All Commentary articles – Page 83
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Fixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2022
With inflation top-of-mind for investors, we believe the Federal Reserve’s reaction function will likely be a key driver of real yields, the dollar and risk markets this year.
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Video
How to future-proof your portfolio against shocks
In his latest video, Mahdi Mokrane, Head of Investment Strategy and Research, discusses the three major impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the real estate industry.
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US Stocks: Enduring Advantages for Testing Times
After three supercharged years for US equities, many investors wonder whether the market still has fuel for 2022. While higher valuations warrant caution, we believe a carefully chosen allocation can capture advantages inherent to the US market that underpin solid long-term return potential.
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Key predictions - Top 10 real estate questions for 2022
Our research team gives answers to some of the key questions that real estate investors face, including:
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Cities That Work 2021: Europe’s top cities for office investments
London, Stockholm and Berlin have been ranked Europe’s top three cities in terms of office sector investment opportunities in Allianz Real Estate’s Cities That Work 2021 report.
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EMD in 2022: New catalysts offset gloom and doom
The global outlook remains mired with worries about inflationary pressures, central bank rate hikes, and liquidity withdrawals.
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Pensions Watch – Issue 16: What’s Been Happening And What’s On The Horizon In The World Of Pensions
In this edition of Pensions Watch, the first for 2022, we consider what’s on the horizon over the next 12 months for UK pension schemes, what these initiatives mean for schemes and why each is key to improving member outcomes.
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New Year, New Monetary Policy
As markets adjust for an environment of tighter monetary conditions, we preview the key themes of our forthcoming Fixed Income Investment Outlook.
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Asset allocation – A fat (real) tail in 2022
2021 was an awkward ’steady state’ year for financial markets: bonds delivered the worst returns in a quarter of a century except for one year (1999), while equities secured top-quartile (or better) returns over the same period.[1]
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White papers
That déjà vu feeling: The outlook for UK infrastructure
Rewind to the start of 2021; it promised to be a year we would slowly but surely move towards a post-COVID-19 world in our personal and working lives. One year on, there is an air of Groundhog Day as we remain under guidance to work from home with continued uncertainty as to when we will be firmly past the influence of COVID-19 on our lives.
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White papers
Market Scenarios and Risks - January 2022
We are making no change to the narrative and the probabilities of the scenarios. The central scenario assumes that Covid will become endemic with multiple, albeit manageable waves, that fiscal levers will remain significant and tied to monetary policy, and that growth will come back to potential in 2023. We assume the Omicron variant will temporarily impact the recovery in Europe.
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White papers
LatAm’s political pendulum takes a hard swing to the left in 2021
2021 Covid surging in 1H and inflation swelling in 2H have contributed to the political pendulum swinging hard left in LatAm. More structurally, the commodity super cycle unwind mid last decade and the political discontent likely set the entire shift in motion. Against the general trend, some elections cycles moved in the other direction as well.
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Podcast
Macroeconomics and markets in 2022 – Rebalancing supply and demand
What can investors expect after a year marked by new phases of the pandemic and given the prospect of another year that could see further outbreaks, renewed restrictions on mobility and activity? What is the macroeconomic outlook for 2022? What can we expect from the markets?
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Outlook 2022
The heads of our investment platforms welcome the New Year with their views for 2022.
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Investment Research - Trends for 2022
As worrying new COVID-19 variants emerge, the pandemic is still far from over, while concerns about higher inflation and rising market interest rates persist. Nevertheless, the backdrop for real estate markets in 2022 is one of transition to a new phase of recovery and expansion.
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Seeing More Clearly Through the “Value Chain Lens”
We focus on the solar energy market to show how a Value Chain Lens helps us to identify the business models and companies most likely to thrive in tomorrow’s economy.
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The Most Important Rate in the Whole Wide World
Markets may be missing the importance of record-low real rates, and the potential impact if they start to rise.
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Private markets: focus on ESG and transformation
According to our 2022 Investment Outlook, next year will feature growth deceleration, persistent inflation pressure and asynchronised central bank action. 2022 will also be a pivotal year for the transition to carbon neutrality and the development of a more inclusive growth model.
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Analyzing global cities in the 2020s
Post-pandemic life is on the horizon, but which global markets are best positioned to benefit over the next decade?
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Real estate: why diversification is more than a buzzword
The pandemic has shown the value of a broad asset range and flexible allocation