All Global articles – Page 41
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White papersFixed Income Outlook – Come what may
Once gain the US bond market will lead global fixed income markets in 2025, with a strong US economy but uncertainty over the new administration’s policies setting the tone. We expect the US economy, over time, to pivot towards structurally slower growth and stickier core inflation. This more ‘stagflationary’ trajectory may result in the Federal Reserve taking a more cautious approach towards further rate cuts.
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White papersWill US bond markets outperform Europe and China in 2025?
This quarter’s summary of what to look out for in fixed income
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White papersTop 10 questions on real estate markets for 2025: Exploring key predictions with our experts
2024 was a year of recovery, with GDP rising across most countries and inflation moderating, albeit remaining volatile. Ultimately, the much hoped-for soft landing was achieved. Improved financial conditions and investor sentiment fed through to a slow pick-up in real estate investment activity.
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White papersOutlook 2025 - Plan for growth, prepare for volatility
2025 is shaping up to be another good year for investor returns, with healthy global GDP growth likely to support earnings, and falling interest rates putting mild upward pressure on valuation multiples. Explore our key macroeconomic views and the asset class implications across infrastructure, real estate, equities, and credit markets for the year ahead.
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White papersOptimizing for net zero and nature positive outcomes
Net zero and nature positive investing may seem aligned in their goals, yet our analysis reveals that certain net zero investment strategies could inadvertently embed nature risks. Our latest research also highlights the approaches investors can take for nature positive investing.
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White papersTail risks to watch
We see geopolitical risks persisting as a base-case scenario for 2025. Below we share the main upside and downside risks to our base case that investors should take into consideration.
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PodcastOuterblue Convictions – Global Investment Views – Goldilocks ahead of new Trump presidency
2025 got off to a dramatic start with an unexpected jump in bond yields. What has been driving this move and do we expect it to continue? Swaha Pattanaik and Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Investment Institute, explain what’s been happening in the US and UK and explore what these mean for our growth and interest rate forecasts.
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White papersWhat could the new cycle hold for real estate debt investors?
Real estate debt is attracting increasing attention from investors globally, as well as new market entrants, with the potential for equity-like returns for credit investing like never seen before. As we move into a new cycle, we look at the opportunities for non-bank lenders.
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White papersInflation in focus ahead of Trump’s inauguration
“In the Trump 2.0 administration, the fiscal outlook and inflation expectations will be the main market themes to watch.”
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q1 2025
The fourth quarter ended with higher bond yields as the market reduced its expectations for future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
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White papers2025 Fixed Income Default Study
An examination of our bottom-up default outlook and total return forecasts for 2025
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White papersHow to make sense of Emerging Market Debt in a global portfolio
Despite potential short-term volatility stemming from geopolitical events, we believe the current environment presents one of the most favorable opportunities for EMD in the past decade.
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White papersDiverging fortunes: Global Market Perspectives, 1Q 2025
Despite elevated policy uncertainty, a solid economic backdrop implies this is still a risk-on investing opportunity. Our quarterly investment outlook highlights the themes and investment implications for the period ahead.
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White papersNavigating Private Credit’s Next Act
As the private credit market rapidly evolves, we believe investors should consider a more flexible and specialized allocation approach.
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White papers5 keys to investing in 2025
As we enter 2025, market optimism is high amid a strong US economy, interest rate cuts and advances in artificial intelligence. The landscape continues to evolve, presenting challenges and opportunities for investors.
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White papersWhy invest in trade finance?
The demand for trade finance continues to increase, despite a global shortage of financing to facilitate the deals. As we outline in this paper, this shortfall has created an array of potentially high-yielding investment opportunities for providers with the right resources, analytical teams and banking connections.
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Research ReportThe 2025 Private Markets Macro Outlook: Decarbonise, Digitise, Deglobalise
Despite public markets having closed out 2024 near all-time highs, investors continue to face a number of uncertainties – most notably, the war in Ukraine and the ongoing conflict in the Middle East – that will impact global economic growth and investment opportunities in a range of ways.
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White papersBuilding value in a ‘brave new world’
Financial markets are adjusting to a new era defined by macroeconomic volatility and elevated uncertainty. We call it the ‘brave new world’. In this new regime, investors can no longer solely rely on high levels of real growth or low interest rates to drive returns. For private markets, this shift emphasizes the importance of value creation through asset transformation and identifying investment themes supported by long-term secular trends. In this paper, we examine the factors influencing our perspective on the evolving macroeconomic landscape and individual asset classes, which inform our relative value investment strategy in this ‘brave new world’.
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White papersInvestor demand for biodiversity strategies steps up a gear
Biodiversity is increasingly becoming a key theme for investors, alongside wider climate and net zero considerations. The interaction between climate change and biodiversity – known as the climate/biodiversity nexus – is becoming a prominent topic of discussion, while continued growth in the number of dedicated biodiversity-related strategies in the market is also driving interest.
