Fixed Income – Page 8
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White papersGrabbing the Bull by the Tail: Assessing Tail Risks Amid Complexity
As a case study into our assessment of tail risks, we discuss how the market-implied probability distribution for a recession has evolved over the past year.
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White papersDon’t Wait for Goldilocks
Yield curves have steepened and the opportunity cost of waiting for a “Goldilocks moment” to add duration has risen. Learn why diversifying across duration exposures, or “riding the curve” offers a compelling solution.
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White papersCorporate lending: Contrasting US and European private credit
Private credit – historically viewed as a niche asset class – has seen exponential growth over the last decade. Here, we explore key differences between the US and European private credit markets.
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White papersWhatever happened to the recession - and does it matter for bonds?
Despite interest rates being hiked to their highest level since the mid-2000s and a mini crisis in the US banking sector, the US and other developed market economies remain in relatively robust health. A recession has, so far, been avoided.
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White papersHow to think about bonds in this new world
After the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2008, investors reduced their allocation to bonds, and broadly remained underweight the asset class for more than a decade. In 2022, the long period of accommodative central bank policy came to an end as inflation accelerated.
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White papersShorter versus longer-dated bonds: Is there a role for both in investor portfolios?
Money market and short-dated (one-to-five-year) bond yields are the highest they have been since the end of the 2008/2009 global financial crisis.
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White papersGlobal inflation: Have deflationary forces subsided?
Global inflation continues to gradually cool, helped by lower energy prices and the impact of tighter monetary conditions. However, getting inflation back to 2% on a sustained basis could prove more difficult and depend on whether longer-term deflationary forces are able to re-assert themselves.
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White papersMacro Perspectives: Diverging views on the economic path
Are current US market dynamics “too hot, too cold or just right?” What are the impacts of rising interest rates? What is the case for diversification? Our economists discuss these questions in our latest Macro Perspectives.
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White papersA view on Italy and its government debt
On 20 October, S&P Global Ratings announced that it was keeping its rating of Italian debt unchanged with a stable outlook. The rating agency’s decision kicks-off a wave of autumn credit assessments and will be followed by DBRS Morningstar on 27 October, Fitch Ratings on 10 November and finally Moody’s on 17 November
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White papersDoing good and doing well: Our approach to sustainable fixed income
What are the core principles of sustainable investing, why does it make sense in this environment, and what kind of companies do we look to invest in? Mitch Reznick, Head of Sustainable Fixed Income, shares the team’s view.
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White papersNo Regrets: The ECB Keeps Policy on Hold
Inflation in the euro area is falling and the economy is rapidly weakening. Against that background, the ECB kept rates on hold at its policy meeting on October 26.
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White papersAre Higher Fixed Income Allocations Warranted Today?
In this note, we compare the equity/fixed income efficient frontier of today with that of 2021. We find that higher bond allocations may help investors pursue long-term return objectives with lower risk.
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White papersFixed income: a bull steepener as rates peak?
In past market cycles, yield-curve inversions like the one seen this year have almost always been followed by an episode of bull steepening, when short-term interest rates fall faster than those in the long term. In this issue of Alphorum, we consider the most likely yield-curve scenario from here and how it informs our positioning.
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White papersInvesting in alternative credit: perspectives on opportunities and risks
Even as traditional fixed income yields appear more attractive, institutional investors continue to explore alternative credit asset classes as a way to potentially improve the risk/return profile of their portfolios.
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White papersTreasury yields rise, anticipating a Fed pause
The U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened as the U.S. Federal Reserve indicates a pause at the November meeting. The market has essentially priced out any chance of a November hike and is pricing in only a 20% likelihood of a December rate increase.
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White papersNot all high yield is created equal
The high yield bond market has matured from its humble beginnings and is now a diverse $1.793bn marketplace for companies to achieve their capital financing needs. As it has matured, its credit quality has also increased. Today, nearly half of the high yield market is classified as BB – the highest quality credit rating. At the same time, the proportion of the weakest credits has also reduced.
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White papersSustainable debt issuance slows after strong start to year
This article was written by Jonathan Gardiner, Sustainable Indices Product Manager at Bloomberg and Tom Freke, Fixed Income Data Specialist at Bloomberg.
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White papersQuarterly fixed income perspectives 4Q 2023: Recession takeoff delayed but not canceled
While the timing of a recession remains uncertain, unique opportunities exist for fixed income investors as we head into the final quarter of 2023.
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White papersCentral banks’ endgame: a new policy paradigm
”Investors will need to adjust to a paradigm shift away from the accommodative policy stance that has supported financial asset prices, to an environment that should make bonds more attractive while increasing the risk-adjusted required returns for other major asset classes.”
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White papersSovereign Fixed Income: An update on our ESG scores
In their latest publication, Templeton Global Macro takes a closer look into renewable energy and the impact of advances in this space, especially for emerging market countries.
