Outlooks – Page 54
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White papersLatAm elections cycles wrapping up: politics and policy transitions in full swing of uncertainty
LatAm’s dramatic elections calendar that landed three leftist presidents in the Andean region might be two-thirds over, but the political and policy uncertainty created by these election results is far from it. Chile and Colombia are expanding the size and role of the state, while intense political and macro conditions have forced yet another and a big-time government reshuffle in Peru and Argentina, respectively.
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White papersQ2 earnings season – strong results helped support the summer rally
The Q2 earnings season was again stronger than expected and contributed to the equity market rally up to mid-August. However, the results are of ‘low quality’ and are not a reason to turn bullish on equities. Ultimately, margins coming down from very high levels should drive the earnings downturn in our view.
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White papersMunicipal bond sectors: resilient in times of uncertainty
Many investors are concerned about the potential for a prolonged economic downturn. If that were to happen, municipal credit should show resilience, due to unprecedented federal pandemic stimulus support, strong reserves and revenue collections, and the ability to adjust budgets.
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White papersWhy ‘green’ hydrogen is the energy pathway of the future
‘Green’ hydrogen – made from renewable energy sources – is seen more and more as the holy grail in the transition to a carbon-neutral economy. With a wide range of applications, green hydrogen could reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by a third in the coming decades at a reasonable cost, making it an attractive investment option. Thibaud Clisson and Julien Bouyssou explain.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2022
The summer season has temporarily brought some sunshine to investors as the main equity markets had been rallying until mid-August. Supporting this trend was a series of assumptions on key themes driving the market: inflation was assumed to be at its peak and starting to recede; growth was assumed to be on a soft landing path; and central banks were assumed to have done most of the work needed.
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White papersValuations and guidance appear foreboding for U.S. equities
The month-long rally in U.S. equity markets hit stiff resistance in mid-August. Surprising resilience in economic data, including consumer spending, employment and July’s cooler-than-expected Consumer Price Index report, helped propel broad-based indexes like the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq out of their bear market lows of June and in to bull market territory.
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White papersGet real with income-producing real assets
We have seen demand for real assets grow dramatically in recent years, and we expect it will advance further as investors better understand the positive attributes of the asset class. Real assets offer the opportunity for diversification, inflation hedging and competitive total returns. Real assets may also serve as a nontraditional source of income, a feature that investors frequently overlook.
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White papersArticulating asset allocation across different time horizons
In a previous paper, we addressed the issue of how to set investment objectives. In this paper, we address another key issue in the definition of asset allocation: how to articulate it across different time horizons.
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White papersThe Uncertainty May Be Worse Than the Slowdown
We do think the onset of recession is a time to tread carefully, but it could also be a time of opportunity for equity investors.
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White papersUniquely Japan: Navigating Asia’s largest advanced economy
Economic intricacies and structural challenges are commonplace in Japan. But looking through the lens of individual companies shines a different light on the nation.
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White papersAdvanced Investment Phazer: a guide to dynamic asset allocation
Economic cycles have been a crucial driver for financial markets, making regime-based dynamic asset allocation (DAA) a common practice in supporting optimal portfolio construction. Changes in key economic indicators, monetary policy trends and the evolution of financial leverage have proven a reliable guide in identifying business cycle phases.
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White papersFive ways to fight ESG scepticism
It has been a mixed year for sustainable investment. On the one hand, the financial sector has signed up to net zero commitments en masse – not to mention the sector-wide efforts to prepare for and implement SFDR. On the other hand, scepticism has grown around how deep the implementation of ESG integration and sustainable investment practices really go.
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White papersHow to overhaul Europe’s outdated budget rules
Europe’s budget rules are in dire need of an overhaul. A new regime of higher inflation means the European Central Bank cannot on its own support growth or prevent fragmentation. But governments are hampered by fiscal constraints that are too simplistic and which, after years of breaches, lack credibility.
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White papersDespite headwinds, ESG continues to perform
Our latest research shows that despite headwinds, ESG continues to be a strong driver of shareholder returns.
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White papersEuro Parity: Threshold or Boundary?
The euro is subject to enormous economic forces that could equally be very positive for the currency or the cause of an even greater fall.
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White papersSocial issues rise up voting season agenda
This year’s voting season saw a rise in shareholder resolutions on social issues in North America and Europe, along with the mainstreaming of management-proposed say-on-climate votes. Amy Wilson and Laura Jernegan examine some of the key meetings and shareholder proposals.
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White papersThe spoils of the pandemic: in this together?
Covid-19 laid bare the social inequalities at the core of our economies. Through stewardship and engagement, investors can be the quiet force behind the solution, writes Diana Glassman, EOS engager.
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White papersThe wages of fear
With new US regulations and EU due diligence rules coming down the track, companies will need to work harder at identifying human rights risks in their supply chains. How do we engage with companies on this challenging issue?
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White papersThe modern meal deal: a constant craving
In the sixth article in our Insights series on the social and environmental impacts of the global food system, Zoe de Spoelberch examines the supersized problem with ultra-processed and pre-packaged food.
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White papersCase study: Akbank
In this latest case study, the Emerging Market Debt team explains how engagement with Turkish lender Akbank is encouraging improvements in governance, sustainable lending and carbon footprint accountability.
