Latest Manager Research – Page 144
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White papersUpheaval in the global FX regime
The global FX regime of the last 20 years has been characterised by a distinct pattern of capital flows. At its core, Asian countries (mostly China) recycled their current account surpluses into USD-denominated FX reserves, in order to weaken their domestic currencies and preserve export-led economic models.
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White papersGlobal foreign exchange regime faces winds of change
Dollar strength is causing strains, even in developed economies like Japan and Britain. A short-term fix could be a Plaza-style accord to weaken the dollar. Reverse FX wars, with a race to strengthen currencies, are another possibility. Longer-term, momentum may grow for a multi-polar currency regime that pits China ...
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White papersManaging the Risks of a Low-Carbon Portfolio
We recognize that much of the world still runs on fossil fuel. However, we firmly believe investors can construct portfolios that substantially reduce their carbon footprints while retaining exposure to all sectors—including energy.
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White papersA High-Yielding Haven
As an ever-more-aggressive rate-hiking cycle rocks the financial markets, might corporate credit offer a space that is both remunerative and relatively calm?
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White papersNavigating the Emerging Markets Default Wave
Despite record defaults, stresses remain relatively low for the asset class overall.
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White papersInvesting at a Crossroads: Three Themes for Today’s New Challenges
As 40-year tailwinds turn to headwinds, we distill an era of sometimes bewildering change into three themes and a new investment playbook.
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White papersGlobal Investment Outlook: Actively selecting opportunity in uncertain times
The current state of the global economic landscape has led to flat or inverted yield curves in most government bond markets, US dollar strength, diminishing central bank support for financial markets, elevated price volatility across most asset classes and higher commodity prices. In this global investment outlook, our investment teams share how this backdrop impacts their current outlook.
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White papersPortfolio construction themes in these times of inflation
Investors seeking to put this bear market behind them aren’t out of the woods yet. Hopes that inflation might peak quickly, that the U.S. Federal Reserve would pivot, and that the global economy could emerge unscathed — all have diminished.
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White papersQ&A: The asset allocation process of a long-term investor
Views from the TIAA General Account
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White papersPoised for growth
Despite a surge in investor interest, UK life sciences remains a very niche real estate sub-sector. For the investment proposition to stack-up, the underlying occupier fundamentals must repay the risks associated with investing in an emerging sector.
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White papersHow do you decarbonise transport - and why should investors care?
The transport sector, particularly in emerging markets, is extremely difficult to decarbonise. As governments recognise the need to act with more urgency, investment opportunities are appearing.
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White papersWhat does ESG mean for private credit?
ESG’s impact on investor and manager behavior has changed the way we look at the world. Churchill’s Randy Schwimmer and Mickey Weatherston address what it means for private credit.
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White papersEuropean Real Estate Debt Markets Re-align
5-year swap rates have pushed all-in real estate interest rates to over 4%, their highest levels since 2013. This has been triggered by record high inflation, central bank rate hikes, and uncertainty on the macroeconomic outlook.
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White papersNext Wave of Physical Climate Risk
For any remaining sceptics, 2022 post-Covid summer has further confirmed that climate change is for real with new record length droughts, forest fires and the Rhine river at risk of running too low for commercial shipping.
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White papersHow will real estate emerge in 2022?
Describe the effect the rising interest-rate environment is having on real estate.
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White papersTime to refocus on bonds - Rethinking portfolios after the great repricing
Inflation has risen to levels not seen in 40 years, leading to a repricing of financial markets this year, which has been particularly severe in the fixed income space. Central Banks have already started to hike rates and turn to the hawkish side to avoid de-anchoring inflation expectations. The era of low or even negative interest rates is over.
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White papersUK market turmoil points towards further volatility in global currencies
Investors’ focus is shifting from the poor growth/inflation mix to the extremely negative external balance picture in the UK. Last Friday (23/09), the government announced an additional 0.5% of GDP in unfunded tax cuts and the reaction of UK assets recalled actions we used to see only in emerging markets.
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White papersPreparing portfolios for the unexpected
Asset valuations are undergoing a considerable reshuffle in 2022, from bonds to equities to commodities. This vast reshuffling of the cards reflects a rapid rise in interest rates and especially in long-term real rates. The rise in real rates is unprecedented since the establishment of inflation-linked bond markets in the late 1990s, and triggering deep concern as US 10-year real yields approach 1.5%.
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White papersRethinking sustainable packaging for zero waste
Our current take-make-waste system harms nature through excessive materials extraction, and, at the end, through crude waste disposal and pollution. Sustainable packaging is a growing industry that can help address the threat this poses to natural capital.
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White papersFixed Income Views: Paradigm shift
Global central banks adapt to a new reality as they continue to raise interest rates to fight inflation and bring it under control. Fixed Income Views explores the implications for investors as they prepare to be challenged by rising rates and higher volatility.
