Fixed Income – Page 2
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White papers
Bond markets in focus amid growth concerns
“With tariff uncertainty affecting market expectations and consumer confidence, bonds are back as a key diversification* engine for global investors.”
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Can US high yield offer respite from the uncertainty?
After posting 8.2% return in 2024, the US High Yield market has proven to be very stable so far in 2025, despite various headlines with the potential to move markets on both the macro and geopolitical front.
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White papers
Emerging Markets Debt Restructurings: A Year of Resilience and Innovation
Between 2017 and 2022, 11 Emerging Markets (EM) sovereigns defaulted, representing approximately 15% of the Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) weight taken 12 months prior to default.These defaults can be categorized into three distinct groups based on the catalysts that drove each country into default: pre-COVID self-induced, COVID-induced, and war-induced.
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Fixed Income 2025: Roadmap
It’s a very dynamic time for fixed income. Get the game plan for 2025’s winners and losers.
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Return of the Sovereigns
With central banks poised for rate cuts, and fiscal sustainability sometimes called into question, where should fixed income investors be looking now? We explore the return of sovereigns, IG and HY credit as well as the evolving opportunities in EM. Join us as we breakdown the opportunities, risks and strategies.
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Shared BRICS money: basket currency or basket case?
There has been speculation that a desire to avoid using the US dollar might encourage the BRICS nations to adopt a gold-backed currency. But there are several questions to ask about such a proposal.
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Global infrastructure: Listed securities offer opportunities
Our complex framework of roads, waterways, utilities and airports must be maintained and expanded to meet evolving global needs. In the past, government has been largely responsible for creating and maintaining infrastructure. However, private funding has become an increasingly important resource as governments find themselves unable to cope with the challenges of modern infrastructure. Thus infrastructure has transformed from something that consumes tax dollars to a potential investment opportunity.
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The new world of private credit investing
The new European Long-Term Investment Funds Regulation (ELTIF 2.0) has created opportunities to invest in private assets through open-ended funds. Stephane Blanchoz discusses this innovative regulation and the additional investment opportunities it brings.
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White papers
EMEA Investment grade examined – H1 2025
As inflation cooled, central banks transitioned from rate rises to a rate cutting cycle, monetary policies loosened and growth gradually slowed. Where do we see things going from here?
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US inflation surprises on the upside
“With persistent inflation and a resilient economy in the US, the Federal Reserve is in no rush to cut rates.”
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A selective approach is key in high yield in 2025
Jack Stephenson, Fixed Income Investment Specialist, spoke to Investment Week about US high yield and where we are finding opportunities.
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Climate Change High Yield Credit, Annual Report 2024
We continue to see investor engagement play a critical role, particularly with companies in high-carbon sectors.
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Fixed Income prepares for a shiny new year
Bonds finished 2024 with positive returns, and we believe fixed income assets can continue to shine. Solid economic growth, sticky inflation and a slow pace of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts should keep shorter-term yields elevated. And relatively stable longer term rates mean higher yields can help build portfolio income and return potential. In this environment, we like well-diversified multisector and core plus bond strategies in particular.
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EM leaders drive fiscal policy improvements: EMD report Q1 2025
With sovereign and corporate credit spreads at multi-year lows, we remain constructive on Emerging Market Debt (EMD) in 2025.
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Fixed income outlook update: the market comes out swinging
The year started with some sharp moves in fixed income, with developments in terms of inflation trends and labour market conditions. So, how does this align with our broader fixed income outlook for the year?
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High yield highlights in a clouded market
High yield bonds ended 2024 on…a bit of a high. And it doesn’t seem set to end anytime soon. With economic fundamentals showing slow-but-steady improvement, led by a surprisingly resilient US economy, we see further scope for positive performance from high yield bonds as we progress into 2025.
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White papers
LDI market review and outlook – February 2025, political risks clash with bond vigilantism
Political and monetary policy uncertainty weighed upon markets in the fourth quarter of 2024, with multiple ‘live’ central bank meetings creating binary risk and political regime change for France, Germany, and vitally, the US.
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White papers
Euro high-yield – There is more to come!
Over the last two years, the euro high-yield segment has performed well, with relatively low volatility. It has shown resilience to both external shocks and negative idiosyncratic events within the high-yield universe. We think this demonstrates that the segment is now more mature and of better intrinsic quality than a few years back.
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White papers
A More Commodious Curve
By fundamentally changing incentives, a normalizing yield curve makes the bond market much more friendly to investors.This time last year, we were urging investors to “Make Your Money Move.” Too much cash was sitting in portfolios, in our view. The 5%-plus interest it was earning looked set to decline, making it less attractive than equities or bonds over anything longer than a six-month time horizon.
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White papers
Robust fundamentals should prop up emerging market debt
Many emerging market economies have robust fundamentals: strong external demand, stabilising inflation and monetary policy easing, While their GDP growth is expected to outpace that of their developed market peers, there could be some headwinds in the first few months of 2025 from renewed uncertainty around the US Federal Reserve’s rate cutting cycle, the Trump administration’s policy agenda, the outlook for geopolitics and a strong US dollar.