Fixed Income – Page 2
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White papersUS inflation down, but still above target
US CPI was up 2.7% YoY in December, unchanged from the previous month, meeting market expectations and significantly down from levels seen in early 2024. Core inflation — which excludes food and energy — rose 2.6%, slightly below expectations. It was weighed down by declines in used cars and trucks and by IT‑related goods.
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives
Fixed Income Perspectives outlines the current macro and market views from across Capital Group’s extensive fixed income team and offers insights on investors’ bond exposure against an ever-changing backdrop.
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White papers2026 Fixed Income Outlook: Stay Calm and Keep Your Carry On
Investors would be forgiven for worrying that credit issues may be looming. Recent isolated but high-profile bankruptcies have raised alarms that more such “cockroaches” may be hiding in the banking and private credit sectors — and have spawned fears of a more widespread “termite problem” eating away at the underlying financial system.
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White papersFive years behind us, five years ahead: What’s next for UK Income investors?
Emma Mogford, fund manager of the Premier Miton Monthly Income Fund, looks back at why the FTSE All-Share Index rally favoured banks, defence and tobacco over the past 5 years. Looking ahead, Emma highlights asymmetric opportunities in real estate, housebuilders, utilities and Emerging Market exposed champions.
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White papersAsian Credit Outlook 2026: Finding opportunity beyond the cycle
Asian credit enters 2026 supported by a constructive combination of technical factors and gradually improving fundamentals. Accommodative funding conditions across the region, disciplined issuance and sustained investor demand have underpinned the market’s recovery since late 2023. Valuations continue to offer a meaningful income cushion relative to global peers, while improving credit metrics have expanded the opportunity set for selective investors.
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White papersFinding the AI Megatrend Through Bonds
The AI capex boom is creating a compelling fixed income opportunity, as leading tech firms increasingly fund investments through sizeable AI‑linked bond issuance, offering investors an alternative way to gain AI exposure beyond equities.
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White papersECB to stay on hold in early 2026
Eurozone inflation slowed to 2.0% in December, according to a preliminary estimate, hitting the ECB’s 2% target for the first time since August. We expect inflation to stay below this target both this year and next year, while real GDP growth should slow overall in 2026 despite the recent positive momentum. Growth forecasts were upgraded, while inflation still signals a deceleration due to sluggish private consumption, slowing wage growth, and further euro appreciation (which tends to make exports cheaper).
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White papersExtended Fixed Income: Seeking Returns in Public and Private Debt
In an environment where rates are normalizing and credit spreads are tight, European insurers are seeing a mix of interesting opportunities in emerging markets debt, private credit and securitised products.
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White papersEuropean Fixed-Income Outlook 2026: Fair Winds as Currents Shift
The backdrop for Europe’s bonds remains favorable—even as technological change creates new challenges.
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White papersWhen credit demand follows supply
Corporate issuers are increasingly traversing the global credit markets to optimize their funding strategy. Investors should adopt the same mindset, argue David Mechlin and Eileen Liu.
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White papersWhy our improved credit outlook explains tight spread levels: 360°, Q4
Our confidence in moderate, credit-friendly growth on a global basis has improved.
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White papersWill EMD outperformance continue in 2026?
Emerging market debt (EMD) is heading into 2026 bolstered by a supportive backdrop, underpinned by structural reforms and credible monetary policy at leading EM central banks.
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White papersLooking Ahead to 2026: Opportunities in Fixed Income
Lloyd Harris, Head of Fixed Income at Premier Miton, shares his outlook for the year ahead and how the team are positioning portfolios.
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White papersNetflix and the Credit Implications of an M&A Surge
How could the new wave of high-profile dealmaking affect the investment grade landscape?
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White papersFed cuts, keeps a balanced tone
The Federal Reserve (Fed) reduced its target federal funds rate by 25bp at its December policy meeting. Chair Powell acknowledged that risks to both sides of the Fed’s dual mandate — inflation and labour markets — remain. However, we believe some signals from the Fed suggest labour markets are weaker than current data indicates.
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White papers2026 Fixed income outlook: Structural shifts create strategic opportunities
The global fixed income landscape is becoming more differentiated and policy-driven. Fiscal policy is reshaping yield curves, while the narrowing gap between developed and emerging markets demands a fresh approach to credit assessment. Despite tight valuations in traditional credit, the macro environment remains constructive with improving growth, moderating inflation and healthy corporate balance sheets. Discover where we’re finding the most attractive risk-adjusted opportunities across securitized credit, municipals, leveraged finance and beyond.
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White papersFive themes for EM debt in 2026: a year of greater divergence
Looking into 2026, we see five themes driving our outlook for emerging market debt.
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White papersU.S. Rates: How Low Can They Go?
A more dovish rate cut than anticipated by the U.S. Federal Reserve has created an interesting setup for fixed income markets next year. The focus on its independence adds another dimension.
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White papersEuropean bonds in 2026 and beyond: strong supply, strong demand
European government bond indices are likely to expand in 2026 due to high fiscal deficits in the largest European economies and a continued trend towards more euro-denominated public issuance. Demand from the ECB will shrink further due to quantitative tightening. However, repatriation from European investors and more purchases by insurers and pension funds could be enough to meet the increased suppl
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2025
Topic of the month - Germany: from crisis comes opportunity
