Outlooks – Page 3
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Paradigm shift: market snapshot
Stronger-than-forecast US economic reads and hawkish comments from the US Federal Reserve have brought rate-cut hopes crashing to earth.
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Opportunities at the longer end of the commercial paper curve?
Federated Hermes’ Short Term Investments Committee of portfolio managers meets on a monthly basis to provide insights, strategise, and discuss investment opportunities across the short end of the yield curve.
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SDG Engagement Equity Q1 2024 case study
Our Q1 case study looks at Chicago-headquartered bank Wintrust Financial and its efforts to support the credit needs of low- and moderate-income neighbourhoods in the Chicago area; in so doing helping to reduce the number of ‘unbanked’ households in the US.
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U.S. Election: Age, Cash and Conflict
A political observer gives Joe Biden the edge, but thinks plenty could happen before November.
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Geopolitical risk will grow: here is how we track it
In order to better understand geopolitical trends, Amundi has developed the Geopolitical Sentiment Tracker (GST). The tool aims to inform the investment process: it includes a variety of datapoints allowing investors and researchers to better understand and be alerted to rising risks. It also allows our teams to identify opportunities.
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Infrastructure redefined - From railways to renewables
Infrastructure, as a sector, has evolved drastically in response to major drivers like the climate crisis and demographic change. Here, we explore the most influential structural trends shaping future-forward opportunities across the asset class.
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Deep waves: The demographic wave—the tide is going out
For investors, demographics are a driver of country risk, and they can impact productivity, economic growth, sovereign financials and debt ratings. Demographics are not destiny, but they do set parameters. Find out more from Franklin Templeton Institute’s Kim Catechis.
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Disruptive Technology Views: Why public—not private—blockchains truly enable Web3 and decentralized finance
In this issue of Disruptive Technology Views, we explore the advantages of public blockchains versus the disadvantages of private blockchains and outline the benefits of decentralized finance over traditional finance as they relate to the security lending markets.
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What is making the gold market run so hot?
An intriguing recent development in financial markets is the surge in gold prices. It is particularly striking given that gold did little to protect investors from the effects of accelerating inflation over the past two years. So why rally now? A complex interplay of known and potentially unknown factors makes the gold rally fascinating to analyse – and we focus on the metal in this week’s Simply put.
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Fixed Income Outlook – Not as planned
Another higher-than-expected US inflation number means the US Federal Reserve should be in no rush to cut rates before price pressures subside. With the risk of inflation continuing to surprise to the upside in the near term, we now expect benchmark 10-year yields to potentially retrace to 4.75%, at which point we would likely again go overweight duration.
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Forget the politics: Why election uncertainty won’t, and shouldn’t, put investors off the US
Everything about the United States is big – its market, its economy and the companies housed there. It is also continuing to confound investors’ expectations. Many anticipated it would slip into recession in 2023, but this never came to pass. Instead, according to the US Treasury, it delivered above average economic growth over the 12 months because of “growing economic output, labour market resilience, and slowing inflation”.
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India: Unlocking the potential
In this latest Global Macro Shifts, India offers new economic and investment advantages, as both long-term reforms and recent, post-pandemic changes in the global economy combine fortuitously, according to Templeton Global Macro.
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Munique: The Inefficiencies Driving Muni Alpha Opportunities
Active municipal bond managers have more flexibility to invest across a wider swath of the market and can add alpha by constructing portfolios that outperform their respective benchmarks.
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Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 2Q 2024
“The economic outlook may have improved, but large parts of the credit and equity markets are already priced for a soft landing.”
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Mapping global elections and what this means for investors
It’s a defining 12 months for the world we live in today and wake up to tomorrow as billions of people across more than 50 countries head to the polls in 2024, although not all national elections will be free and fair. Romil Patel looks at some of the key votes from the world’s oldest to its largest democracies, as well as emerging markets – and what this means for investors.
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Clean Energy – Cyclical Opportunity For Long-Term Investments
Investments in clean energies have rarely been more attractive. The urgent need to tackle climate change is becoming increasingly apparent. Both the public and political decision-makers are well aware of the environmental challenges.
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Macroeconomic and financial market forecasts - April 2024
Macroeconomic forecasts as of 12 April 2024
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - April 2024
”Market sentiment may remain positive if we don’t see an economic slowdown and inflation also doesn’t surprise. However, areas of excess have built up, and underscore the need to remain vigilant.”
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Companies and Climate change - An updated research application of the AIIB-Amundi CCIF*
The Climate Change Investment Framework (CCIF) was designed by the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and Amundi to tailor investment portfolios that actively consider alignment with the Paris Agreement. The CCIF considers the three dimensions of climate change mitigation and adaptation, and contribution to the transition to net zero.
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Impact Opportunities Equity, Q1 2024
Financial inclusion is an essential part of ‘building back better’; not just as a moral imperative but as a significant economic opportunity which offers real benefits for society as a whole. In our latest quarterly report, the team highlight several companies breaking down the barriers to accessible and affordable finance.