White papers - all assets – Page 5
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White papersGerman Infrastructure: Catalyst for European High Yield?
We believe the new German government’s infrastructure plans have the potential to materially benefit the European high yield market.
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White papersGermany’s fiscal shift: A boost to Europe, but U.S. edge remains
Germany’s bold fiscal expansion has sparked optimism around Europe’s growth prospects and challenged the narrative of U.S. market dominance. Yet, structural constraints across the broader EU and renewed U.S. innovation leadership suggest America’s edge remains intact. While European momentum is building, U.S. exceptionalism continues to stand on stronger, more resilient ground.
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White papersA World in Flux: Managing Evolving Risks in Equity Markets
Risk management is being put to the test in 2025. How can equity portfolio teams cope with multiple hazards across equity markets this year?
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White papersFrom Trade Wars to Energy Security: Mega-Force Manifestations
The effects of mega-forces are turning up in recent policy and geopolitical developments.
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White papersNavigating climate risk: Solvency II revision, stress tests and strategic adaptation
A critical challenge: climate change represents a major challenge for insurers, driven by the increasing frequency of natural disasters and the need to manage risks associated with the transition to a low-carbon economy.
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White papers7 reasons why U.S. exceptionalism is only being challenged, not overtaken, by Europe
Europe’s recent market outperformance reflects a shift from tactical value plays to more fundamental drivers, led by Germany’s fiscal pivot. However, structural challenges, limited fiscal headroom, and rising external risks—like U.S. tariffs and a potential U.S. slowdown—suggest that European momentum may prove fragile. Despite Europe’s progress, U.S. exceptionalism in innovation, deregulation, and long-term growth remains firmly in place.
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White papersSwap spreads: analysis, challenges and outlook
Swap spreads, key indicators of liquidity stress and risk aversion, play a crucial role for insurers. Beyond measuring price differentials between sovereign and corporate bonds, they directly influence hedging decisions, asset-liability management (ALM) strategies and insurer returns under Solvency II.
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White papersDon’t be fooled by the headlines, credit still looks good
Despite the headlines, this remains a positive environment for credit.
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White papersFive factors to watch in multi-sector credit
While uncertainty remains high, the current macroeconomic environment has created a supportive backdrop for multi-sector credit, with yields likely to remain elevated as inflation lingers above central bank targets. Looking further out, our data suggest we should continue to expect positive growth and slowly falling inflation.
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White papersPost-pandemic peripheral banks’ prospects
What are peripheral banks’ prospects post-pandemic? Premier Miton’s Head of Fixed Income, Lloyd Harris, and Toby Williams, Credit Analyst, comment on their remarkable resilience and growth. Read their latest views on banks operating in non-core European countries such as Spain, Italy, Ireland, Portugal and Greece. What does looking back in history tell us about these banks? What can we expect next?
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White papersEmerging Market Debt Outlook: All Roads Lead to the US
This year, we are looking to the US to drive the market’s direction. We believe the US economy will continue to soften, which will spur the Fed to cut rates three times. In other words, that soft landing that we were expecting last year will likely materialise this year. When rates are lower, the USD typically weakens. And this creates a goldilocks scenario for Emerging Market Debt.
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White papersExpecting the unexpected with more robust bond portfolios
2025 was widely expected to be a good year for bonds. The US economy seemed to have found a floor, inflation looked to be contained, and interest rates had a long way to fall. The combination of high yields and capital appreciation from falling rates was, if a bit simplistic, a reason to be excited about the outlook for compelling total returns. But 2025 is looking increasingly like it will be anything but simple, writes Olivier De Larouziere.
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White papersRelative Value & Tactical Asset Allocation – Q2 2025
Tariffs and trade policies can produce global growth volatility through direct economic effects and investment decisions, which could then translate into global financial market volatility. This could potentially add consumer stress and even impact consumers in the higher-income cohorts who have been less impacted by ongoing, above-target, inflation.
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White papersThe cascade effect of DeepSeek
An examination of DeepSeek’s success and how we believe it energizes Chinese innovation and changes the future of the global AI race
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White papersMind the underinvestment gap: Shaping the UK’s future through private markets investment
With decades of underinvestment in UK real assets – from housing to healthcare and infrastructure – investors can tap into the opportunity to drive regeneration and growth. Taking a holistic approach to local investment could maximise social outcomes and create value for communities and investors.
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White papersManaging health and care for sustainable performance
The European healthcare sector remains increasingly popular: being more defensive thanks to its long-term demographic drivers, the healthcare sector has always been a meaningful and defensive diversifier in a multi-asset portfolio. Despite a combination of headwinds related to rising interest rates and some operator’s issues, capital value dynamics have diverged across countries and subsectors of health and care.
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White papersCentral and Eastern Europe: long-term growth driver for the entire EU area
In the 2000s, Eastern Europe was a successful region of Emerging Markets. A kind of gold rush attracted many investors to these markets. The region was hit hard by the financial crisis of 2008, but the investment story was not yet written off. It was only political changes, such as the Caucasus war of 2008, the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and, ultimately, the war in Ukraine in 2022, that made this region almost uninvestable for many investors.
