Content (890)
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White papers
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - September 2023
Much less fiscal policy support will likely constrain domestic demand and higher-for-longer interest rates will make monetary policy even more restrictive.
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White papers
Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - September 2023
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 1 September 2023
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White papers
Macroeconomics, Geopolitics, and Strategy - September 2023
Japan’s Q2 GDP significantly outperformed expectations, soaring to a 6% SAAR* from 3.7% in Q1. This robust performance was primarily driven by a surge in exports, while domestic demand indicators, such as private consumption and imports, contracted. We have revised our 2023 growth forecast up from 1% to 2%, to reflect the Q2 surprise.
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White papers
The Eurozone economy under scrutiny, as the policy support fades
The Eurozone economy has stagnated over the last three quarters, although growth in the second quarter was marginally positive due to strong idiosyncratic growth in one or two smaller countries.
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Podcast
Outerblue Convictions – Global Investment Views: Divergences persist as we head into autumn
For many, September has a back to school feel about it after a long break and is often the chance for a bit of a refresh. This summer, markets certainly weren’t on holiday, as August saw corrections and volatility, whilst there was also further softening in economic data, particularly in Europe and China.
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White papers
CBDCs: where does the project and debate stand?
Since we first wrote about the topic in February 2021, a lot has happened on the Central Bank Digital Currency front. Most Central Banks are now at various stages of CBDC research, with several conducting large scale tests, and a small number even being fully launched. But debates regarding the utility, advantages, and risks of CBDCs have also been growing.
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White papers
Global Investment Views - September 2023
”The current asymmetric risk/return profile doesn’t call for increasing risks. Instead, investors should stay balanced and search for signals regarding confirmation of the economic direction.”
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White papers
ESG Thema #13 - Time for action: Unlocking climate finance in Africa
This paper is co-written with the African Development Bank.
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White papers
Emerging Market Green Bonds - Report 2022
The year 2022 proved a challenging one for international capital markets. For only the fifth time in the last 100 years, U.S. Treasuries and the S&P 500 both ended the year lower than where they started.
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Webinar
What Awaits Us This Autumn?
As investors head towards the last quarter of the year, the global outlook hinges on few relevant themes. Join us on Thursday 7 September, where Vincent Mortier, Group Chief Investment Officer, Monica Defend, Head of Amundi Institute, and Ken Taubes, Chief Investment Officer, Amundi US, will talk about these issues and the opportunities they will generate for investors.
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Podcast
Outerblue Talks Research – Parallels with the 70s. The long and winding road continues
Whilst fashion trends regularly make come-backs, revivals in economic trends are a lot less frequent. The double-digit inflation rates seen over the past two years have left many wondering whether other hallmarks of the 1970s are also due for a return and what can be learnt from previous missteps as we transition to a new economic model.
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White papers
US credit rating downgrade: investment implications
On 1 August, Fitch Ratings, one of the three main independent debt ratings agencies, downgraded US debt from an AAA rating to AA+ with a stable outlook.