Equities – Page 27
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Have a look at our book - 2020 Edition
The book you have in your hands is the 2020 edition of Amundi Research papers. This book represents a selection of the working papers and discussion papers which seem the most representative of our work for the past 12 months. Some of the papers have already been published in academic reviews, others are scheduled to be published, others have been the subject of presentations at international conferences, others are the result of collaborations with academic institutions developed in through chairs.
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Private Markets: A Strong Value Proposition That May Emerge Reinforced After The Crisis
The Covid-19 crisis has caused significant disruption in private markets, but investor appetite for real assets stays unabated. Fundraising will be supported by abundant liquidity. Selectivity and diversification will be key and only the best quality assets should be considered.
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The Day After #13 - How Will Central Banks Impact The Equity Markets In The Post-Covid World?
Interest rates are at an all-time low, and even if inflation eventually picks up, it could take some time. Central banks, the first pillar of the investment cycle, are adjusting and are resolutely accompanying governments in this final battle against deflationary threats, at the risk of losing some of their independence.
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Vaccine News Gives Markets Another Shot
Central banks continue to err on the side of caution to support the economy, financial markets are rotating back into risk amid vaccine progress, negotiations for Brexit are rapidly approaching year-end deadlines, while U.S. fiscal talks become more optimistic.
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The US election and Covid-19 vaccines: implications for the economy and markets
Joe Biden has been elected 46th president of the United States, and it is likely that he will preside over a divided Congress, with the Republicans maintaining their Senate majority. US voters, like the markets, appear to prefer a balance of power. While President Trump has contested the election results in numerous states, President-elect Biden is likely to be confirmed.
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Thermal Coal: Aligning Policy with Emerging Reality
In seeking to curb client exposure to a key carbon source, our team’s thermal coal policy acknowledges distinct characteristics found within the emerging markets.
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Darker Tunnel, Brighter Light
The broad flow of economic data has been stronger than expected across Europe and the United States, even as much of Asia continues to recover.
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A few reasons why the Covid crisis may lead to less deglobalisation than thought
It is a widespread view that the Covid crisis will accelerate trade deglobalisation, including through industrial reshoring and shorter value chains. However, the most likely scenario is more complex, as trade in services may grow even more globalised, while the reshoring of manufacturing activities may run into a number of practical, yet also political, obstacles.
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Q3 2020 reporting season surprised on the positive side
Q4 visibility has shrunk as new lockdown put at risk the recovery. EPS rebound should resume in 2021 given the base effect, the ramp-up of stimulus and a potential easing of containment measures alongside the progress made to curb the pandemic.
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The vaccine is a binary event for the markets, not for the economy
Since the announcements of the discovery of a very effective vaccine, first by Pfizer-BioNTech and then by Moderna and AstraZeneca, the horizon has opened up. Investors are beginning to dream of a world immune to Covid-19. But one swallow doesn’t make a spring. Many unknowns remain (see p.4) and the Covid-19 crisis will leave lasting traces in the economy going forward.
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Covid, a stepping stone to fixing climate change
The world stands to lose nearly half of its potential economic output by the end of the century. That’s the shortfall we face if we fail to make further progress on climate change.
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A New APAC Trading Partnership
The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) stands in contrast to the recent deglobalisation trend.
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Structural Trends Supporting Asian Equities
There are a number of supportive structural trends shaping the opportunity in Asian equities, many of which—perhaps counterintuitively—have been amplified by the pandemic and U.S.-China trade tensions.
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Locking Down to Speed Opening Up
November’s U.S. and E.U. flash PMIs may begin to teeter, and initial claims could show initial signs of greater layoffs as more shutdowns are enacted across the Western world. The vaccines present compelling data as Phase 3 trials show strong efficacies for preventing infections.
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U.S. Elections 2020: Polarized is the new normal
The U.S. election polls have been packed up, the votes have been tallied and a winner has been declared. At this point, during most other election years, the U.S. would be transitioning to the next government, but this is proving to be an unconventional period. While there is little doubt that President-Elect Joe Biden will accede to the White House, some senior Republicans have so far refused to acknowledge his win. This standoff reflects how fractious the American political environment is today.
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Investor’s Guide to the Second-Most Important Economic Challenge
After the pandemic recovery, the U.S.-China relationship will move into ever-more complicated and uncharted territory.
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Don’t Just Follow The Ball
Careful investors know to look where no one else is looking. This week is no exception.
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The Election Is Finally Here: But What Does It Mean?
How will the election shift U.S. economic policy? Will Biden reshape American infrastructure, energy production and healthcare? How does a second Trump term differ from his first? The Investment Institute hosted public and private markets investors to examine the November 3 vote.
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Microfinance: why grass roots EM investing has proved resilient
As the pandemic unfolded, concerns arose that it could be crippling for some emerging markets, but many have been surprisingly robust. The microfinance experts at BlueOrchard explain why.
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Don’t Forget the Winners & Losers that Weren’t on the Ballot
Beyond all the victorious and defeated candidates, the U.S. election marked some fresh directions that investors need to watch.