Outlooks – Page 3
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White papersEconomic outlook: Less uncertainty, healthy growth
If 2025 was the year that tariff-induced uncertainty upended the outlook for the global economy, 2026 could be the year that things come back into focus.
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White papersStewardship 2026 Outlook:A systemic shift in a changing world?
The coming year will bring both challenges and opportunities. Artificial intelligence, the climate transition and the shifting sands of geopolitics will all play an outsize role but in 2026, investor stewardship will increasingly focus on systemic economic risks and opportunities alongside the financial performance of individual investments. For universal owners – those widely invested in the economy with long-term horizons – absolute returns will matter and not just relative performance. This means stewardship needs to extend beyond corporate engagement to include active participation in shaping policy and market best practices that create environments for companies to grasp opportunities sustainably and grow profitably.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - December 2025
The year is drawing to a close with most risk assets in positive territory, and global stocks and metal prices seeing multiple highs. Even the longest US government shutdown in history didn’t curb market enthusiasm. We think markets have been looking through the weakness in the belief that monetary and fiscal policy levers will be available for support, that profitability of AI investments is almost a given, and that corporate earnings will continue to exceed expectations, following a strong results season in the US, somewhat less so in Europe. The tariffs’ impact on consumption is also largely being ignored.
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White papersU.S. markets for ecosystem restoration: Enabling investment in nature-based solutions
Balancing the impacts of economic development with the conservation of natural resources is critical for ensuring continued economic security — particularly as over half of the world’s economy depends on nature.
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White papersArtificial Intelligence for Behavioral Finance
Artificial Intelligence (AI), particularly Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) techniques, have been extensively used in consumer finance to assess credit risk, develop automated models for loan attribution, and forecast households’ insurance claims and spending. However, their application in analyzing retail investors’ behaviors and designing tools to shape financial advice has emerged more recently.
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White papersThe rise of AI-washing: what investors need to know
Artificial intelligence (“Al”) has become ubiquitous in today’s technological landscape. Whether it’s running algorithms that recommend streaming content, driving autonomous vehicles that navigate traffic, or even simply sorting an e-mail inbox, Al is undoubtedly a powerful tool that promises efficiency, scalability, and competitive advantage for modern technology companies. As a result, companies that focus on the enhancement of Al capabilities often garner heightened attention from investors seeking to capitalize on innovative new technologies.
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White papersWhat makes a Qualifying Money Market Fund unique?
This document outlines what makes a fund ‘qualifying’ and why it’s worth considering a short-term sterling prime fund over bank deposits.
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White papersAI’s insatiable appetite for energy
The rapid expansion of AI datacentres is placing increasing demands on electricity providers and energy grids. Velika Talyarkhan and Michael Yamoah examine the challenges for governments and companies.
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White papersPrivate Markets 2026 Outlook
Learn the views of our private markets experts. Mobilising new sources of capital and democratising private markets.
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White papersInsurance outlook: Managing change is business as usual
Curve steepening combined with compressed equity and credit risk premia could pose a challenge for insurers, requiring skilful management of duration and risk.
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White papersArtificial intelligence: Not a bubble… yet
Artificial intelligence (AI) is the most impactful digital transformation theme since the development of the Internet. The public launch of ChatGPT in November 2022 catalysed a wave of investment and innovation that continues to build momentum. As excitement about the potential for this new technology builds toward very high expectations, investors and industry participants are questioning if we are entering a bubble. Our current conclusion is that AI is not a bubble… yet. We are carefully monitoring risks and similarities to the Internet and telecom bubble (the ‘dotcom era’).
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White papersSustainable investing in 2026: The continuing path to a more resilient future
Despite a turbulent period of sustainable investing, commitment to sustainability remains strong across Europe and Asia.
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White papersReal assets outlook: Widening investment opportunities
The logistics sector continues to lead the way within the real assets universe, in both the US and Europe. High-quality offices are seeing an improvement in pricing as the ‘return to office’ mandate gathers pace.
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White papersInvestment Outlook 2026 – The shifting investment landscape
Against a backdrop of volatile geopolitics, tariffs, and policy shifts, the global economy enters 2026 with surprising resilience.
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White papersMacroeconomic outlook: Surprisingly resilient
The global economy has proved surprisingly resilient in 2025. In the immediate aftermath of Liberation Day, the IMF forecast that the global economy would grow by 2.8% in 2025. It now expects global growth of 3.2% this year.
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White papers2026 Investment Outlook
A spirit of endurance has characterized the market rally of the past year. This looks set to persist in 2026 as the global economy transitions to a new innovation-led regime and geopolitics enters a phase of controlled disorder.
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White papersU.S. power market in a period of unprecedented growth and transformation
Following nearly two decades of stagnation, power demand is now surging, with an average annual growth rate of over 1% between 2021 and 2024, and approximately 3% growth in 2024 alone. Current long-term growth expectations range from 2% to well above 3% per year; by some measures, the U.S. is expected to add the equivalent power demand of New York over the next five years.
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White papersLifting the veil on headline CRE returns: A market ripe for alpha
It posits that headline CRE return metrics may mask underlying dispersion — creating opportunities for active investors to generate “alpha” by selectively targeting under-appreciated assets in a changing macro and financing environment.
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White papersInfrastructure gains ground as investors seek steady private market returns
Rising tensions in globalisation and constraints to public and lending markets are enabling private capital to become a key driver of resilient, long-term infrastructure investment.
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White papersUS corporate earnings season nears close
For the quarter ended 30 September 2025, over 81% of companies beat earnings expectations led by the information technology, consumer staples, and financial sectors. This is well above the historical average and the second-best since the last quarter of 2021. Along with some other factors, these earnings boosted sentiment in the stocks markets which have continued their ascent this year.
