BlogCalifornia Utilities: Too Big to Fail?
The size of the potential liability from the January 2025 wildfires in California underscores the risks facing municipal utilities and the considerations facing active managers.
BlogAs ECB Policy Gradually Diverges, Impatience May Loom
The ECB expectedly cut rates during the January meeting and did not convey any urgency for the need to cut rates more aggressively in 2025.
BlogInsights from Cutting Through Central Bank Narratives
Our probabilistic analysis sheds light on how fluctuations in markets’ expectations of central bank policy rates have evolved and provides a tool for contrasting fundamental views.
BlogAssessing Inflation Through Five Commodity Price Themes
Explore recent developments in commodity prices through the lens of five themes.
BlogThe ECB Cuts as all Indicators Point Down
The ECB’s Governing Council remained true to its mantra of “data dependence” at its October policy meeting, choosing to cut the main policy rate by 25 bps to 3.25%.
BlogAnalysis of 4 Political Policy Areas on the U.S. Economy
A scenario analysis on four key areas related to the 2024 U.S. Elections, trade & tariffs, fiscal policy, immigration & labor supply, and monetary policy, all with significant economic impacts.
BlogThe Impact of the U.S. Election on the Muni Market
This blog post covers key questions about the potential impact of the U.S. elections on the municipal bond market.
BlogThe Case for Going Global, in Pictures
We’ve made the case—here, here, and here—that it’s generally a good time for fixed income given bonds’ revaluation to yields well above the secular stagnation levels that existed prior to the 2022 bear market. These higher yields, combined with the shift by most developed market central banks from rate hikes to cuts, suggest that this sleeper bull market is set to continue. But how does global fixed income fit within this context?
BlogFive Risks U.S. Tariffs Pose to EU Competitiveness
We see five reasons why renewed trade tensions could be particularly economically damaging for the EU at this fragile time.
BlogFinely Balanced Decision Tips BoE to Cut
The Bank of England cut rates by 25 bps at its August policy meeting, but a series of aggressive rate reductions are likely off the table.
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