Fixed Income – Page 28
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White papers
A safe haven in a time of uncertainty
Royal London Asset Management (RLAM) has partnered with Fundrock distribution S.A, who will distribute RLAM’s products and services in the EEA. This follows the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union and ending of the subsequent transition period, as UK Financial Services firms, including RLAM, can no longer passport their business into the EEA.
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The ECB’s Trilemma
Are we seeing the start of another eurozone crisis, or can the ECB fashion an effective tool to manage volatile southern European bond spreads?
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White papers
Credit Factor Investing with Machine Learning techniques
The most common models to assess asset returns are a linear combination of risk factors. We have employed tree-based machine learning algorithms to capture nonlinearities and detect interaction effects among risk factors in the EUR and USD credit space. We have built a nonlinear credit pricing model and compared it to our baseline linear credit pricing model using error metrics on training and testing sets and during different periods.
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White papers
H2 2022 Investment Outlook - Life above zero: investors’ journey at a time of rising rates
We started the year with expectations of strong growth and high inflation throughout the first part of 2022. The Russia-Ukraine war accentuated the inflationary trend, now well above Central Bank (CB) targets, which is now set to persist longer than expected.
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Sticker Shock Sinks In
Investor sentiment has whipsawed in recent weeks amid focus on growth risks. U.S. and euro area PMIs underperformed and real U.S. spending fell for the first time since November. On the other hand, China has taken a step to relax restrictions. Watch for U.S. jobs data next week.
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With inflation on the rise, what is the long-term economic impact?
Inflation’s resurgence during the past year has awakened fears that the global economy has returned to the 1970s – a period when growth stagnated and central banks lost control of price stability. That’s too pessimistic a view.
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White papers
Focus on Spain: macroeconomic projections and fixed income view
Under our scenario and assumptions, Spanish GDP is projected to grow at 4.2% in 2022, moving below 2% in 2023, significantly below Banco de España projections for 2023 and 2024 at 2.8% and 2.6%, respectively, as we expect the current environment of higher energy and gas prices and high inflation to negatively affect consumers, companies and activity.
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White papers
Optimising the core – how insurers can enhance fixed income portfolios
Insurers are increasingly looking to broaden their staple diets of traditional fixed income and introduce exotic flavours of credit to the core investment portfolio in order to satisfy their appetite for higher risk-adjusted returns, diversification of risk and greater capital efficiency.
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White papers
Cash dethroned: reallocation opportunities for insurers under Solvency II
‘Cash is king’ remains at the forefront of many defensive allocations for insurers operating under Solvency II. However, ultra-low cash rates, rising short-term bond yields and inflation are all a material drag on portfolio returns. We believe it is possible for these insurers to reallocate a strategic part of their cash holdings to potentially higher-yielding, liquid, defensive assets without incurring excessive risks or capital costs.
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Opportunity for non-US investment in taxable US municipal bonds
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income believes an allocation to municipal bonds by non-US investors may provide a high quality and differentiated fixed income exposure to a portfolio.
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CLOs: Well-Suited for Difficult Economic Times
CLOs are a trillion-dollar market that attracts a wide range of investors seeking attractive yields and diversification. In this Q&A, Melissa Ricco, Co-Head of Structured Credit, shares her latest views.
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Five Reasons Private Assets May Offer Shelter from the Storm
Given the challenges in today’s market, private assets can offer a number of advantages—from an illiquidity premium, to diversification, to protection from rising rates and inflation.
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ESG journey is set to accelerate in credit markets
Last year global sustainable debt issuance hit a record of over $1.4tn, with the overall sustainable debt universe expanding to near $3.4tn. In the first quarter of 2022 this healthy trend halted temporarily, as high energy prices and rising borrowing costs weighed on market trends.
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White papers
A (stag?)flationary tantrum: assessing the current market sell-off
We are entering a tough phase of the regime shift, as the risks over economic growth add to the already hot inflationary backdrop. This means that stagflation fears will continue to drive the market and risk assets are likely to remain very volatile, particularly the most indebted companies and those with still excessive valuations.
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White papers
The Fed Makes Inflation Fighting Priority Number One
The Fed raised its benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points yesterday, to a range between 1.50% and 1.75%, and signaled stronger inflation-fighting measures ahead. We think that policy path will eventually cool inflation—but at a greater cost to economic growth than the Fed expects. And financial markets will likely stay volatile for a while.
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White papers
A compelling entry point for MBS
Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) opened 2022 with drawdowns not seen in 40 years and high volatility that tracked the MOVE Index, a measure of uncertainty in the bond market.
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Emerging Market Green Bonds - Report 2021
Significant investment is required to build resilient economies capable of addressing the current climate and environmental challenges. This need is particularly crucial in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs), which are relatively more vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. More broadly, large-scale investment estimated to be as high as US$4.5 trillion per year in EMDEs is required to achieve the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDGs). -
White papers
The embarrassing legacy of financial capitalism: implications for investors
In the ongoing regime shift, investors have to deal with significant legacies stemming from the previous regime (the one initiated under former Fed Chair Paul Volcker), namely two forms of inflation: asset price inflation over the course of three decades and more recently inflation in the price of goods and services.
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White papers
Shifts & Narratives #20 - Stagflation and its roots in capital misallocation
In the ongoing regime shift, investors have to deal with significant legacies stemming from the previous ‘Volckerian’ regime, namely two forms of inflation: asset price inflation over the course of three decades and, more recently, inflation in the price of goods and services.
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White papers
Responsible Lending: The Myth of the Perfect Investment
If building a sustainable bond portfolio sounds tidy and straightforward, it isn’t. The auto industry illustrates the difficulty of finding a perfectly sustainable private sector investment.