discipline is not abandoned.
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Covid headwinds ease as China risks rise
At the time when EMs are navigating towards a healthier environment (Covid cases numbers shifting downward and vaccination rollouts speeding up), China’s selfinduced deceleration is now looming.
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Clearing the Hurdles
On a 12-month horizon, this looks to us like an attractive environment for risky assets, but the inflexion point in the current cycle is proving particularly volatile: adopting a more defensive view in the short term may help investors clear the immediate hurdles.