Latest White Papers – Page 274
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White papersThe day after the crisis: implications for long-term investors
In a recent piece of paper1 long-term investors found a broad analysis of the most relevant post-crisis elements they need to consider in order to make a more informed decision about their investments: central banks support, inflation situation, deglobalisation trend, low-carbon transition and inequality assessment were the main features to consider.
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White papersLife after Covid: the LDI view
The fast spreading of the new Coronavirus disease (Covid- 19) has become the biggest global challenge in decades, with more than 10 million (recorded) infections and a death toll exceeding 500k by mid-2020. Transmission by asymptomatic people is still debated, but may be a factor facilitating unconscious spreading, and making containment difficult.
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White papersMarket Perspectives: Covid paralysis recedes as political risk rises
Even after the large risk rally in summer and despite the persistent spreading of Covid-19, equities advanced fast in August (MSCI World up by another 6.6%), helped by recovering data, better-than-expected earnings and vaccine hopes.
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White papersHeading for a fall?
The fall season often trips up the markets, and 2020 promises more than its fair share of hazards.
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White papersBrexit Update
Brexit occurred on January 31, 2020, and we are now in the transition period until December 31. Therefore, rules and regulations in the UK are still aligned with those in the European Union, but the United Kingdom is no longer a member state, hence talk of the EU-27 rather than the EU-28.
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White papersThree Reasons for EM Short Duration Debt
Emerging markets debt has shown much resilience despite facing its share of pandemic-induced difficulties. A short-dated approach, in particular, can provide an opportunity to pick up incremental yield and diversification, with less volatility.
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White papersTraiana on the buy-side’s increasing adoption of post-trade technology
Head of Product Strategy for CME Group’s Traiana, Steve French, talks to HFM Asia editor Tom Duffell about the buy-side and post-trade technology.
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White papersAn earning season better than expected but the valuation issues has not yet been resolved…
There was a substantial decline in Q2 earnings but they turned out to be better than expected; their decline being ultimately less pronounced than during the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008-2009, whereas the current recession is much more severe.
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White papersMarkets scenarios & risks - September 2020
We marginally amend the narrative of our central and alternative scenario on the back of recent development. Recent data confirm a slower recovery path in line with our central scenario. We therefore increase the probability of our central scenario from 60% to 70% while reducing the likelihood of the upside alternative scenario from 20% to 10%.
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White papersMacroeconomic picture - September 2020
A new Covid-19 outbreak in several states in July and August imposed more caution in reopening the economy, slowing recovery momentum. The labour market remain distressed. In the coming quarters, the US economy is expected to continue along a gradual and progressive recovery path, underpinned by easy monetary policy and a delayed new round of fiscal support.
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White papersThematics: Eurozone government bonds, a supportive mix of remarkable funding progress and ECB QE still to come
Funding progress looked quite encouraging at July end for Eurozone government bonds, as roughly 80% of estimated yearly net issuance have been placed, mostly (more than 50%) in just four months, between April and July. Putting remaining supply in perspectives with ECB flows, the technical picture for EZ government bonds looks friendly to the current environment of low core yields and subsequent, persisting search for carry.
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White papersThematics: Back to school, back to politics?
The macro-economic backdrop has improved, albeit at a slower pace more recently. The European response to the crisis has further strengthened investor sentiment. However, the political picture has changed over the summer in the US and deteriorated in emerging markets.
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White papersNASDAQ 100-S&P 500 Volatility Ratio at Peak Levels
The cost of NASDAQ 100 options has ballooned relative to S&P 500 options over the past three years as the tech-heavy index leads the recovery in equities. Read the latest article from CME Group Senior Economist, Erik Norland.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views – September 2020
The appetite for risk assets has remained strong over the summer lull. This summer season has seen both the confirmation of existing themes and the emergence of new ones. On the former, the decoupling between the real economy and financial markets has proved persistent.
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White papersImpact Opportunities: H1 2020 Report
A concentrated, fundamental global equity strategy, the Federated Hermes Impact Opportunities Equity Fund seeks to generate value by investing in companies that create positive, sustainable change and strong long-term investment returns.
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White papersMarket Conditions and Opportunities in Private Credit
Matthew Bird, Managing Director for our Private Debt team, provides an update on how the Private Debt markets are managing through the COVID-19 crisis, how the team has been managing portfolios since March, and what investors could anticipate in the months ahead.
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White papersNowcasting the US Economy with Alternative Data
The pandemic has altered some consumer and business behavioral patterns in major and likely long-lasting ways, and it is critical to track these behavioral changes and assess whether they could last or whether there will be a return to pre-pandemic habits and patterns.
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White papers2020 US Election: What the Polls Could Mean for Policy and Markets
The field is set for the 2020 US presidential election, and markets are turning their focus to November’s contest. Of course, we can’t predict the electoral result for the presidency or Congress, and even the market’s reaction is unclear. However, given the stakes of this election, investors would be well advised to track a few key themes.
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White papersPushing on an Open Door – Covid 19 is Intensifying Long Term Macro Trends
The COVID-19 pandemic has had historic—and nearly immediate—repercussions for society, the global economy and policy. The aftereffects will last for many years, reinforcing long-term trends including deglobalization, populism and mounting debt. How will governments tackle the debt overhang—and how do these trends impact our macro views?
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White papersDebunking the Myths of “High-Priced” Tech Stocks
Technology stocks seem unstoppable. Giants like Apple and Microsoft, as well as technology-driven consumer firms such as Amazon and Alibaba Group, continue to do well through the COVID-19 pandemic.
