All Equities articles – Page 50
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Structural Trends Supporting Asian Equities
There are a number of supportive structural trends shaping the opportunity in Asian equities, many of which—perhaps counterintuitively—have been amplified by the pandemic and U.S.-China trade tensions.
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Locking Down to Speed Opening Up
November’s U.S. and E.U. flash PMIs may begin to teeter, and initial claims could show initial signs of greater layoffs as more shutdowns are enacted across the Western world. The vaccines present compelling data as Phase 3 trials show strong efficacies for preventing infections.
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China 2021 Outlook: Pandemic Fuels Momentum For De-Globalization, What’s Next?
The coronavirus sharpened the divide between China and the rest of the world in some aspects, according to Franklin Templeton Emerging Markets Equity’s Chetan Sehgal and Michael Lai.
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U.S. Elections 2020: Polarized is the new normal
The U.S. election polls have been packed up, the votes have been tallied and a winner has been declared. At this point, during most other election years, the U.S. would be transitioning to the next government, but this is proving to be an unconventional period. While there is little doubt that President-Elect Joe Biden will accede to the White House, some senior Republicans have so far refused to acknowledge his win. This standoff reflects how fractious the American political environment is today.
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Solving for 2021
With shifting political dynamics, and pandemic numbers spiking even as we receive good news on vaccines, we believe the range of pathways through this unprecedented period continues to warrant strategic navigation.
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US 2020 Election Investment Pulse: Resilience And Vulnerability In Emerging Markets
The US elections have implications for emerging markets in the area of global trade relations in particular, but for investors, it’s important to look at countries and companies individually within the asset class, according to Portfolio Manager Andrew Ness. He joins our Head of Equities Stephen Dover to discuss how emerging markets are navigating today’s challenges—including the COVID-19 pandemic—and note they are home to some of the most innovative and resilient companies in the world.
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Investor’s Guide to the Second-Most Important Economic Challenge
After the pandemic recovery, the U.S.-China relationship will move into ever-more complicated and uncharted territory.
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Don’t Just Follow The Ball
Careful investors know to look where no one else is looking. This week is no exception.
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The Election Is Finally Here: But What Does It Mean?
How will the election shift U.S. economic policy? Will Biden reshape American infrastructure, energy production and healthcare? How does a second Trump term differ from his first? The Investment Institute hosted public and private markets investors to examine the November 3 vote.
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Microfinance: why grass roots EM investing has proved resilient
As the pandemic unfolded, concerns arose that it could be crippling for some emerging markets, but many have been surprisingly robust. The microfinance experts at BlueOrchard explain why.
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An Election Update and Market Outlook with Joe Amato
Stephanie Luedke, Head of Private Wealth Management leads a discussion with Joseph V. Amato, President and Chief Investment Officer – Equities for an update on the U.S. election and the markets after a historic week.
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Don’t Forget the Winners & Losers that Weren’t on the Ballot
Beyond all the victorious and defeated candidates, the U.S. election marked some fresh directions that investors need to watch.
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US election: no winner yet, markets moving from a Blue Wave to a possible Trump trade
At the time of writing, the result remains unclear and prudence is needed as the race is close Biden 238 - Trump 213 (270 to win).We expect an 85% likelihood of knowing the winner within ten days. The winner of the election is likely to be determined sometimes during the next few days as three battleground states, Michigan, Pennsylvania (6 November: deadline for mail-in ballots to be received in Pennsylvania) and Wisconsin, complete the long process of counting large numbers of ballots that were sent by mail as a result of Covid-19.
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Addressing the legacy of the crisis in the EM: the right policy mix in an uneven recovery
The duration of the epidemic will ultimately determine the shape of recovery. An uneven recovery and subdued inflation (barring any persistent supply shock) will call for a prolonged accommodative policy mix, in either monetary or fiscal policy. The merger of the two has to be careful monitored in emerging markets.
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Macroeconomic picture - November 2020
The US economy rebounded in Q3, exceeding our expectations and leading to a further upside revision of our 2020 GDP forecasts. However, given the signs of a progressive deceleration in several economic and behavioural indicators, influenced by the new rise in Covid-19 cases, we are more cautious about the speed at which the economy will enter 2021.
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Small But Mighty: Emerging Market Trends On The Cutting Edge of Change
In this issue of Trends Reinforced, the Emerging Markets Equity team reviews some truly innovative developments in emerging markets small-cap companies.
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Corporate ESG News and the Stock Market
ESG investing’s popularity has continually increased in the past five years. ESG data is increasingly integrated into investment processes. However, the information contained in ESG-related news for corporates has not been entirely exploited by institutional and long-only investors.
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GCC/MENA Bond Market Update
October saw general weakness in global equities, led by a decline in developed markets, while emerging market equities advanced. Bond markets also posted mixed performance. A rise in US rates—even though a further fiscal stimulus deal could not be agreed—was an important theme. Markets also paid close attention to campaigning and poll data in the run-up to the US presidential election.
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Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q4 2020
As noted in our previous reports the much-awaited global recovery from the onset of Covid-19 is facing significant headwinds. As the fallout from the crisis becomes clearer in scope and view, ensuing challenges remain daunting. The interplay between the factors will continue to evolve having an effect in the short and medium-term, the monitoring of these relationships will remain at the forefront of future communications.
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Anything But 20-20 Vision…
Advanced estimates show easing of COVID restrictions led U.S. GDP to soar as second waves have hit Europe and new government restrictions are being implemented. U.S. Election Day is Tuesday; watch Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina—key swing states that may indicate the winner.