Amundi Asset Management

2019 Top 400 ranking: 9http://www.amundi.com

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Amundi

Italy: Troubled waters and complex challenges ahead but no Italexit on the roadmap!

In just a few days, investors have shifted from perhaps excessive complacency to excess pessimism about Italian politics. 

Volatility is likely to remain for some time, as Italy is entering into unknown territory in terms of governance, which is perhaps worth a specific political risk premium. However, even if a serious confrontation is inevitable between the new government and the European institutions (on immigration, fiscal policy and foreign policy), we do not expect an imminent default risk or euro exit. Weaknesses in the Italian economy are well identified (public debt, very low potential growth, low productivity), but the economic situation has improved significantly in recent years. As long as monetary and financial conditions remain accommodative, the recovery in Italy should continue.

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Head Office
90, boulevard Pasteur
Paris
75015
France
Company website:
http://www.amundi.com
Year Founded:
2010
No. of investment offices worldwide:
6

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What’s new

  • Trade War Escalation And Impact On World Trade And Economic Growth

    Trade War Escalation And Impact On World Trade And Economic Growth

    White papersWed, 18 Sep 2019

    Trade tensions re-escalated during the summer. Starting on 1 September, the US Administration introduced new tariffs and China retaliated simultaneously. More tariffs are likely from the US side, including an increase in tariffs already in place from 25% to 30% and new tariffs on the last tranche of imported goods from China. Concerning extra-tariffs measures, in August the temporary licences granted to US companies to operate with Huawei were extended upon their expiration but, so ...

  • Risk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - September 2019

    Risk Factors, Macroeconomic Context And Forecasts - September 2019

    White papersWed, 18 Sep 2019

    Financial markets have been rattled in the past weeks over escalating trade war between the US and China as both imposed tariffs and counter-tariffs on imports. Idiosyncratic risks stories in countries such as Argentina resurfaced, the UK’s parliament was suspended over Brexit chaos and Italy witnessed a political crisis of its own, although a government seems in sight now.

  • Global Investment Views - September 2019

    Global Investment Views - September 2019

    White papersWed, 4 Sep 2019

    Financial markets have been rattled in the past weeks over escalating trade war between the US and China as both imposed tariffs and counter-tariffs on imports. Idiosyncratic risks stories in countries such as Argentina resurfaced, the UK’s parliament was suspended over Brexit chaos and Italy witnessed a political crisis of its own, although a government seems in sight now. 

  • domestic focus to exploit emerging markets equity opportunities

    Domestic focus to exploit Emerging Markets equity opportunities

    White papersSun, 1 Sep 2019

    The emerging markets (EM) universe has experienced significant changes in the last decade with the further addition of investible countries (i.e. China A shares in 2018).

  • Fed And Ecb, Bridging From A “Mid-Cycle Adjustment” To An “Impactful And Significant” Package.

    White papersTue, 27 Aug 2019

    The minutes from the latest ECB meeting suggest that the ECB is likely to proceed with a full set of measures in September, confirming not only the indications from President Draghi following the meeting but also the very latest statements by Olly Rehn, calling for the need for an “impactful and significant” package.

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