Latest Manager Research – Page 123
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White papersInfographic – Investing as the economy enters a new configuration
What should investors expect at a time when central banks are fiercely fighting inflation, economies are slowing and geopolitics and global economic integration are in turmoil? Check out this infographic for our views on monetary policy, equities and bonds, and sustainability in 2023 – in short, on investing in an age of transformation.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - January 2023
United States: the US economy is showing signs of deceleration, with restrictive monetary policy starting to weigh on activity and progressively dragging growth below potential.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - January 2023
We see risks on all fronts, but with a little less intensity at the beginning of the year. As such, we lowered the probabilities from 30 to 25%.
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White papersA strained German economy can be good news for Europe
The energy crisis resulting from the war in Ukraine has altered profoundly Europe’s economic performance and prospects. Countries have been affected unevenly, based on how dependent they are on Russian gas and oil.
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White papersChina: back to pragmatism
2022 ended in an abrupt fast-track reopening. In one month, China dropped most of its Covid-related restrictions, vowed to support the housing market more, and set pro-growth policies. We expect the Chinese economy to be separated from the global slowdown in 2023, accelerating from a low base. ...
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2023
An economic backdrop characterized by high risk of policy mistakes and strong regional divergences calls for a prudent stance in risk assets, especially now that markets are priced for perfection, leaving little room for any negative surprise.
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White papersFixed-Income Outlook 2023: Finding Equilibrium
2022 was an ugly year for investing. As central banks battled inflation, interest rates soared and recession fears mounted. Equity and fixed-income markets broke with convention and fell in tandem. Nearly every bond-market sector suffered historic losses, leaving almost nowhere for investors to hide.
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White papersEquity Outlook: Rebuilding Conviction in Stocks for a Changing World
For 40 years, steadily declining inflation and interest rates buoyed equity returns. That changed abruptly last year. Investors must now adjust expectations to a new macroeconomic and market landscape that will require a fresh mindset to reach long-term goals.
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White papersGlobal Macro Outlook - First Quarter 2023
After a year defined by inflation and the policy response to it, we expect 2023 to be a year of transition. The timing of that transition, however, remains unclear and is likely to be defined by the amount of damage done to the economy by this tightening cycle.
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White papers2023 Outlook: Long-term perspective on markets and economies
There’s a new reality taking shape in global markets.
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White papersEvidence of the low volatility anomaly
It is relatively easy to demonstrate the low volatility anomaly – the phenomenon that first came to light half a century ago showing that investing in higher risk equities is not necessarily rewarded with higher returns. Raul Leote de Carvalho explains.
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White papersFarmland and timberland rise up climate agenda
For investors looking to build portfolios that are aligned with net-zero objectives, farmland and timberland have never been so important. Timberland has the potential to be a net negative carbon investment, thanks to the ability of forests to remove carbon from the atmosphere. Farmland’s carbon profile also compares favorably to other types of real assets.
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White papersAsia Pacific Market Perspective 04 2022
Asia Pacific Growth Positive In 2023, Benefit Of China Re-Opening To Be Visible By Q2
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White papersU.S. Economic & Property Market Perspective 04 2022
The Federal Reserve spent much of 2022 attempting to convince financial markets they are committed to controlling inflation, pulling forward the pace of interest rate increases and raising the expected so-called “terminal rate” for overnight borrowing at each of the last five monetary policy meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
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White papersEscape From Flatland
A two-dimensional, return-and-volatility view of investments may not allow you to see important risks.
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White papersPrivate real estate appreciation moves negative as re-valuation starts
US private real estate returns weakened considerably in 3Q 2022 as higher interest rates continued to have a major impact on market pricing and appraised values. This trend is expected to continue in the remainder of 2022 and into the opening quarters of 2023. This is leading to a dramatic slowdown in returns from the record levels seen less than a year ago.
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White papersA downturn is ahead, but pinpointing when and where is the real question
Around this time last year we expected high yield markets to rebound after an August reboot. However, as at the end of October we were looking at our global high yield benchmark losing 15% from the start of 2022. Against this, we did correctly predict that the global yield market would outperform gilts and sterling credit, and that emerging market debt would be a key area of weakness, delivering returns well below the US and European regions.
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White papersCreditably building into risk positions amid falling markets
A series of bear market catalysts punctuated 2022 – from ongoing supply chain issues to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, political instability in parts of Europe, rising inflation and higher interest rates. While the economic environment would prescribe taking a step back to crouch and observe as the cycle plays through, government bond and credit valuations tell a different story, writes Gaurav Chatley, a Senior Portfolio Manager for European Credit at M&G Investments.
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White papersEvent summary: Experts eye index investing to tap China’s equity potential
The case for global investors to boost their allocations to China equities is increasingly compelling.
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White papersIG Credit Outlook 2023: Adding balance to portfolios
It has been a difficult year for fixed income in general. Stocks and bonds rarely decline in tandem in a calendar year, and 2022 was the only exception in the 45-year period dating back to 1977.
