All Equities articles – Page 49
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Three drivers of European private equity growth for the next decade
We believe European private equity can augment investors’ broader private equity allocation due to its distinctive and varied composition, demographic drivers and quality.
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Getting Smarter Around Disruption
With innovation continuing to pave the way through the digital revolution of today, consumers and investors alike have wanted to know what could become the “next big thing” across industry sectors. As more and more groundbreaking business concepts continue to enter the market, one might wonder what is it about an idea or concept that makes it truly disruptive? And what is the thought process behind it?
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Darker Tunnel, Brighter Light
The broad flow of economic data has been stronger than expected across Europe and the United States, even as much of Asia continues to recover.
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A few reasons why the Covid crisis may lead to less deglobalisation than thought
It is a widespread view that the Covid crisis will accelerate trade deglobalisation, including through industrial reshoring and shorter value chains. However, the most likely scenario is more complex, as trade in services may grow even more globalised, while the reshoring of manufacturing activities may run into a number of practical, yet also political, obstacles.
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Q3 2020 reporting season surprised on the positive side
Q4 visibility has shrunk as new lockdown put at risk the recovery. EPS rebound should resume in 2021 given the base effect, the ramp-up of stimulus and a potential easing of containment measures alongside the progress made to curb the pandemic.
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The vaccine is a binary event for the markets, not for the economy
Since the announcements of the discovery of a very effective vaccine, first by Pfizer-BioNTech and then by Moderna and AstraZeneca, the horizon has opened up. Investors are beginning to dream of a world immune to Covid-19. But one swallow doesn’t make a spring. Many unknowns remain (see p.4) and the Covid-19 crisis will leave lasting traces in the economy going forward.
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Big Tech at the crossroads…
Big Tech’s stock market performance has become more hesitant. A simple market rotation or a more durable phenomenon? With the exit from the crisis getting closer, sectors shunned during the pandemic could actually benefit from a catching-up movement. However, between its disruptive nature which is cannibalising traditional companies and interest rates which, apart from a slight increase, look set to remain durably low, Big Tech retains major advantages. Especially as its valuation is less exceptional than it seems, provided however that its profits momentum remains sustainable…
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A Heartfelt Thanksgiving
We emerge from the holiday hopeful for a Season of Goodwill in markets, but ready for any last surprises that 2020 might have in store.
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Emerging market giants step up
The Covid-19 pandemic has ravaged economies worldwide. Weak infrastructure and healthcare systems, dependence on commodities and tourism for income, and high debt loads have left emerging markets suffering disproportionately.
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Covid, a stepping stone to fixing climate change
The world stands to lose nearly half of its potential economic output by the end of the century. That’s the shortfall we face if we fail to make further progress on climate change.
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Investing in Energy Efficiency to Fight Climate Change
As part of our search for sustainable growth, we identify broad secular themes that in many cases recognise issues of social importance, such as climate change, health care for aging populations, nutrition and wellness, and expanded access to technology. Indeed, many years ago, our research into the serious environmental consequences of air and water pollution led us to formally develop an investment theme centered on the environment.
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Global Investment Views - December 2020
As we approach year-end, markets can count on two pieces of news to propel some optimism. The first comes from the US, where the Biden victory, without a real Blue Wave, is seen by markets as the best possible outcome.
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2021 Investment Outlook - Market rotations in an uneven recovery
The Covid-19 pandemic drove an unprecedented collapse in economic activity in H1, which was followed by a desynchronized rebound. The recovery phase has been uneven, with the virus cycle dictating the sequence of it. We believe that the damage to the global economy will last well beyond 2021. Output and personal income losses, the rise of inequality and the disruption in some sectors will be the legacies of the pandemic. Expecting that a vaccine will cause these to dissipate within a few months is too optimistic.
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Schroder Institutional Investor Study 2020: Investors back private assets despite Covid-19 uncertainty
Schroders’ latest Institutional Investor Study indicates that even with most investors expecting a looming global economic slowdown to impact returns, they expect their allocations to private assets will continue to rise.
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Markets on a tightrope
Violent equity market rotations present a strong case for balance in portfolios, but an unusually complex knot of factors makes it challenging to achieve.
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2021 Outlook: The Uneven Recovery
Listen as Barings’ portfolio managers and investment professionals discuss the cyclical and structural trends expected to shape public and private markets in 2021 & beyond.
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Structural Trends Supporting Asian Equities
There are a number of supportive structural trends shaping the opportunity in Asian equities, many of which—perhaps counterintuitively—have been amplified by the pandemic and U.S.-China trade tensions.
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Locking Down to Speed Opening Up
November’s U.S. and E.U. flash PMIs may begin to teeter, and initial claims could show initial signs of greater layoffs as more shutdowns are enacted across the Western world. The vaccines present compelling data as Phase 3 trials show strong efficacies for preventing infections.
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U.S. Elections 2020: Polarized is the new normal
The U.S. election polls have been packed up, the votes have been tallied and a winner has been declared. At this point, during most other election years, the U.S. would be transitioning to the next government, but this is proving to be an unconventional period. While there is little doubt that President-Elect Joe Biden will accede to the White House, some senior Republicans have so far refused to acknowledge his win. This standoff reflects how fractious the American political environment is today.
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Solving for 2021
With shifting political dynamics, and pandemic numbers spiking even as we receive good news on vaccines, we believe the range of pathways through this unprecedented period continues to warrant strategic navigation.