Latest Manager Research – Page 306
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White papers
Multi-Asset Allocation Views: Hold the Course
As the world adjusts to life with the specter of COVID-19, it is increasingly clear that much has changed. We have become used to social distancing and unimaginably weak economic data. However, although we have become familiar with these new features of our lives, we hope that they will not be with us for too long!
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Sweden’s Experiment with Negative Rates
At the end of 2019, Sweden’s Riksbank initiated a policy change at a time when the much larger European Central Bank (ECB) announced its determination to persist with its negative interest rate policy.
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Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2020
In our latest analysis released at the beginning of the year, we had laid out our medium-term outlook as a correction of the business cycle, including an economic slowdown, yield curve inversion, a return to lower bound policy rates, and subdued inflation prints. The global shocks resulting from the eruption of the coronavirus pandemic have significantly altered the sequence of economic and financial phases, shortened the timeframe and expanded the scale of the ripple effect.
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Market weekly – Riding the digital transformation with US equities
Lockdowns around the world have boosted the uptake of new technologies, speeding us into an even more digital-centric future. US equity markets offer investors access to such disruptive technology. To hear more about the opportunities, Daniel Morris, our senior investment strategist, catches up with Pam Hegarty, senior portfolio manager and equity analyst for US equities in our Boston office.
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The day after #3 - ESG Resilience During the Covid Crisis: Is Green the New Gold?
Without a doubt, the coronavirus is shaking the financial industry like never before. This is not the first time the world has faced a pandemic of this scale, nor is the first time that policy makers, business leaders and pundits have asked: “Is it different this time around? Are we at a turning point?”
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AEW Research Flash Report - May 2020
The economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic can perhaps best be described in four distinct phases: the shutdown, the re-opening, the transition to the new normal and the new normal (or as one colleague has put it, the new “abnormal”). As of May 18th, all 50 states have officially begun the process of lifting restrictions on personal and commercial activities and re-opening their economies. While there is great variation across the states with respect to the pace and breadth of re-opening, all have initiated some form of staged re-opening.
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Risk (Modelling in Global Aggregate Portfolios) in a Time of COVID
John Beck, Director of Fixed Income contemplates how risk is measured in our portfolios.
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The 20-Year Bond in a Brave New World
The US Government has responded to COVID-19 in unprecedented ways to produce a huge and rapid fiscal policy response. To fund this policy, the Treasury announced that it will issue over $800 billion in Treasury securities over the next three months. Including issuance completed in April, the issuance number rises to over $1 trillion. That is a massive issuance schedule. Here is what is upcoming.
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Which U.S. cities will best weather the pandemic?
As volatility climbs across all global financial markets amid the coronavirus pandemic, investors are wondering where to turn to find opportunities. Real estate is no exception.
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The Stock Market Is Not the Economy
COVID-19 has damaged a lot of things, including the link between the S&P 500 and the U.S. economy.
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Market Commentary - Swoosh Recovery vs. Liquidity Splash
The exit from the lockdowns is proceeding cautiously. If anything the number of new cases globally has picked up over the past week, flirting with 100k on 15 May, the highest since 16 April (see our latest Facts and Figures, including new modelling). Scientists keep warning about the risk of relaxing social distancing too quickly. In the meantime the global economy struggles – we slightly cut our 2020 global growth forecast from -3.5% to -4%. The risks are skewed to the downside. The WHO reiterated concerns about a deadlier second wave this autumn and winter.
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What We Already Know About The Recovery
And why bonds and stocks may not be pricing in such different outcomes.
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Why investors shouldn’t overlook UK social supported housing in the COVID-19 environment
We outline why we believe social supported housing in the UK offers investors much needed stability as the wider real estate market experiences falls in income and value due to Covid-19.
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Investing in China: Consumers and technology recovering
This Equity Markets issue offers a window into post COVID-19 economic recovery.
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Fixed Income: Health Uncertainty vs. Economic Uncertainty. The Need To Safely Restart Growth
Policymakers face difficult tradeoffs. Fixed Income Views explores macro and sector outlooks.
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Quick Thoughts: A New Globalization Emerges
Our Head of Equities Stephen Dover gives his take on globalization in the wake of COVID-19
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ESG & Factor Investing: a new stage has been reached
ESG Investing is evolving extremely rapidly, in Europe and abroad. The importance of taking into account environmental, social and governance factors in investment decisions has become more acute with the coronavirus. Past Amundi research has underlined that ESG integration has been a driver of alpha since 2014.
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Impact Investing In Action: Private Real Estate
Our annual impact report on social infrastructure covers how our private real estate team approaches impact investing and explores their philosophy, framework and work to date.
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Corporate Responsibility | A Moment of Truth
Pushed to its very limits, mankind reveals its true nature. As the health, economic and market crisis unfolds, and at a time when maximizing profits and shareholder returns is no longer the priority, the sincerity of corporate responsibility is being put to test.
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The trade-off between staying safe and getting back to work
An economy in lockdown has significant effects for investors in real assets. In this data illustration, our real assets research team consider the benefit of businesses returning to their usual locations against the risks of doing so.