Outlooks – Page 27
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ETF: The China equity rally is not over yet
Chinese equities have staged an impressive comeback since hitting multi-year-lows during the third quarter last year.
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Fixed Income Themes for 2023: The Return Of Market Discipline
We think the next 12 months are likely to see this cycle’s peaks in inflation, policy tightening, bond yields and market volatility; and troughs in GDP growth, earnings growth and market valuations. But don’t see the pendulum swinging back to the post-2008 “new normal”.
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Equity Themes for 2023: Winners and Losers
We think the next 12 months are likely to see this cycle’s peaks in inflation, policy tightening, bond yields and market volatility; and troughs in GDP growth, earnings growth and market valuations. But don’t see the pendulum swinging back to the post-2008 “new normal”.
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Central Banks Tighten, Markets Loosen
While some pessimism has lifted from central bank messaging, we still think the market may be hearing only what it wants to hear.
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Pensions Watch 23: What’s been happening and what’s on the horizon in the world of pensions
The annual revision to the PLSA’s retirement living standards has seen double digit increases to each of its illustrative expenditures in retirement. This suggests that, without urgent reform, many DC savers will continue to sleepwalk into retirement penury.
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The More Things Change
Has recent strong data changed the fundamental economic and market outlook, or just the timeline?
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Modern Slavery in Mining Looms as a Key Risk to Investors
Awareness that modern slavery is a social evil and investment risk continues to grow, putting investors in a pivotal position to identify and root out this risk across industries. Global mining is a particular challenge: risks to people in this industry are high and rising, and they’re not well-managed when compared with high-risk consumer-facing industries such as technology and apparel.
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NFL Alpha: Appraising Arizona
For the 20th year, Allspring’s Systematic Edge team applied its quantitative research on low volatility stocks to the NFL in an effort to predict the postseason playoff winners and the winner of Super Bowl LVII.
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Global Emerging Markets: Outlook 2023
Kunjal Gala and the Global Emerging Markets Equity team outline their views on the prospects for emerging markets in 2023 and beyond.
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Emerging Market Insights: Domestic demand in focus
China’s reopening and impact on energy prices. China’s economic reopening is proceeding swiftly, despite the spike in COVID-19 cases in early January.
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Macroeconomic Picture - February 2023
United States: The US economy has been showing signs of deceleration, as the fiscal and monetary policy drag weigh on activity, although at different intensity.
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Market Scenarios and Risks - February 2023
We revise the probabilities of our alternative scenarios. Some of the risk factors we identify may occur in our central scenario, which is probably not yet fully priced in, especially by equity markets.
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Why and what if inflation falls faster than expected?
”As fiscal support should wane, this could lead to lower inflation pressures in the second half of 2023 and to a faster decline in inflation”
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Cross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2023
Uncertainty over growth, inflation and corporate earnings persists, even though there has been a mild improvement on the economic front. These trends underscore the need to be active and well diversified.
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Fiorino: Many banks, multiple outcomes
Fiorino considers the many alternatives as the market wave function rolls over the banking sector in 2023…
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Asia ex-Japan Equity: Letter to Investors - Outperforming us over the long term
In our annual Letter to Investors, Jonathan Pines, Lead Portfolio Manager, discusses the Strategy’s performance since inception in 2010.
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60/40 portfolios: end of the road?
Multi-asset investors face an inevitable question after an historic, and painful, year for equities and fixed income: has the 60/40 portfolio run out of road?
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Financial inclusion and banking: A billion-person opportunity?
The banking and telecommunications sectors are uniquely positioned to positively impact socioeconomic wellbeing and a multitude of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
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Fed continuing to downshift: 31 January-1 February FOMC review
The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate by 25bp, to 4.50-4.75%, a step down after the Fed hiked by 50bp in December. The slowing in the pace of rate hikes was widely expected.