All White papers articles – Page 231
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White papersImpact investing: Resiliency of affordable housing investments
The affordable housing sector remains an attractive strategy within real estate given the sector’s economic resilience compared with other housing sub-asset classes. The essential need for housing means demand is steady throughout the economic cycle, including recessionary environments.
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White papersUK government woes continue to overshadow markets
Investors unnerved by conflicting plans of the Bank of England and the UK Treasury as central bank seeks to put brake on growth to tame inflation while government wants to put foot on the growth accelerator.
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White papersU.S. Inflation Feeling Hot, Hot, Hot
Inflation rages on in the U.S. and elsewhere as the global economy faces further instability. What will this mean for central banks’ tightening efforts in the coming weeks, and are markets starting to recognize–and react–that it will take more time for prices to come down?
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White papersTighter Conditions Begin to Squeeze the Economy
As the economy slows, an epic climb in short-dated rates and bond yields appears to have shocked investors into accepting the prospect of stickier inflation, but they still seem reluctant to price for substantially lower earnings.
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White papersFixed Income Investment Outlook: 4Q 2022
Despite volatility, the basic storyline of inflation and the Federal Reserve should continue to drive market behavior. Over the months ahead, we anticipate continued tightening by the Fed and challenging European growth trends, with tail risks tied to the U.K., China weakness and policy overreach. A focus on shorter durations and quality, with opportunistic exposure to longer bonds and credit, merits consideration.
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White papersGlobal CIO Q&A: on inflation, rates, recession and more
Inflation has reached record levels. What do you expect in the upcoming months?
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White papersBe Wary of Bear Market Rallies
We may want to be optimistic about inflation and rates, but that only delays the hard questions we are likely to face as we enter the new economic era.
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White papersSustainable Global Equity, 2022 Q3 report
As well as our usual engagement and ESG metrics, the latest quarterly report from the Sustainable Global Equity team considers the health of the world’s supply chains. Are they on the mend after pandemic-induced dislocations?
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White papersReal Estate Outlook – US, Edition September 2022
“We continue to focus our strategies on defensive positioning while economic uncertainties persist. This typically includes marginal movements around strategy targets; less leverage, lower amount of value-add activities, and a focus on increasing occupancy over rent growth in retail and office.”
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White papersArtificial Intelligence and ESG: How do they fit?
Artificial Intelligence (AI) helps to circumvent some challenges with traditional ESG data. Textual and satellite data analysis can discover key ESG risks and opportunities. AI contributes to ESG integration by providing an alternative source of data for monitoring ESG reporting.
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White papers360°, Q3 2022
In the latest edition of our 360° report, we revisit what’s been something of an annus horribilus for fixed income investors. Against a backdrop of rising inflation, tightening monetary policy and a historical drawdown for bond markets, what are the prospects for an asset class that emphasizes stability and reliable returns?
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - October 2022
United States: Growth. We are still calling a soft landing in the US, with an extended period of sub-par growth for 2023 and 2024. We expect the US economy to grow by 0.9% in 2023 (1.1% Q4/Q4) and 1.3% in 2024 (1.3% Q4/Q4). Inflation. Headline inflation has peaked in the ...
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - October 2022
We maintain the content and probabilities of our scenarios. Note that some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not yet fully priced-in by markets. It would take a combination of risk factors for the downside scenario to materialise. The downside is counterbalanced by an upside scenario, that of a rapid decline in inflation due to an easing of gas prices and/or to the combined tightening of global monetary policies, the impact of which can be underestimated.
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White papersToo early for a Fed pivot
The flattening of the US yield curve will depend on the persistence of core inflation and on the impact of monetary tightening on growth. The more resilient the US economy proves to interest-rate hikes, the more aggressively the Fed will have to tighten monetary policy, thereby increasing the risk of recession. We have gone from ‘bad news is good news’ to ‘good news is bad news’.
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White papersTLTRO in the context of ECB policy normalisation
TLTRO repayments and redemptions will drive incoming ECB passive QT over the next few quarters. So far, banks have repaid a small amount of liquidity, while the ECB’s recent decision on remuneration of excess reserves has helped keep current excess liquidity abundant, aiming at a smooth transmission of its monetary policy.
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White papersSDG Engagement Equity Q3 2022 case study
ROIC is the largest publicly-traded, grocery-anchored shopping centre real estate investment trust (REIT) focused exclusively on the west coast of the US.
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White papersRelaxed financial markets look at Lula’s comeback
The first electoral round was won by former President Lula. However, the incumbent, Bolsonaro, performed better than expected. Their economic agendas differ on a number of issues, while risks are more asymmetric under each candidate. Either could benefit from a robust macroeconomic scenario.
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White papersUnited States: a green industrial policy in the making
The US Congress’s August approval of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) came as a surprise to most observers. With the mid-term elections just months away and no majority in Congress, no one expected new legislation to be passed. Yet, the Democrats and Republicans managed to reach a compromise. We discuss below the measures announced to promote the environmental transition, which is the centrepiece of the act.
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White papersPerspectives in today’s real estate market
Uncertainty has increased globally due to inflation and conflict, but real estate continues to offer long-term thematic tailwinds:
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White papersDiversification with opportunity – European real estate
European real estate offers investors the opportunity to diversify their existing portfolio while participating in long-term trends. Swiss private investors, for example, usually focus on the domestic real estate market. However, institutional investors have recognized the opportunities and advantages of European real estate in recent years and have started to introduce foreign investments into their existing portfolios.
