All White papers articles – Page 114
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White papersHow long can the Central Banks’ divergence last
The pace of disinflation in most advanced economies is following a similar path, albeit with differences in sticky components. Central bank policy rates are unlikely to diverge significantly (our baseline), but this does not rule out the ECB and the BoE cutting rates faster than the Fed, especially given their weaker growth outlook. The impact of this scenario would be steeper yield curves in the Eurozone and the UK, but not substantially weaker exchange rates, as some fear. A bigger risk to European exchange rates stems from (unanticipated) energy price shocks rather than lower relative interest rates. We explore why.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - August 2024
US mega caps significantly outperformed the rest of the US markets in the first half of the year, driven by better-than-expected economic activity, AI exuberance and superior earnings. Looking ahead, we see a potential for a rally-broadening, which will not be linear and is likely to have multiple legs.
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White papersPrivate Markets Investment Outlook July 2024: An attractive investment environment
While a normalisation in fundraising and valuation adjustments is creating promising opportunities, ongoing geopolitical tensions means diversification within private market allocations is crucial.
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White papersUK real estate market commentary: July 2024
Oliver Kummerfeldt, Head of European Real Estate Research, discusses the economic environment and offers valuable perspectives on making informed decisions when it comes to UK real estate investments.
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White papersEuropean real estate market commentary: July 2024
Oliver Kummerfeldt, Head of European Real Estate Research, discusses the economic environment and offers valuable perspectives on making informed decisions when it comes to European real estate investments.
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White papers2024 U.S. election: The importance of staying invested
It can be easy for investors to let their political persuasions impact their long-term financial judgment. However, allowing the outcomes of elections, particularly ones as polarized as what investors are facing this fall, to trigger an adjustment to portfolio allocations or even a withdrawal from markets entirely, has historically ...
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White papersPositioning for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
Calls from senior members of the Democratic party finally became too great this past weekend, with President Biden bowing out of the 2024 U.S. Presidential race. He will not be seeking a second term.
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White papersElection 2024: Economics, policy and positioning for a soft landing
The S&P 500 enjoyed a solid start to the year, fueled by the Federal Reserve embracing optimism about inflation without sacrificing growth. During Q2, however, evidence of still sticky inflation has reduced the number of expected rate cuts, weighing on market sentiment and resulting in more modest equity gains.
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White papersThe Artificial Intelligence revolution: sector perspectives
We believe that Artificial Intelligence (AI) could have over the long-term a positive impact on productivity and GDP growth. However, the impact will not be linear across sectors, especially in the early phases. Those companies that are already investing heavily in AI technologies are the most likely to see benefits to revenues and/or profitability, but disappointments will happen given increased and new competitive pressure as well as the emergence of questionable business cases in light of the involved costs.
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White papersPassion for real estate and portfolio management: Top 10 interview with Dalibor Maksimovic
Indirect Swiss real estate investment has become increasingly recognized as an efficient instrument for diversification and resilience throughout various economic scenarios, despite starting off as a niche portfolio holding over 15 years ago.
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White papersBiden’s exit from the presidential race opens a phase of uncertainty
Biden exit from the race: Current US President Joe Biden announced on Sunday that he will not seek re-election and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee. Senior members of the Democratic party have expressed their support for Kamala Harris. Donations for the campaign have begun to rise after Biden’s decision.
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White papersISA Focus: Investing in real estate debt
While traditional banks’ appetite for providing commercial real estate loans has declined, other lenders (including investment management firms such as LaSalle) have moved in to fill the funding gap. As a result, we have recently seen increasing interest from institutional investors in real estate debt.
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White papersHello Kitty: A big cat in the investment universe?
Cuteness and investments are two words that are rarely paired together in the same sentence, but one of Japan’s most recognisable cultural and iconic exports stands out in its potential to deliver growth beyond current market imagination. To mark Hello Kitty’s 50th anniversary, Investment Director, Sunny Romo, sat down with Valentina Luo, an Analyst in the Asia Pacific equities team, to discuss the elements of the successful investment story in Sanrio, the creator of the much-loved feline character.
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White papersThe perfect storm: Deglobalisation’s headwinds
Globalisation - the rising interconnection of the world’s economies and populations, driven by international trade in technology, services, goods as well as the flow of investment and information - is facing at least five different head winds. Let me discuss them in turn and indicate how I believe they could be tackled.
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White papersWhat impact do sustainability criteria have on portfolio performance?
The effect on the performance of an investment portfolio of applying sustainability-based criteria to select stocks remains a topic of intense debate. Before assessing the impact, we note that environmental, social and governance criteria can be used to achieve different goals. Thus, outcomes vary depending on the sets of ESG criteria used for investment portfolios.
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White papersPension Funds Letter 21 - All together to talk “Adaptation in Motion”
Four years ago, the Covid-19 pandemic brought about an instant and permanent shift in the way many of us work. Virtual communication has replaced much of the face-to-face contact that we had previously been accustomed to. While the convenience and savings of web-conferencing means it’s a trend that’s here to stay, in-person interaction still retains many benefits.
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White papersSigns of rotation emerge in equities
Slowing inflation in the US and Europe, and expectations of improving earnings could pave the way for a continuation of the broadening of the rally outside the US mega caps.
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White papersParis-aligned investing: Active or passive?
The algorithmic nature of passive funds’ investment processes can create the risk of over-simplification and short-termism when tackling the long-term challenge of climate change. We think that an active approach is not only more effective, but essential for investors aiming to make real contributions towards achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement.
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White papersQuarterly Equities and Multi Asset Outlook – Q3 2024
Many market participants have been caught by surprise by the strength of equities this year, and their outperformance versus fixed income markets. Valuations have risen globally. However, luckily for us, the tide did not lift all boats, leaving opportunities on the table. Where undemanding expectations have met with the power to innovate, this created some of the strongest outperformance. We think the ‘Hidden Gems of Innovation’ will continue to be among the best hunting grounds for alpha generation.
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White papersCommercial & multifamily mortgage loan (CML) investments
In a volatile economic environment, core commercial and multifamily mortgage loan investments may provide investors with an attractive credit risk profile, appealing relative value, and diversification within a larger fixed income portfolio.
