Content (103)
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White papers2026 European Outlook - Navigating The Winds of Change
With inflation now close to central banks’ target levels, financial markets are not expecting any further rate cuts in the Eurozone. Increasing levels of government debt, US trade policy uncertainty and remaining inflation concerns continue to weigh on the bond markets and limit the chances of government bond yields’ tightening.
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White papersReconciling Prime Market and Fund-level Returns
The strong long-term correlation between our usual European prime market returns and European fund-level returns provides a solid basis for testing whether we can use prime market returns to project fund returns.
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White papersIncreased Transition Risk Premium Based on Higher Costs & Better Data
The latest data on temperature and sea level rises confirm that climate change continues to advance. Despite reduced emissions from both the EU27 and the US, global emissions growth continues. These trends might push the Paris accord target of 1.5 degrees by 2050 out of reach when we consider all industries and countries.
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Research ReportIncrease In Conversions Expected To Benefit European Office Market Recovery
In this publication, we update our analyses for European office markets. Our initial analyses show that GenAI is expected to have a positive impact on office employment as it will automate certain routine tasks, while creating new higher value-add AI-related jobs. London, Paris and Frankfurt are expected to benefit most from future AI adaptation.
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White papersBroad-based Logistics Demand Offers Resilience Against Tariffs
Despite the most recent reductions and pauses, tariffs triggered a spike in trade policy uncertainty. This is expected to push up supply chain pressures. European logistics occupiers are likely to further deepen their operational focus from just-in-time to just-in-case to ensure continuity. This might trigger a higher demand for logistics space.
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White papers2025 Mid-Year European Outlook: Still On Track, Despite Tariffs
The prime European real estate recovery is expected to stay on track. Regardless of the fast-changing news on tariffs and its related macroeconomic uncertainties, current income and projected rental growth are expected to mitigate the tariff’s impact on European prime returns.
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White papersEuropean Residential Returns to Focus on Current Income and Rental Growth
Despite lower mortgage rates and a recovery in lending volumes over the last year, affordability for homeowners is projected to remain challenging as 2025-29 house prices are forecast to increase by 3.5% p.a. in both the Eurozone and the UK.
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White papersThe Long-Awaited Renaissance of European Retail
Despite ongoing uncertainty, real retail sales in the Eurozone are projected to grow modestly at 1.7% p.a., outpacing both 1.4% p.a. real GDP and 1.0% p.a. real disposable income growth over the 2025-29 period.
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White papersBorrowing Costs Come Down While Refinancing Challenges Remain
Eurozone inflation came down faster than expected, pushing 5 year Euro swap rates down more than previously projected. Central banks rate cuts are now expected to be delayed with swap rates forecasted to come out just above 2% by year-end 2025. As a result. Eurozone CRE ...
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White papersPrime Time For Cbd European Offices While Non-Cbd Offices Trail
In this publication, we cover for the first time the European office markets beyond the usual prime segment of the market, to fully capture the polarisation between prime and secondary buildings which has accelerated with the increase in remote working capture the polarisation between prime and secondary buildings which has accelerated with the increase in remote working.
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White papersLogistics Remains Favorite As Take-Up And Values Are Projected To Recover
The European macroeconomic outlook has improved in H1 2024 as both retail sales and industrial output rebounded. Together with normalizing global supply chains and continued growth in e-commerce sales penetration, logistics take up is projected to recover from its recent slowdown.
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