Latest White Papers – Page 68
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White papersOptimizing for net zero and nature positive outcomes
Net zero and nature positive investing may seem aligned in their goals, yet our analysis reveals that certain net zero investment strategies could inadvertently embed nature risks. Our latest research also highlights the approaches investors can take for nature positive investing.
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White papersTrump’s first 100 days: Five policies shaping markets in 2025
With an ambitious policy agenda, President Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office will provide an early indication of his ability to sustain momentum in delivering on his promises. Wasting no time, Trump has unleashed a whirlwind of executive actions across a variety of policy focus areas, though many are likely to be challenged in court.
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White papersTail risks to watch
We see geopolitical risks persisting as a base-case scenario for 2025. Below we share the main upside and downside risks to our base case that investors should take into consideration.
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White papersThe Fed’s dilemma
Recent inflation numbers are in line with a short pause in the path towards the Fed’s target, yet bond yields have moved sharply higher since the Fed’s big cut. Medium-term inflation expectations – including FOMC member expectations – have moved higher (see chart), but most of the increase in ten-year yields since the election reflects a rise in real rates.
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White papersFocus on China
Investors learned the hard way that, without belief in fundamentals, one can still make money in China. Over the summer of 2024, the prevailing sentiment was ‘ABC’ (Anything But China) – a full-blown existential crisis framing China as an uninvestable asset class. In late September, China equities rallied an average of 25% on the back of official talk, triggering a widespread ‘buy everything’ sentiment, as the fear of missing out spread across the market.
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White papersDecarbonising buildings lags amid discrepancy between SFDR and EU Taxonomy
Decarbonising buildings plays a critical role in achieving the EU’s goal of climate neutrality by 2050. Hence, the EU’s ambition to have the region’s building stock fully decarbonised by mid-century and reduce the sector’s greenhouse gas emissions by at least 60% by 2030. However, the absence of unified regulatory standards is restraining the potential for investors to get involved, writes Nicolas Toupin.
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White papersWhat could the new cycle hold for real estate debt investors?
Real estate debt is attracting increasing attention from investors globally, as well as new market entrants, with the potential for equity-like returns for credit investing like never seen before. As we move into a new cycle, we look at the opportunities for non-bank lenders.
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White papersInflation in focus ahead of Trump’s inauguration
“In the Trump 2.0 administration, the fiscal outlook and inflation expectations will be the main market themes to watch.”
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White papersFixed Income Perspectives Q1 2025
The fourth quarter ended with higher bond yields as the market reduced its expectations for future rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
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White papersA racing certainty – can big tech beat the odds again?
My Grandad was into horse racing, it was his passion. If you named a horse, he could tell you who its sire and dam were and when he bet it was always “on the nose”. There were no ‘each way’ bets for him! As a youngster I didn’t understand how the same horse didn’t win all the time – surely if it was the fastest once then it would nearly always be the fastest. That was when he explained the handicap system to me – every time a horse won it would carry a heavier weight in its next race. This is what made it interesting, uncertain, unpredictable and his passion in life.
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White papers2025 Fixed Income Default Study
An examination of our bottom-up default outlook and total return forecasts for 2025
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White papersO’Connor Global Multi-Strategy Alpha Monthly Letter: Outlook for China in 2025
Heading into 2025, US exceptionalism may be one of the most consensus views in the market. With Trump retaking power, there are Goldilocks expectations for the early part of the year with anticipated tailwinds such as deregulation, improving corporate and consumer optimism and continued easing monetary policy.
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White papersFixed income perspectives 1Q 2025: Finding opportunities in a dynamic global environment
Fixed income markets are navigating diverging central bank approaches, presenting both opportunities and challenges for investors. With elevated yields, robust credit fundamentals, and selective opportunities across asset classes, fixed income offers an attractive landscape heading into the new year.
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White papersHow to make sense of Emerging Market Debt in a global portfolio
Despite potential short-term volatility stemming from geopolitical events, we believe the current environment presents one of the most favorable opportunities for EMD in the past decade.
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White papersTrump 2.0: Back to the Future?
By the end of this month, President Trump will enter the White House for his second term with an economic backdrop quite different from that of his first term. While the policies he advocates for are of a similar style this time around, the entirely different economic situation mean that those policies may have a different effect than they would have had in his first term.
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White papers2025 CEO outlook: Is the US market too good to be true?
As the US prepares for a political changing of the guard, our CEO shares his thoughts on where he sees markets opportunities and the potential risks for investors in 2025.
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White papersHigh yield: Historically attractive starting yield levels
High yield credit offers compelling income opportunities, with starting yields in the 7–8% range historically associated with strong forward returns. Strong fundamentals, including low default expectations and solid credit metrics, provide resilience against the modest spread widening expected in 2025. Elevated issuance and a higher-quality index composition further support high yield’s ability to balance risk and reward in a dynamic market environment.
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White papersDiverging fortunes: Global Market Perspectives, 1Q 2025
Despite elevated policy uncertainty, a solid economic backdrop implies this is still a risk-on investing opportunity. Our quarterly investment outlook highlights the themes and investment implications for the period ahead.
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White papersNavigating Private Credit’s Next Act
As the private credit market rapidly evolves, we believe investors should consider a more flexible and specialized allocation approach.
