Latest White Papers – Page 210
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White papersPressures Continue to Build for Fed Hikes
U.S. CPI pushed the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to 2% for the first time since the onset of COVID, and U.S. rate hike expectations increased, with markets pricing in 50% odds of a 50bps hike in March. Meanwhile, European inflation expectations are also edging higher.
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White papersInflation is starting to burn - Strategies to protect portfolios from inflation risk
Persistent inflation, above pre crisis levels, except for China.
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White papersElectric vehicles: charging towards a sustainable world
What has driven the recent acceleration in electric vehicle (EV) sales?
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White papersWhy food waste is a moving target in the climate change fight
Many societies have become relatively comfortable with the idea of just-in-time supply chains that funnel goods to them day in, day out. Less palatable would be just-enough food production and distribution. Individuals have become used to the appearance of plenty – and as supply chain wobbles in 2021 showed, the public spooks easily at the sight of empty supermarket shelves.
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White papersFinding the Middle Path in Extreme Equity Markets
Equity markets were jolted in January amid growing concerns about macroeconomic threats. For investors seeking more stable equity allocations, stocks “in the middle,” with high-quality features and reasonable valuations, can help portfolios cope with volatility.
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White papersEquity factor investing – Sunshine after the storm
After a particularly difficult 2020, 2021 proved favourable for multi-factor equity strategies investing in the cheapest, most profitable and least risky companies with the strongest momentum in each sector.
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White papersThe Circular - Edition 1, 2022
As Earth ticks off another twirl around the sun, down at ground level the planetary alarm clock ticks on – faster than ever.
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White papersEmerging Markets Charts and Views - Reasons for cautious optimism in 2022
Emerging markets (EM) faced a backlash in 2021 as a consequence of the Chinese slowdown, rising inflation and – at the end of the year – a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed). As such, investors, including us, have been cautious and very selective on EM assets.
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White papersAre Markets Signaling a Slowdown?
We see no sign of impending recession in calm credit markets, and in our view the flattening Treasury curve likely has more to do with the market’s failure to recognize growing structural inflationary forces.
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White papersChina’s debt vulnerability – Defying dire predictions
Despite rising corporate defaults, China’s overall debt dynamics have not deteriorated. Its economic fundamentals appear strong enough to contain a debt-currency crisis.
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White papersWhy US Rate Rises Highlight European Fixed-Income Opportunities
Recently, euro-based investors have been able to access higher-yielding US dollar bond markets while hedging their currency risk at low cost. Now, interest rates are set to rise in the US—and we think it’s time for US dollar investors to consider opportunities in euro fixed-income markets.
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White papersBank of England Races to Catch up to Inflation
Central banks around the world, including the US Federal Reserve, have turned more hawkish lately—pivoting from supporting a COVID-ravaged economy to fighting stubbornly high inflation. The Bank of England (BoE) continued that trend at its February meeting.
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White papersInflation in Turkey could very well reach 50% and more in the coming months
Because of unorthodox economic policies, Turkey will face a tough year ahead, with inflation peaking at a 20-year high… but we do see some lights at the end of the tunnel!
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White papersThe journey back to zero real rates
Real interest rates in the US and Europe have reached negative levels that are unprecedented in recent history. We have to go back to the 1970s to find similar levels, and only a handful of past examples since WWII can be used as reference points.
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White papersKeeping up with our Investment Outlook for 2022
2022 will be the “year of reckoning” for DM economies when they will test the effectiveness of the policies deployed since the peak of the pandemic phase and face the challenge of retuning to normality: fiscal and monetary policies will tighten up at a time when the growth/inflation mix is becoming more challenging and there is much less room for manoeuvre in terms of policy.
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White papersEuropean strategic sovereignty must be an investment opportunity
The concept of strategic sovereignty goes far beyond the issues of security and defence. It also assumes relative self-sufficiency, and the ability to impose one’ standards and to create global leaders in tomorrow’s ecosystems. This political objective must be founded on economic reality and will first require new investment momentum in Europe.
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White papersStaying Invested Today: Resiliency in the face of tightening
Financial markets have had an extremely rocky start to 2022. After a month of trading, several major global equity market indices have fallen into correction territory—a drop of 10% from their recent all-time highs—as investors adjust expectations in the presence of United States Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening, elevated inflation, and softening economic growth.
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White papersWorking for a just food system
In the fourth article in our EOS Insights series on the social and environmental impacts of the global food system, Emily DeMasi looks at labour practices and human rights risks.
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White papersMarket Scenarios and Risks - February 2022
We are marginally adjusting the narrative to take into account the recent economic news flow and the impact of the Omicron variant, but are keeping the probabilities of the scenarios unchanged.
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White papersMacroeconomic Picture - February 2022
In 2022, the US economy will face a progressive deceleration in economic activity, hovering above trend first and eventually converging to potential in 2023. Activity indicators are pointing to a notable deceleration at the end of Q4 and start of Q1 (in part Covid-related), which we expect to be short-lived.
