Outlooks – Page 18
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White papersListed infrastructure: Factors aligning for renewed investor attention
We believe an attractive entry point for listed infrastructure is emerging, considering the potentially favorable macro environment and the asset class’s attractive valuations relative to broader equities.
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White papersExpert Aggregation for Financial Forecasting
Machine learning algorithms dedicated to financial time series forecasting have gained a lot of interest. But choosing between several algorithms can be challenging, as their estimation accuracy may be unstable over time. Online aggregation of experts combine the forecasts of a finite set of models in a single approach without making any assumption about the models.
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White papersWhat is keeping rates volatility high?
Volatility in fixed income markets remains elevated while it has normalised almost everywhere else. In this weekly edition of Simply put, we ask why has bond volatility remained stubbornly high?
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White papersRobust Jobs and Tight Credit: Will the Consumer Keep Spending?
Economic reports have been promising so far this year, with consumers shored up by a robust job market. An alien (one that has studied intergalactic macroeconomics) landing on Earth might even wonder why the Federal Reserve isn’t hiking rates given above-2% inflation and low unemployment.
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White papersCross Asset Investment Strategy - February 2024
Topic of the Month - Japan equity: top performer in 2023; remains attractive option for 2024
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White papersFour things to watch ahead of the US elections
This is the biggest election year in world history. Seventy-six countries — home to roughly 4.4 billion people — will hold political contests in 2024.
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White papersPrivate Equity Outlook - 2024
“Going into 2024, we believe the record-high dry powder reserves suggest potential for significant PE activity as values slowly recover and conditions improve…”
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White papers2024 Emerging market fixed income outlook: Back with a vengeance
Upon entering a New Year, we find ourselves in a somewhat similar market situation as the end of last year, still hoping for better times for global fixed income assets amid legacy pressures from tight global liquidity, high policy rates, and a strong USD.
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White papersCapital market assumptions: 2024
Our 2024 expectations for annualised returns over the next 20 years (what we call our capital market assumptions) are a mixed bag. Strong gains across markets over the past year have tempered our expected returns for equities relative to our 2023 outlook. On the other hand, higher starting yields translate into improved expectations versus last year across many fixed income asset classes.
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White papersMulti-Asset Outlook 2024: Embracing the “Less Exceptional”
After pandemic-era extremes, growth and inflation should approach historical averages in 2024. Here’s how multi-asset investors can respond.
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White papersThe Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 1
The first of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
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White papersThe Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 2
The second of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
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White papersNet-zero equities: resilience in an uncharted transition
The year 2023 in some ways brought a return to normality: slowing inflation, stabilising interest rates and, to some extent, more stable energy prices than in 2022. These positive developments fueled the strong performance of equity markets.
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White papersRed Sea disruptions: small impact so far, but a risk to watch
”The impact of Red Sea traffic suspensions is more regional than global, but duration will be the key factor to watch. At this stage, it is no game-changer for our outlook.”
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White papersInfrastructure debt – Financing a sustainable future
Private capital can be vital in meeting net zero emissions goals. This includes infrastructure debt which can be an attractive way for investors to achieve their long-term return and income objectives and at the same time help finance the assets needed urgently to support the transition to a low-carbon economy.
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White papersWill Artificial Intelligence increase economic growth?
Recent advances in the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI) could lead to potentially disruptive changes across a wide range of industries and impact economic activity through multiple channels. AI is widely seen as significantly different from previous technological innovations. But will it significantly increase aggregate economic growth through its impact on labour markets and increases in productivity?
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White papersVoluntary Carbon Markets: Is the nuance lost in the noise?
The integrity of some of the world’s Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM) schemes is a hot-button issue. However, we believe it’s important to understand some of the differences in standards around the world – as well as the progress being made towards tightening them.
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White papersTokenisation: The next frontier for investing?
We investigate recent technological advances in the bond markets and examine what impact tokenisation and digital currencies might have on investing in the future.
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White papersBrave New World: 2024 European Insurance Outlook
Insurers likely face a very different investment regime today than they have in the past, with higher and more volatile interest rates as well as structurally higher inflation. We think this will intensify the focus on strategic asset allocation. We offer three themes for insurance investors as 2024 gets under way.
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White papersSee, Like, Click, Buy
As retailers extend festive shopping seasons and leverage social media platforms to boost sales, the social commerce industry is expected to soar.
