Latest White Papers – Page 89
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White papersUS election debate generates more political than policy buzz
The first debate between the two candidates running in the U.S. presidential race was a fractious exchange that shed little new light on policy details but is likely to be politically consequential.
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White papersThe technology sector – An update after the summer volatility
Volatility may be part and parcel of equity markets, but this summer’s swings stand out. The causes cited for the sell-off included concerns over the outlook for the US economy and an unwinding of yen carry trades. Investors also worried about the risk of the vast sums being invested in artificial intelligence (AI) ultimately not generating sufficient returns. Daniel Morris investigates the AI angle.*
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White papersRally broadening is underway
A mild US economic deceleration, interest rate cuts by the Fed and an improving earnings profile could further support the broadening of the rally outside the expensive US technology names.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - September 2024
When central banks are cutting rates and risks of a US recession are limited, we remain disciplined and mildly positive on risk assets.
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White papersGlobal Emerging Markets Equity Outlook, H2 2024
In this report, we discuss noteworthy developments in emerging markets this year that have reinforced our view about the medium- and long-term prospects for the asset class. We see various tangible additional drivers of future growth.
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White papersFed easing: Fear rate cuts in a recession, not in a soft landing
History suggests that the Fed’s success in piloting a soft versus hard landing will play a key role in dictating the path for U.S. equities. For example, in 1985 and 1995, rate cuts supported strong equity gains as recessions were avoided, while in 2001 and 2007, even aggressive easing couldn’t prevent steep market declines amid economic downturns. Today, the absence of glaring household or corporate balance sheet vulnerabilities means Fed easing should be enough to prevent recession, and should provide investors some optimism for the future of the market.
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White papersAn Introduction to Carbon Pricing
This study provides an introduction to carbon pricing mechanisms through micro- and macro-based empirical analysis.
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White papersWhat Fed rate cuts mean for U.S. equities: A historical perspective
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell has all but confirmed that the rate-cutting cycle will commence at the next FOMC meeting on September 18. Financial markets are currently pricing in 100 basis points (bps) of cuts this year—potentially equivalent to a 50bps cut in September and 25bps cuts in both November and December—as the Fed gears up to ward off recession. Its success in piloting a soft versus hard landing will play a key role in dictating the path for U.S. equities.
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White papersWhy Japan Bounced Back
A huge market shock and a prime Minister heading for the exit—does any of what happened in August affect the long-term investment story for Japan?
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White papersBuyouts Keynote Interview: Private equity for all
In a keynote interview conducted by Buyouts, Peter von Lehe, Head of Investment Solutions and Strategy, discusses how the democratization of private equity is about expanding access to the asset class by solving the structural and operational barriers to investing.
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White papersESG Thema #17 - Investing in gender equality: Momentum is growing
Over the last century, women have acquired the right to vote in almost every country, have entered the job market and political bodies, and have gained their independence, particularly financial. Equal rights have thus been achieved in society.
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White papersInflation Quarterly Monitor
Central banks continue to tread carefully when it comes to monetary easing, expressing cautious optimism about inflation yet refusing to commit on the future path of policy rate decisions. Amidst falling inflation and slowing growth, the added complexity of political risk in the US, Europe and the UK has brought greater uncertainty. Even after the European Central Bank (ECB) acted as the first mover to cut policy rates in June, other central banks did not immediately follow in their June meetings.
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White papersGrowth of the East
The East’s economic power has been building for decades. Buoyed initially by Japan’s industrialization, the region was boosted further by the modernization of Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan, alongside the rapid rise of China.
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White papersGold continues to shine
“Despite its historically high price, we believe that gold remains a safe haven and a good diversification tool at a time of high geopolitical tensions and excessive government debt.”
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White papersLife Sciences: Four reasons why this out-of-favour sector deserves your attention
As headwinds subside, the Sustainable Global Equity team reveal why they believe investment into the Life Sciences sector looks compelling for the long term.
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White papersHigh-Yield Bonds: Gaining Traction for Good Reason
High-yield bonds have become an increasingly popular investment choice. At Northern Trust Asset Management, we strongly believe this asset class is positioned to continue delivering the strong performance seen in the first half of 2024.
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White papersIndia: the emerging market outlier
Underlying economic factors make India an emerging market like no other.
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White papersMunicipal Fixed Income: Shelter From the Storm?
Technical factors and market volatility are creating a value opportunity in the U.S. municipal market. The summer months are typically a quieter, more predictable time in the municipal fixed income market, as supply tends to be modest and demand rises due to higher levels of bond reinvestment.
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White papersUnderstanding Style Drift in Perpetual BDCs
The popularity of perpetual BDCs and speed of capital raise for some has made it harder for certain managers to selectively deploy capital into true middle market deals—leading to “style drift” that can expose investors to unwanted risks.
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White papersArticle Shopping around: The outlook for US retail
While remaining broadly cautious on the US retail sector, the credit team explain why they are focusing on names with turnaround stories where they see upside catalysts and better relative value.
