Latest Manager Research – Page 317
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Covid-19 Special Update: Logistics & Offices Resilient
As economists adjusted their economic growth forecasts down, it seems inevitable that most leading European economies will enter recession in 2020. To place the current uncertain situation in a relative context, we present three different scenarios:
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A Lot Of Bad News Already Priced In US Assets: A Gradual Approach To Exploit Market Dislocations
The US economy has entered a recession, induced by the social distancing and quarantining measures introduced to tackle the pandemic crisis. To monitor how deep the recession will be, we use both traditional macroeconomic data (eg, weekly retail sales, jobless claims) and big data (e.g., dining out, travel and box office sales, travel numbers and google searches for ‘recession’ and unemployment statistics). Both sets of variables suggest an unprecedented collapse in domestic demand.
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Coronavirus – Weekly update – 08/04/2020
This blog is the second in a series of weekly updates on our COVID-19 strategy: our assessment of the virus itself and the public health approach for containing it; the economic cost of dealing with the pandemic and the policy responses to mitigate the damage; and ultimately, the implications for financial markets and investment strategy.
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Infrastructure debt’s resilience is in its DNA
Infrastructure debt is not immune to a severe economic downturn, but the global financial crisis has left the asset class stronger. We explain why.
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2020 versus 2008: What’s changed for European infrastructure debt?
Infrastructure debt is not immune to a severe economic downturn, but the global financial crisis has left the asset class stronger. We explain why.
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Covid-19 update: European high yield market moves
March was a rollercoaster ride for European high yield investors. The market had fallen 20% by the middle of the month, and had recovered to be down 15% since the start of the year as of 5 April.
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Desolate Spanish farmhouses tell you much about the European property market
Drive through Spain’s interior and you will be captivated by its starkly beautiful landscape. There is, however, a sense of desolation about it. The crumbling broken walls of abandoned farmhouses tucked in amongst the almond groves and pine plantations, and the deserted streets of ancient villages are testament to one of the most powerful demographic forces at play today.
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The impact of COVID-19 on private debt
As COVID-19 sweeps across the world, a contraction in global growth is causing an adverse short-term reaction to the economy and financial markets. While the extent of contagion from public markets to private debt remains unclear, transactions with strong downside protection should remain more resilient through the crisis, explains Nikhil Chandra.
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What is microfinance and why does it matter for investors?
Microfinance is a promising way to address global problems such as poverty, inequality and environmental damage. But what’s in it for investors?
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How microfinance can help investors keep calm and carry on
Coronavirus has rocked traditional asset classes, but microfinance has historically been resilient in times of crisis. What’s next?
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When coupons are king: the case for global high-yield credit
With markets in freefall, high-yield bonds have been particularly affected and credit spreads recently rose above 1,000bps for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis. But in risk lies opportunity and the market rout means that high yield is trading at attractive valuations. At a time when listed companies are cutting dividends, we believe that high yield’s income-generating qualities means that it has the potential to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns earlier on in the market’s recovery.
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ESG matters - now more than ever
At the international business of Federated Hermes, we believe that investing responsibly is the best way to sustain long-term outperformance and help deliver beneficial outcomes for investors, companies, society and the environment.
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Alternative investments: managed futures
Many high net-worth investors and institutions, such as pension funds, endowments, and foundations have increased allocations to managed futures in recent years.
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Currency Market Update
In this video, Neuberger Berman’s Head of Global Currency, Ugo Lancioni provides an update on currency markets during the current period of volatility. Ugo reviews how global currencies have been impacted by the situation, outlining key drivers of FX markets. He also explains how he aims to identify the winners and losers amid the current dynamics.
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Credit Risk Sensitivity To Carbon Price
In order to meet the objectives set by the Paris Climate Agreement, global greenhouse gas emissions must be drastically reduced. One way to achieve this goal is to set an effective carbon price. Although beneficial for the climate, a rapid increase in this price can have a significant financial impact on corporate firms.
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Switching to digital: the paradigm shift in real estate
A shift is underway in real estate: while the industry has traditionally focused primarily on location, the emphasis is increasingly on the collection, analysis and utilisation of data. However, it’s only in combination with artificial intelligence and optimised processes that the industry will benefit from that data, says Alexander Betz, Chief Digitalisation Officer at PATRIZIA.
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COVID-19: The impact on European real estate
As the spread of COVID-19 and government response continue to evolve, we analyse recent developments and how they could affect European real estate.
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Black swan or grey rhino: Should investors have seen COVID-19 coming?
The devastating coronavirus outbreak has prompted renewed discussion of “black swans”: rare, unexpected events that wreak havoc on markets and economies. But is COVID-19 really a black swan? And to what extent can investors ensure their portfolios are resilient to sudden shocks of this kind?