Latest Manager Research – Page 340
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White papersGreen News & Views - Sustainably certified assets
Developing a sustainable future is enhanced by incorporating third-party benchmarking and certifications for all property types. There is now a proliferation of standards, ratings, and certification programs globally to help guide, demonstrate, and reward efforts to deliver sustainable, highperformance assets.
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White papersDisruptive technology in the COVID-19 era
Within the global economy, COVID-19 has acted as a formidable accelerator of trends driving disruptive technology. Valuations of information technology stocks have soared, raising questions about the extent of the rally. Guy Davies, chief investment officer for fundamental active equities, explains why this time may be different.
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White papersYou asked, we answer
Our Global Views team attempts to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.
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White papersIs France still on track to reduce its competitiveness gap vs. Germany?
Germany clearly outperformed France on most macroeconomic metrics in the last two decades. Yet France has implemented many supply-side reforms since 2014. Despite the larger damage taken by France from the current Covid crisis, the lagged effect of these reforms can still help reduce the competitiveness gap with Germany after a few years. However, a key driver of medium-term relative performance will also be how both economies adapt to major “disruption”-related sectoral challenges.
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White papersFixed income dynamics in the current monetary and fiscal landscape
The global economy rebounded quickly during the summer from the coronavirus pandemic. In this phase of recovery, central banks played a key role in the massive supply of credit to governments and companies. To tackle the health crisis, almost all governments implemented large-scale fiscal stimulus and support measures, including corporate loan guarantees. At the same time, major central banks increased their purchases of sovereign debt to levels never seen before, played a backstop role in the corporate debt market and provided cheap liquidity to banks (in the case of the ECB).
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White papersJapan: Policy continuity expected under Suganomics
Striving to consolidate power with a snap election, Mr. Suga vows continuity of Abenomics and hints at additional fiscal stimulus. Domestic politics aside, we expect global factors and positioning to play a key role for Japanese equities and currency.
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White papersContraction > recovery > late cycle: the cycle round trip is confirmed Advanced Investment Phazer: top-down assessment
The global recovery continues at different speeds and compositions at the regional level. Policies are pivotal in shaping the recovery trajectories, influencing market participants’ narratives and rebuilding confidence.
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White papersMarkets scenarios & risks - October 2020
This month, we do not amend the narrative of our central and alternative scenario. Economic data confirm a slower recovery path in line with our central scenario and Central Banks maintain their accommodative stace. We maintain the probability of our central scenario at 70%, 20% for the downside scenario and 10% for the upside.
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White papersMacroeconomic picture - October 2020
Q3 economic rebound exceeds our expectations on GDP, prompting an upside revision to our August forecasts. Yet, the deceleration in late Q3 of several indicators is keeping us from extrapolating Q3 momentum into Q4. After some softening in 2020 H2, headline inflation will move along a gradual upward trend, stabilising around 2% from mid-2021 with possible temporary overshooting. As November 3 approaches, policymakers’ focus is shifting, with an increased risk that 2020 fiscal policy will become more diluted than expected, and with little visibility on the Phase 4 deal in particular.
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White papersTakeda Pharmaceutical - UK Institutional
Takeda Pharmaceutical has significantly improved the transparency and accountability of its executive remuneration, aligning itself more closely to global peers.
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White papersNotes on a crisis: from the rear-view mirror to the road ahead (part I)
Rallying credit markets at the turn of the year were followed by the swift, pandemic-induced drawdown in March, ushering in a period of heightened volatility and some of the worst liquidity conditions since the financial crisis. As we emerge from a tumultuous six months, we consider what has changed in markets and what might lie ahead for fixed-income investors.
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White papersDecarbonisation set for a boost in the EU
The EU is stepping up its efforts to tackle global warming. A new tougher target to cut air pollution should enhance the economic incentive for companies to switch to more environmentally friendly ways of doing business.
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White papersDeep decarbonization – Green hydrogen, net zero and the future of the EU ETS
Green hydrogen is set to be a key pillar of the EU’s sustainable development and emissions reduction plans. This has major implications for how carbon emissions are removed from the EU economy over the next 30 years and for how carbon pricing is used as a tool to achieve zero emissions, according to new research from BNP Paribas Asset Management.
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White papersHow to Repair America’s Brand
A country that seems so divided—even discounting for a heated election and a pandemic—starts to raise questions for global investors.
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White papersAdvantage Biden after the first Presidential Debate
President Donald Trump and Former Vice-President Joe Biden met yesterday in their first Presidential debate in Cleveland, Ohio. This was an important milestone in the 2020 Presidential election, and the early indications on the morning after the debate are that it has changed the trajectory of the race in Biden’s favor. For Trump, it was one of his few opportunities to change the narrative of this election and define Biden.
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White papersNo Debating the Economic Recovery
U.S. personal income fell in August as the extra unemployment benefits ended while consumer spending rose. Eyes are on the China Services PMI, which will be released next week, and chances of a new fiscal stimulus package ahead of the election are still alive, for now.
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White papersGlobal Investment Views - October 2020
Back from holidays, investors are dealing with rising volatility in the equity markets and initial signs of a fall in the extreme market complacency over the last few months. After the summer overshoot, Big Tech stocks have seen a pullback and some tensions have also materialized in the US HY segment, while IG markets remained more or less flat in the last month.
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White papersAEW Research Flash Report - September 2020
COVID-19 related capital value declines combined with more conservative lending will lead to refinancing problems in the coming years, despite moderate pre COVID-19 loan-to-value (LTV) levels compared to the global financial crisis (GFC).
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White papersScenarios Around the “Not Quite Recovery”
We’ve come a long way since March, but there’s still a long road ahead. So far, the recovery is encouraging but the permanent damage to employment remains to be seen, as does the resilience of company balance sheets.
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White papersDisruptive technology – The drivers and the challenges
Disruptive technological change will continue to proceed along multiple dimensions, through innovations in products and processes as companies harness innovations from research and development in both the commercial and academic spheres, although the two are increasingly intertwined.
