Fixed Income – Page 43
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White papersDefensive asset allocation extends into 2023, with a gradual increase in risk exposure later in the year
”Global slowdown amid still elevated inflation to characterize most part of 2023.”
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White papersAn Emerging Opportunity
If you are one of the many investors looking positively at high yield bonds, you might want to consider emerging markets debt, too.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - December 2022
We believe the Fed would keep rates in restrictive territory in the near term. This, coupled with concerns over earnings, allows us to stay cautious on risk assets but with select opportunities in US equities, businesses with strong balance sheets, and quality, value and dividend oriented stocks.
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White papersHow is private credit positioned to circumnavigate the challenges ahead?
In the current inflationary, rising rate environment, private credit may be well-placed to help steer through the various challenges ahead due to its largely floating-rate nature, as well as other attractive structural features.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - December 2022
Markets have seen some relief in a year that overall is likely to be remembered as among the most challenging for investors. But the negative trend reverted somewhat with gains for the S&P 500 and select Treasury Indices.
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White papersEMD outlook for 2023: local currency yields offer protection in volatile conditions
Global factors weighing on emerging market debt (EMD) in 2022 look likely to continue in 2023, with three main driving forces within this: tighter financial conditions led by the US, a stronger US dollar and weak global growth.
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White papersDivergences and Pivots
The exuberant response to last Thursday’s inflation data suggests markets are primed for the “pivot”—but could they be extrapolating too far?
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White papersCredit markets? They’re too cheap to ignore
The market environment this year has proven tricky to navigate, but today’s credit market offers a compelling entry point into global credit for investors focused on long-term, fundamentally driven analysis.
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White papersMarkets bounce on hopes US inflation has peaked
The US inflation rate cooled to 7.7% in October, weaker than many forecasts, to hit its lowest level since January.
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White papersAhead of the Curve, Q4 2022
In our quarterly macroeconomic update, Silvia Dall’Angelo, Senior Economist, provides her outlook for the global economy amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, inflationary pressures and mounting fears of a recession. Is there still ground for optimism? Read our update to find out more.
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White papersUS Inflation Reduction Act: a strong force to accelerate energy transition technologies
In August, the US passed a major milestone in climate policy with the introduction of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). As the largest piece of federal legislation ever to address climate change, we believe it will have a profound effect across industries for decades to come.
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White papersThe pursuit of consistent income streams
Generating income is a key role of fixed income. For investors, the durability of income streams becomes more important amid heightened volatility in both equity and bond markets.
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White papersHow Long Will 75bps Stay in Vogue?
After an initial dovish reading of the FOMC statement, Jay Powell’s tone was firmly hawkish and led to a reversal in risk sentiment and a higher market-implied terminal rate. While the BoE also hiked 75bps, the bank signaled a lower endpoint. All eyes are on inflation data next week.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - November 2022
We maintain the probabilities of our scenarios unchanged. Some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not yet fully priced-in by markets.
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White papersFor the Fed, the impossible QT
The Fed has started shrinking its balance sheet as part of its fight against elevated inflation. However, QT is being challenged by the Fed’s new role as a counterparty of money-market funds. The process would be greatly improved if the Treasury were to announce a debt buyback financed ...
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White papers1-2 November FOMC meeting: debating a downshift, not a pivot
As widely expected, on 2 November, the Federal Reserve hiked the Federal Funds rate by 75bp, to 3.75-4.00%. The action marked the fourth consecutive 75bp rate hike this year. Investors initially interpreted the accompanying statement as dovish by selling the dollar and buying US Treasuries and equities.
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White papersAsset Class Returns Forecasts - Q4 2022
We reiterate the main driver affecting the current and forward-looking macro environments is a combination of sustained inflation, mounting recession fears and geopolitical developments. Price stability has become the paramount goal and even more complicated to reach, therefore CBs will make sure high inflation will not be entrenched in economic agents’ long-term expectations.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - November 2022
Tightening monetary policy and slowing economic growth lead us to keep a cautious stance on risk assets, in light of potential liquidity and refinancing issues, particularly in low quality credit. We prefer US IG (over HY) segments and selectively like EM hard currency debt.
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White papersRecession watch: triggers, outlook and what next for central banks
While recession risk is clearly elevated around the world, they are notoriously hard to predict with any accuracy, in terms of timing, duration or impact.
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White papersUnearthing opportunities in Asian credit markets
2022 has been a challenging year for fixed income, with global investment grade bonds down 14% over the past 12 months. Investment grade corporate bonds in Asia have outpaced US and global bonds, mainly due to their shorter duration.
