Outlooks – Page 54
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White papersUpcoming: Principal Speaker Series – A conversation with Dr. Lawrence H. Summers
Join us as we welcome Dr. Lawrence H. Summers, former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, immediately following the pivotal March FOMC meeting. Seema Shah, Managing Director, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Global Investors, will host a timely and engaging conversation on the state of the U.S. economy, the Federal Reserve’s response, and how investors can prepare for the volatile period ahead.
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White papersThe Long View: Russia-Ukraine War Has Lasting Implications for Investing
When Russian president Vladimir Putin sent troops into Ukraine, he unraveled decades of efforts to cement peace in Europe after the Cold War. For investors, the new world order has shaken up broad issues that shape our analysis of asset classes and securities.
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White papersSeven Predictions Amid the Rising Unpredictability
As the Ukraine War spirals toward broader geopolitical conflict, some elements of the outlook are already coming into view.
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White papersRussia-Ukraine: a lot of bad news already priced in, but the outlook is deteriorating
The second week of conflict in the Ukraine was marked by additional market volatility. Equities are down across the board. The demand for safe-haven assets temporarily pushed the 10-year Treasury down to 1.7% before it retraced to 1.9% amid rising inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, gold has remained well supported, briefly moving above $2000/ounce.
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White papersMonths When Decades Happen
Europe enters this dangerous period on solid footing. Unemployment is at record lows. Wage growth remains subdued. Russia’s war in Ukraine adds a strong inflation headwind to the ongoing expansion.
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White papersRussia/Ukraine Conflict: Market Outlook
As the tragic crisis in Ukraine continues to unfold, Martin Currie offers our viewpoint on the potential market impacts, both near and longer-term.
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White papersQuick Thoughts: Should We Fear Stagflation?
It is little surprise that the word “stagflation” is trending as the world grapples with the possibility of both slower economic growth and higher inflation.
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White papersIs Brazil Compellingly Out of Sync?
The Russia-Ukraine war has led to a surge in commodity prices, which means Brazil, a key commodity exporter, stands to benefit. Here, Dina Ting, Head of Global Index Portfolio Management, Franklin Templeton Exchange-Traded Funds, explores the outlook for Brazilian equities in light of recent events.
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White papersETF Observations on Russia
Investors are reminded within the current environment to take a broad perspective across a variety of asset classes and geographies and to weigh short-term developments against longer-term factors.
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White papersQuick Thoughts: The Implications on Equities of the War in Ukraine
We hosted a webinar to discuss equity investing against the backdrop of the war in Ukraine.
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White papersThe Fog of War Clouds Economic Outlooks
The war in Ukraine continues to dominate market moves, leading to volatility in risk assets, and the safe haven bid is still in focus amid a stronger U.S. dollar and higher precious metal prices. Commodities are soaring, with BBG Commodity Index on track for the biggest gain since 1960.
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White papersQuick Thoughts: Ukraine, Russia, and the Path Forward
Kim Catechis, Investment Strategist for the Franklin Templeton Investment Institute, recently shared his thoughts around the situation in Ukraine and the implications for the global economy and capital markets.
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White papersPositioning Liquid Credit Portfolios For Rising Rates & Inflation
Martin Horne, Head of Global Public Fixed Income, discusses how to mitigate the risk of rising rates and inflation, touching on the potential benefits of floating rate assets and short-duration strategies.
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White papersSolvency II review to strengthen insurance sector
Now awaiting passage into law is a major review of the 2016 Solvency II regulation governing the solvency capital requirements (SCR) of European insurers. The amendments proposed by the European Commission (EC) and the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) are intended to ensure the insurance sector remains fully resilient to future market shocks.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - March 2022
We amend the narrative of our scenario to take into account the consequences of the war in Ukraine. We increase the probability of our downside scenario to 30% (from 15%) to reflect the rising risk of stagflation.
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White papersKeeping up With Demand
In this piece from Infrastructure Investor, Pieter Welman talks about institutional investors’ growing interest in infrastructure debt and touches on how the market has evolved over the past decade.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - March 2022
The Russia/Ukraine crisis is pushing the regime shift one step further with more severe economic implications for some regions, in this case Europe because of its energy dependence and geographic proximity.
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White papersGauging the impact of the Russia/Ukraine conflict on EM debt
The events that are unfolding in Ukraine are deeply upsetting and one cannot help but be affected by what we are reading and seeing in the news. Investing in the midst of a conflict can be difficult and bring out heightened emotions. In the context of these heightened emotions, it is helpful to stand back and assess the situation.
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White papersMENA Equities: Five Key Themes and Reasons for Optimism
The global economy is currently facing headwinds because of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, but there are several reasons to be optimistic about the outlook for equities in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.
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White papersRussia attacks Ukraine: Markets will have to readjust to the shock
Market reaction: The worst-case scenario of a full blown attack to Ukraine has materialised. It’s risk-off on Russian assets; global risk assets are under severe pressure.
