Fixed Income – Page 63
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White papersStrategic Relative Value Q1 2019
A quarterly look at how macro events are driving relative value around the globe.
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White papersSavings behaviour in a low rate world: what can we learn from Japan?
We examine whether Japanese households have taken on more risk in search of higher returns, and consider the implications for other developed markets.
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White papersMarket Resilience: Strength In Numbers
Concerns about where the financial markets are heading are at the forefront of many investors’ minds. The risks of a US or global recession this year continue to persist amid slowing global growth, trade tensions and worries about potential geopolitical shocks.
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White papersMarket Perspectives Spring fever
It’s winter still, but the weather has been exceptionally warm; markets too have got spring fever. After a dismal last quarter 2018, global equities have recouped most of their losses. And thanks to a dovish U-turn by the Fed and falling core yields, fixed income assets have done rather well, too, despite the sharp rebound in risk sentiment.
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White papersRisk-on for Southeast Asian bond markets
Local currency debt markets in Southeast Asia have enjoyed a sharp turnaround in fortunes and their upward momentum is supported by improving economic trends.
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White papersThe Potential Benefits of Global Senior Secured Loans
In the current environment, senior secured loans are gaining traction for their potential to offer a blend of attractive yield and protection against both credit and interest rate risk.
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White papersIs the Green Bond Market Running out of Steam?
Growth in green bond issuance has been extraordinary given they offer no credit enhancement to other bonds and carry additional reporting requirements. Demand from investors with an environmentally focussed agenda appears to be driving green bond prices to a premium. A potential opportunity exists to identify ‘unlabelled’ debt, supportive ...
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White papersIn Credit - Life in the slow lane
Government bonds remain supported by evidence of a slowing in the global economy. This was reflected in the decline in Machine Tool Orders in Japan (See chart of the week), which were lower by 29% on an annual basis at the most recent reading. The US market outperformed last week with yields falling by 4bps for 10-year bonds.
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White papersConsumer delinquency - Thank u, next!
Headlines on consumer delinquency have taken a negative spin. Recent auto delinquency data is at near-peak levels despite today’s low unemployment. But it’s important to examine exactly what is being reported as “delinquency” when reviewing the data.
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White papersFixed Income: Modern Magical Thinking
Why should investors be concerned about the growing size of the US deficit? Sonal Desai, our Fixed Income CIO, explains why there is dangerous thinking behind some political agendas.
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White papersDefault Probability Measure
In a world of integrated global financial markets, accurately predicting company default risk is important not only in traditional fixed income credit analysis but also more broadly across the financial industry.
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White papersBrexit: an agreement is now more likely, but be aware of a no deal risk, not priced in
Developments and scenarios ahead: This is probably the most decisive week for Brexit and the situation is still rapidly evolving. Last night, Mrs. May and Mr. Juncker announced an agreement on the most controversial part of the Brexit deal: the Irish border backstop. This agreement is aimed at getting the U.K. Parliament to accept the Brexit deal previously rejected in January.
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White papersDoing the Math on Women’s Empowerment
No one organization is responsible for the advancement of women, and that means every organization is. Women’s empowerment starts with education. It continues with the ability to earn an equitable living, especially in fields where women are underrepresented, and crests with women playing leadership roles at work or owning their own businesses.
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White papers
Monetary Policy’s Effect on EM Debt
Rate expectations have changed materially across emerging and developed markets in the first quarter of 2019. What does this mean for emerging markets debt? Barings’ Ricardo Adrogué weighs in.
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White papersHedging Repo Exposure in the Treasury Basis with One-Month SOFR Futures
Learn how CME One-Month SOFR futures can be used as an effective tool for hedging Treasury overnight repo exposure.
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White papersBig Challenges for Equities, Bonds and FX Markets
A series of challenges, from the debt ceiling to Fed quantitative tightening to Brexit, will be confronting a variety of markets.
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White papersEM Debt: Navigating a Shifting Macro Backdrop
After a rocky 2018, the picture may be brightening for emerging markets debt. From rising rates to trade wars, some of last year’s headwinds look to be receding, at least for now. Barings’ Ricardo Adroguè and Omotunde Lawal highlight opportunities they’re currently seeing.
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White papers360 – Fixed Income report, Q1 2019
To be considered relevant, a factor must first and foremost be backed by ample empirical evidence. In the absence of such evidence, academic research on multi-asset factor premiums could suffer from ‘p-hacking’ (or ‘data mining’). Recent research by Robeco uses new and previously unused deep historical financial data. The results allay any p-hacking concerns.
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White papersAsset Allocation Update - Much ado about equities and credit
Equities and corporate bonds often do well together. Over the past 20 years the “beta coefficient” between credit to equities has been 0.5 in both the US and Europe; that is to say, for every 1% rise (or fall) in equity prices, credit markets have tended to return (or weaken) 0.5%.
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White papersMarket Perspectives - Patience is a virtue
Sunny spots are rare this winter. Economic data in in Europe and China have continued to underwhelm. Key euro area indicators including PMIs, Ifo and Sentix are at multi-year lows, following a sharp contraction in industrial production in Q4. China reported a slump in trade and the slowest annual growth in three decades.
