Content (1217)
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White papersUS and China: balancing the decoupling
“Impacts of the trade war are just about to unfold, and some are not erasable by whimsical policy changes. It is complacent to assume there will be no structural consequence.”
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White papersWhat to expect for the US Treasury market?
Until very recently, the US dollar (and US capital markets) seemed to reign supreme. The dollar has increasingly dominated as the currency of global transactions. Swift payments denominated in dollars rose from just over 30% of the total in early 2010 to an all-time high of 50.2% in January 2025.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2025
President Trump’s tariff announcements have rattled the previously dominant US financial markets, putting pressure on Treasury yields amid fears of slower growth and rising inflation. Recently, the difference in yield that investors expect for holding Treasuries compared to swaps has increased significantly, signalling a perceived higher risk of holding Treasuries.
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PodcastOuterblue Talks Research – Capital Market Assumptions 2025
Against a backdrop of extraordinary global uncertainty, Amundi’s 2025 capital market assumptions report explores the game changers that are shaping investment decisions and asset class return expectations. Join Giulio Lombardo as he speaks to Monica Defend, Head of the Amundi Investment Institute, and John O’Toole, Head of Multi-Asset Investment Solutions, to discover this year’s main findings and what’s changed since last year.
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White papersFed’s policy dilemma
“The sequencing of tariffs, tax cuts and deregulation complicates the Fed’s mission and raises concerns about near-term inflation pressures. Nevertheless, we anticipate substantial rate cuts in the second half of the year as weaker growth emerges.”
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White papersTailoring real and alternative assets to illiquidity appetite
“Real and alternative assets are key to enhancing risk-adjusted returns. Private equity and debt are appealing in the search for higher return potential.”
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - May 2025
Extreme policy uncertainty in the US is leading to sharp movements and increased volatility. Recent bond yield dynamics signal a shift from seeking safety in US assets to a reassessment of Treasuries and the USD as ultimate safe havens.
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PodcastOuterblue RI - How do engagement and voting drive action on corporate sustainability?
This episode will explore what proxy voting is, and why it is important in an overall stewardship strategy of an asset manager. Many themes will be touched upon, including board compensation, Say on Climate resolutions, and filing shareholder resolutions to accelerate improvements in the climate strategy.
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White papersTrump’s first 100 days
“The eventful first 100 days in office of Donald Trump put into question the dominant role of US assets, thus pushing global investors to look to other areas such as Europe in search for diversification*.”
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White papersTrade war is clouding global growth
“Uncertainty on policy and tariffs, and weakening US economic growth call for a continued rotation towards regions such as Europe and selective emerging markets that may offer strong long-term opportunities.”
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White papersPrivate Assets likely to stay resilient during market turmoil
Market weakness started in late February, primarily driven by a valuation correction in the US tech sector and a de-concentration of most crowded stocks. This was amplified by declining sentiment amongst households, corporations, and investors.
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White papersDiversification in times of uncertain markets
Over the past week, markets have experienced extreme uncertainty caused by US policy gyrations on tariffs. This uncertainty has started to weigh on US assets, including the dollar and US Treasuries. Despite the 90-day pause announced on 9 April, the US average tariff rate remains at a 100-year high, with rising US tariffs on China triggering retaliation from the latter.
