The resurgence of the virus cycle, central banks’ reactions to high inflation figures, and Evergrande’s unavoidable default have led to some volatility in the market, but these issues have not caused any major disruption. In the battle between growth and inflation narratives, the mantra that bad news is good news for markets continues to prevail.
At this point, it is definitely too early to make a judgement on the Omicron variant and its impacts. Investors should be aware that the virus cycle will be in focus once again. The new variant may affect the fragile parts of the supply chain, further adding to inflationary pressures. Importantly, there is a psychological element in the inflation situation currently offering a self-fulfilling narrative. This is definitely a risk to take note of moving into 2022.
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