Equities
-
White papersPrivate Markets, Edition December 2024
It gives us great pleasure to announce that going forward, we’ve teamed up with The Red Thread as a means of connecting thinking across our industry. We believe that by unearthing the key threads that run though market trends, our readers should be able to see opportunity and risk with greater clarity.
-
White papersInvestment Perspectives 2025 Outlook: No time for complacency
Markets took the key events in 2024 mostly in their stride. Will this relaxed view persist over the next 12-months? CIO’s from across our investment teams discuss the likely events and drivers they believe will shape investor returns over the coming year.
-
White papersWhat does Trump 2.0 mean for emerging markets?
The shift on domestic and foreign policy under the incoming US administration presents a wide range of potential outcomes for EM.
-
White papersA short-lived crisis with long-lasting implications: first take on South Korea’s political event
In a significant political development, South Korean President Yoon declared emergency martial law on December 3, 2024, accusing the opposition of engaging in “anti-state activities” and plotting rebellion. This declaration followed the opposition Democratic Party’s actions in the parliamentary budget committee, where they pushed through a downsized budget bill and submitted impeachment motions against key government officials.
-
White papersWhere will returns come from? Pensions in a new economic regime
Where will returns come from? Pensions in a new economic regime
-
White papersSolid equity performances keep funding ratios on a high
Despite experiencing volatility in Q3 2024, markets demonstrated resilience with largely positive returns. The decrease in liability discounting rates in Q3 compensated these good performances, and funding ratios have been mostly stable over the period, still at comfortable levels.
-
White papersCan Black Friday ever be green?
With Black Friday, the retail event marking the unofficial start of the holiday shopping season, and other deep discount tactics rising in popularity, Premier Miton’s Fiona Manning considers whether e-commerce could ever turn green.
-
White papersTrumponomics to provide new twists in 2025
The US election and the radical economic programme President-elect Donald Trump has promised to implement will heavily influence macroeconomic developments in 2025. While much of the course of the year from an economic perspective is largely baked in, reflecting the existing momentum (or lack of) of the major economies, ‘Trumponomics’ will affect all and provide new twists.
-
White papersThe CIO view: Shifts in the balance of risk and return
US President-elect Donald Trump’s radical policy agenda has created some financial market uncertainty, in terms of the outlook for investment returns. Nevertheless, we believe the central macroeconomic outlook remains favourable for bonds and equities. Growth, stable inflation and lower interest rates should support markets. But investment decisions need to consider cashflow resilience and valuations, given policy risks and broader concerns. For now, we don’t expect a recession in 2025 which should help deliver positive equity returns, while credit markets should provide attractive income opportunities.
-
White papersSeeking returns in private markets and emerging markets in a disruptive era
As pension investors transition to a new regime, one question has come to the fore: where will the returns come from?
-
White papersConsumer confidence sparks Black Friday
In November, US consumer confidence hit its highest point in over a year. Notably, expectations for the next six months (as shown in the chart) are at their highest level in nearly three years, which is promising for the upcoming holiday season. The increase in political discussions among survey participants indicates that the political climate following Donald Trump’s election may have influenced consumer attitudes.
-
White papersResponsible Investment in Private Equity
In this paper, we aim, as a follow-up of the broader paper we recently published on this topic, to analyze how Private Equity (PE) investors approach responsible investing cross-linking again conclusions from academic research with our experience as a PE investor as well as a survey of PE investors, including both Global Partners (GPs) and Limited Partners (LPs).
-
White papersResponsible investing in private equity
Due to its growing size, and the levers it holds in setting the strategy for portfolio companies, the PE industry has a decisive impact on how the global economy addresses the key challenge of climate change and, more generally, whether companies are managed in a responsible manner.
-
White papersSmall Caps: What You Don’t Know But Should
Small cap stocks span a wide range of characteristics and performance drivers that we believe index funds are not built to exploit.
-
White papersBack to Business
After a year of tumultuous elections, investors can now refocus on company fundamentals—and the outlook is more nuanced than it might seem.
-
White papersKey Implications of Trump 2.0 for Private Equity
While the policies and implications of Trump 2.0 are difficult to predict, we remain optimistic about private equity’s ability to navigate change in a dynamic environment and potentially deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns.
-
White papersSmall Caps: To Index or Not to Index
More investors are taking a passive approach to small caps. Should they?
-
White papersCentral and Eastern Europe (CEE): Back on the EM Radar
Higher Funding Needs Due to Elevated Post-Pandemic Fiscal Imbalances.
-
White papersA new frontier for stewardship
Stewardship has evolved significantly since EOS at Federated Hermes Limited began in 2004, maturing into an industry with many more participants, all seeking to drive real-world outcomes. But this has also brought fresh challenges. Amy D’Eugenio reflects on this changing backdrop and looks ahead to the next 20 years.
-
White papers2025 Macro Outlook: Slower growth amid geopolitical uncertainty, but opportunities remain
Headwinds are blowing but conditions are supportive, so we see both risks and opportunities in 2025.
