White papers - all assets – Page 314
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White papers
Reassessing fixed income - is Goldilocks about to give way to the three bears?
The benign investment backdrop fixed income markets have enjoyed for many years is changing.
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White papers
ECB: Short term rates anchored
According to the ECB projections, the GDP expansion will remain above potential for the next two years, driven by both domestic investment and household consumption. Inflation is revised up, albeit modestly.
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Italy: Troubled waters and complex challenges ahead but no Italexit on the roadmap!
In just a few days, investors have shifted from perhaps excessive complacency to excess pessimism about Italian politics.
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Emerging Markets Experience a Healthy Correction in May
We continue to have faith in emerging markets and believe they will continue to grow at a strong pace, fueled by robust trade and solid commodity prices. The rapid adaptation of information technology in emerging markets such as India and China have further propelled their strong growth. We continue to see improvement in the earnings power and cash flow of many EM companies.
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Italy: Fundamentals are the compass amid political twists
A new Government: After three months of deadlock, 5Star Movement and the League agreed on a redesigned Government formation.
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Political Event Risk Raises Stakes for Sudden Price Moves
Major political event risk, ranging from elections in Mexico, Brazil and the U.S., to Brexit and NAFTA negotiations, could swing equity, bond, FX and ags markets.
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MSCI China A-share inclusion along the way of China’s transition to quality growth
In June 2017, MSCI announced the partial inclusion of China’s domestically traded, yuan-denominated stocks, or so-called A-shares to MSCI China, MSCI Emerging Markets, and MSCI All Country indices, which is to be implemented from June 2018.
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Volatility In The New World?
As talk of volatility returns to the market, investors need to make sure that they are truly diversified, says Ian Heslop, Head of Global Equities at Old Mutual Global Investors and Manager of the Old Mutual Arbea Fund.
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Managing emerging market currency exposures
Conventional wisdom says long-term investors in emerging market assets will bene t from the respective currencies appreciating as these economies grow. Hedging this risk makes little sense as it would wipe out a potential source of returns.
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France: Significant promises kept, but the most crucial reforms will take time
One year on from his election victory the French president has already lived up to some of his campaign promises, most visibly regarding labour market regulation and taxation, actions that have generally been welcomed by international financial commentators.
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How to play the oil price swings
Oil price: We confirm our target price for the next 12 months in the range of $60-70 per barrel.
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In Credit: Value returns to corporate bonds?
After a couple of weeks of stabilisation, US bond yields headed higher again and traded through 3% at the 10-year maturity point.
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Anticipating a strong year for bonds
In contrast to tightening monetary policy in the US and a lower pace of quantitative easing in Europe, Asian central banks are maintaining accommodative monetary policy.
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Banking problems impede India’s reforms
There has generally been a positive response to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s structural reforms, but there has been an investment slowdown in the medium-term, and recent scandals, huge bad loans and ATM cash shortages imply a banking system that is in crisis – to the tune of $210 billion.
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Equities poised for growth
The correction at the start of the year didn’t damage Asia Pacific ex Japan’s fundamental recovery, but volatility will rise, which will subsequently providing active managers like ourselves with a good environment to outperform the market.
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Time to catch rising Asian ESG tide
Asian governments now prioritise sustainable economic growth over ‘growth at any cost’, yet there remains a wide disparity in ESG standards in the region.
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Upgrading Vietnam
Investors are attracted to the country’s ‘mini-China’ story: that of a communist state embracing the private economy.
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Strategic Relative Value: Q2 2018
Even modest upward interest rate adjustments can be disruptive to risk markets when they collide with slowing economic growth, shifting monetary regimes, and geopolitical shocks.
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What to know about investing in China
There used to be a lot of concern around China’s old industrial economy, but supply-side reforms have curtailed excess capacity.