Fixed Income – Page 31
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White papersUpward pressures on inflation are the major market driver
We expect central banks to remain on the hawkish side as long as inflation expectations remain on the upside, as central banks are afraid of losing their credibility. However, the Fed and the ECB are in different positions. The Fed wants to tighten financing conditions to slow demand, as the US economy is running hot. However, the ECB is stuck in an impossible situation: Eurozone inflation is primarily driven by higher energy costs, and a central bank has few “tools” to fight cost-driven inflation without hurting growth.
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White papers50 Is The New 25
The FOMC raised the Fed funds rate by 50bps and announced the beginning of quantitative tightening. Chairman Powell signaled that 50bps hikes will be the new normal for the next couple of meetings, as inflation fears remain. The BoE and ECB also contemplate their paths ahead.
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White papersDoes the EM debt repricing present a good entry point?
The Russia-Ukraine conflict, a spike in commodity prices and rising global inflation have raised fresh questions about the outlook for emerging markets (EM) debt. Recent forecasts from the International Monetary Fund and World Bank suggest global growth is slowing. And the U.S. Federal Reserve appears set to front-load rate hikes in this tightening cycle, heightening the risk of a recession.
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White papersFinancing the Future with Bonds that Matter
In the fast-growing field of responsible investing, environmental, social and governance- (ESG-) labeled bonds offer investors an especially appealing proposition by linking financing to sustainability goals. But not all these securities are created equal. Investors with a responsible agenda must make sure the bonds they buy are genuinely helping to create a better world.
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White papersA Value Opportunity in Hybrids
Recent spread-widening appears to reflect concern about rising rates incentivizing extensions, and an economic slowdown incentivizing coupon deferrals—concerns we regard as significantly overstated and a source of attractive valuations.
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White papersFinding the edge in mortgage and consumer loans
The mortgage and consumer loans sector is a long-established and attractive asset class that only opened up to institutional investors relatively recently, as a result of regulatory changes. It offers many advantages, including a highly diverse nature, an entrenched legal framework, excellent growth prospects and inflation protection, as well as the potential for stable and resilient cash flows.
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White papersBDCs Built for the Future
As demand for floating rate assets increases, investment discipline and a wide frame of reference will prove key, says chief financial officer at Barings BDC, Jonathan Bock.
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White papersAdding to the debate: “Is the Fed behind the curve”?
Over the past few months, price hikes above expectations have prompted cohorts of investors to proclaim, “the Fed is behind the curve!” It is a well-known fact that the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) statutory dual mandate is to target both price stability and maximum sustainable employment.
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White papersInvesting in green, social and sustainability bonds
Green, social and sustainability bonds provide financial support for projects and activities that have a positive impact on the environment and/or society. Issued by companies as well as governments, these ‘purposeful’ debts are enjoying growing success.
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White papersGreenium: New Catalysts in 2022
The Greenium – the yield that investors concede to companies issuing a green bond compared to the performance they would have required from these same companies for a conventional bond with the same maturity - was long perceived as volatile, hovering in one direction or another according to the seasonality. But it finally became a key issue in 2020.
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White papersThe Rising Costs of a Drawn-Out War
Financial markets may not ebb and flow with major developments on the battlefield anymore, but we believe they do still need to come to terms with the war’s lasting inflationary impact.
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White papersEmerging Markets in a World of Higher Long-Term U.S. Inflation
In an effort to stave off disinflationary impulses in the economy, the Federal Reserve’s Flexible Average Inflation Targeting (FAIT) framework announced in 2020 was one of the most important shifts in monetary policy strategy in years.
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White papersEMD as a Hedge Against Inflation
Inflation concerns have caused investors to search for income with lower duration, and we believe Asia high yield delivers on this front.
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White papersPrivate debt attractive amid public asset volatility, increased inflation and rising interest rates
Public asset volatility, increased inflation concerns and rising interest rates are driving more interest in private debt than ever before, finds a recent survey published by The Lead Left, founded by Randy Schwimmer, co-head of senior lending at Churchill Asset Management.
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White papersThe inflation psychology is kicking in
After a decade of central banks struggling to bring inflation up to target, the start of 2022 has been characterised by a shift in the inflationary environment worldwide. US inflation is at its highest level in over 40 years, with other DM trailing close behind.
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White papersBonne Récupération: The ECB Moves Gradually, Keeps its Options Open
As expected, the ECB largely confirmed its policy normalisation journey in the coming months, including the tapering of asset purchases over the course of the second quarter. That said, recent data suggest a somewhat accelerated pace of tapering, with the Governing Council now viewing asset purchases as likely to conclude in the third quarter of this year.
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White papersFT Fixed Income Central Bank Watch: Race to the top
The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Central Bank Watch is a qualitative assessment of the central banks for the Group of Ten nations plus China and South Korea.
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White papersRethinking the Credit Liquidity Continuum
As private credit markets have expanded, matured and democratized, eligible investors can now, in a cost-effective and operationally efficient manner, combine liquid and less-liquid credit assets in one portfolio. This allows investors to increase yield profile and potentially reduce volatility and correlation.
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White papersCLOs Well-Positioned Amid Rising Rates, Heightened Uncertainty
In the context of a thin new issue pipeline, secondary market CLOs look more interesting, on balance, relative to new issues.
