Fixed Income – Page 4
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The changing face of global interest rate movements
Rising yields, growing income opportunity and an increasingly supportive market environment make a compelling case for investment in global credit, according to Insight Investment1 portfolio manager Shaun Casey.
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Moving beyond cash
With the highest starting yields in 15 years, many fixed income sectors already produce more income than cash. And these sectors offer the opportunity for price appreciation once the U.S. Federal Reserve starts cutting rates, while the yield on cash will simply decline. We advocate a multisector approach that takes selective risk in credit sectors. Active management remains critical, as credit spreads are likely to widen in the coming months.
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The critical role of high-quality impact reporting in sustainable investing
The world of finance is constantly changing, and one of the prominent trends is the increasing attention to green, social and sustainable (GSS) investments. The issuance of GSS bonds has become a beacon for progress, signaling a commitment to environmental stewardship and social well-being.
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Dispelling the myths around emerging market debt
Things in emerging markets are not always what they seem. In December 2023, Argentina elected as president Javier Milei, a rabble-rousing populist fond of brandishing a chainsaw on the campaign trail. Milei had a radical agenda, including dollarising the economy and abolishing the central bank – just the kind of policies that alarm investors.
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The potential power of income to deliver long-term returns
After years in the wilderness, equity income is now arguably competing on a much more level playing field than it was in the past decade.
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EMEA Investment grade outlook, H2 2024
Inflation is finally coming down, central banks are poised to cut rates, and credit spreads have withstood volatility in government bonds. So where do we see things going from here?
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Why we’ve said ‘auf Wiedersehen’ to Deutsche Bank
A great German thinker once said: “We rarely find people who achieve great things without first going astray”
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Finding the right blend: Optimising asset allocation in liquidity pools
In the second part of our new article series on liquidity optimisation, Alastair Sewell investigates how investors can find the right mix of assets for their liquidity pools.
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Which matters more, top-down or bottom-up?
As an active credit manager, bottom-up analysis is always going to be a core part of our investment process – we add alpha for our clients through careful security selection. But given today’s macro environment has diverged so much from historical norms and is on the verge of shifting again as monetary loosening gathers momentum, what role does a top-down view play and is it more important than bottom-up calls?
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US high yield: Broader financing options soften impact of higher rates
Heading into 2023, the consensus narrative appeared set. The Federal Reserve had embarked on an aggressive interest rate hiking cycle to combat spiralling inflation. A US recession was expected to follow, as household excess savings built up during the pandemic were exhausted and corporate borrowing conditions tightened dramatically after the benign post-global financial crisis era of low interest rates.
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The path to building an efficient private debt portfolio
The private debt market has grown significantly over the past decade and has become an increasingly important allocation for pension portfolios. This development has increased the complexity of portfolio construction. Klarphos, an alternative asset manager specialising in customised portfolio solutions for institutional clients, manages appx. €2.5 billion in total assets, of which more than half reside in private debt. In this interview, we examine how pension funds can strike a balance between maximising returns and effectively managing risk by using private debt as an all-weather solution.
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Frontier markets: select opportunities in local bonds
After facing a number of shocks, select frontier local markets are looking more attractive thanks to a combination of large exchange rate devaluations, tighter monetary policies and increased external financing.
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Global Macro Outlook: Third Quarter 2024
There’s more evidence that growth is slowing, but it appears manageable and unlikely to lead to recession. While rate cuts have begun outside the US, we expect the Fed to follow suit by December. Political developments, especially the election cycle, are now coming into frame.
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Income is in
For the first time in a long time, investors can earn attractive income in debt markets. This includes of course public fixed income, but also the spectrum of private debt/private credit, from traditional direct lending to crowded markets such as specialty finance or asset-based lending.
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Private credit: Europe versus the US
Estimates suggest the private credit market will double in value over the next 5-years. It’s attractions remain as strong as ever: potential inflation protection, diversification, potentially attractive risk-adjusted returns, and volatility reduction. With Europe and the US dominating almost 90% of the market, what are the key differences between these regions and where should investors set their focus?
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Indian bonds go global
Indian government bonds have gained attention recently due to their inclusion in a leading emerging markets bond index starting from 28 June. This key milestone has sparked renewed interest from global investors.
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Collectors vs. selectors & the growing presence of direct lending megadeals
Where does the direct lending market end and the broadly syndicated market begin? With the growing prevalence of mega direct lending deals, the answer is less straightforward than it was even a few years ago.
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Rethinking covenant monitoring for a new era of private credit
Private credit is enduringly popular among institutional investors, but the landscape has changed significantly over the past decade. To navigate it safely, LPs need to ensure their GPs are prepared to monitor covenants closely.
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Fixed-Income Midyear Outlook: Sail with the Tide
Don’t miss out. Prepare to take advantage of opportunities in the second half.Volatility has recently ticked higher as central bank policies start to diverge and as market participants try to divine the timing and magnitude of central bank rate cuts. An unusually large number of investors remain sidelined, not yet ready to return to the market. But big-picture economic trends remain encouraging, and yields remain high—for now. We see these as favorable conditions for bond investors—especially for those who can beat the eventual rush back into bonds.
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A bigger splash: How much liquidity do I need?
The importance of holding liquidity is well understood by large institutions. But how much is enough? In the first part of our new article series on liquidity optimisation, Alastair Sewell investigates the key considerations for different investor types.