White papers - all assets – Page 332
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White papersFixation on Brexit misses the bigger picture
Reflecting on 2018, global equity markets have lurched from optimism to pessimism. At the beginning of the year there was a complacent belief in synchronised global growth. But cut to the fourth quarter and many strategists are speculating whether the United States might soon enter a recession and how Chinese economic growth is slowing as they try to get a grip of their own excessive debt levels.
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White papersFinding opportunity in Europe’s volatility
Looking back at 2018, it was a year when European corporate earnings continued to grow, while market volatility was surprisingly high. The volatility was a result of both political noise and the fear of a slowdown in global growth.
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White papersIt’s all eyes on trade for 2019
There has been a significant de-rating of equities over what has been a disappointing 2018.
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White papersRedefining the cycle – 2019 CIO outlook
We have already had the longest bull market in history and a very long upswing, so this cycle is clearly nearing its end, but we do not believe the end is imminent – rather the cycle is being extended and redefined by a combination of structural factors leading to low interest rates, low inflation and ongoing moderate growth.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - January 2019
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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White papersBrexit muddle-through towards the approaching parliamentary vote
The Brexit-related newsflow since the UK/EU agreement on 25 November 2018 has been quite intense. In our view, it has slightly increased the probability that the UK remains in the EU beyond March 2019, thus prolonging the uncertainty over how (and even whether) Brexit will happen.
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White papersBrexit Muddle-Through Towards The Approaching The Confidence Vote
The newsflow concerning Brexit has been quite intense since the UK government was able to secure an agreement with the EU on 25 November 2018. The most notable developments have been:
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White papersAfter Multiple Hikes, Could Fed Resort to Cutting Rates Next?
The Fed might be at the crossroads of whether to continue raising interest rates or stand pat in 2019, with some expectations for even a rate cut in 2020.
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White papersMarket Perspectives: When it rains, it pours
When it rains, it pours. Already the Flash crash in February was severe; then October saw the most severe monthly equity sell-off (MSCI World) since 2012. A further drawdown by mid November aggravated the year-to-date losses. Tech stocks entered bear market territory.
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White papersCore Matters - Leveraging on “Made in China 2025”
Since its access to the WTO in late 2001, China has seen a stellar rise of its economy, managing to raise its nominal GDP eight-fold and to become the largest export economy in the world. Its exports shares in several products, especially in computers or mobile phones are beyond 80% of world exports and in a multitude of other items, the country also plays a dominant role.
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White papersFocus on fundamentals to ride turbulent markets
Investors are facing an unsettled environment. For 2019 we think it will be key to look at three areas:
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White papersPhase Transitions: Major Changes for Markets to Navigate
From the rising cost of capital to the trade war and key demographic changes, markets have to navigate through a series of phase transitions in 2019.
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White papersUK Real Estate Market Outlook - February 2019
The UK economy: continued resilience in the face of ongoing uncertainty
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White papersLet’s talk about actual investing.
Investing should be about working constructively with inspiring individuals and companies on behalf of our clients, says Stuart Dunbar.
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White papersFrom Risk to Opportunity: Amundi is Leading a Sea-Change in Asset Management
Amundi is establishing industry-leading best practices to meet the needs of its clients with a finance for today, and tomorrow.
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White papersCentral banks in focus: assessing the path ahead for the Fed
US economy: We expect the US economy to grow above potential in 2019 and to gradually converge to its long-term growth rate of around 2% in 2020 as the boost provided by fiscal expansion in 2018 will gradually lose steam.
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White papersEvent Risk Enters Phase 3: What's At Stake in 2019?
Event risk outcomes could be dragged out in 2019 as issues like the trade war and questions over when the Fed might halt rate hikes simmer in markets.
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White papersAntecedent Analysis: Navigating A Troop of Gorillas
With the birth of the so-called “Greenspan Put,” the 800-pound gorilla of U.S. monetary policy unleashed itself on capital markets. Today, there is not just one 800-pound gorilla harassing capital markets; there is a troop of gorillas.
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White papersGlobal Perspectives: 2019 Outlook
The new year brings new challenges and new opportunities for investors. The investment professionals of Principal Global Investors look at the regional macroeconomic outlooks and examine the major asset classes.
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White papersMarket Volatility: Headwinds, from Trade War to Rates, in 2019?
Markets could face headwinds in 2019 from the lag effects of major events that took place in 2018, from the trade war to rate hikes and corporate tax cuts.
